Neat-Figure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

402

Trades

2,376

lifetime

Volume

$12.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.43K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-04 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

40% 99% -$3,872

Politics

39% 94% +$15,178

Sports

21% 99% +$5,414

Crypto

0% 100% +$49

Tech

0% 100% +$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	84	$3.19M	3,172,748	35,306	+3,137,443	No	+$9,742	05-01 00:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	286	$2.20M	2,199,980	0	+2,199,980	Yes	+$4,400	04-29 11:41
Will Trump dance today?	157	$1.09M	1,091,861	0	+1,091,861	Yes	+$1,730	04-28 22:33
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	4	$665.9K	666,562	0	+666,562	Michigan Wolverines	+$669	04-05 03:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$648.9K	649,756	0	+649,756	No	+$904	04-29 16:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	325	$559.0K	560,023	0	+560,023	Yes	+$1,051	04-28 23:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	10	$424.2K	424,645	0	+424,645	Yes	+$426	03-31 05:31
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$283.5K	283,793	0	+283,793	No	+$287	04-30 04:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	26	$241.8K	242,029	0	+242,029	Yes	+$242	04-24 19:04
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$233.3K	234,172	0	+234,172	No	+$882	04-25 21:55
Hawks vs. Knicks	29	$220.4K	220,637	0	+220,637	Knicks	+$221	04-29 02:47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	75	$211.6K	212,101	14,060	+198,041	No	+$480	04-28 23:22
Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	2	$202.3K	203,237	0	+203,237	No	+$904	04-28 03:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$199.8K	200,029	0	+200,029	Yes	+$200	04-24 10:52
Wild vs. Stars	30	$186.5K	186,711	0	+186,711	Wild	+$187	04-29 03:51
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)	8	$158.9K	159,020	0	+159,020	Raoni Barcelos	+$161	04-26 02:22
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	5	$141.0K	141,178	0	+141,178	Yes	+$227	04-23 23:47
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	9	$120.5K	120,579	0	+120,579	Under	+$121	04-29 03:55
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$114.4K	114,542	0	+114,542	No	+$115	04-27 00:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	20	$99.9K	100,010	0	+100,010	Yes	+$100	04-23 16:03
Ducks vs. Oilers	1	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	Oilers	+$100	04-29 05:17
Rockets vs. Lakers	5	$92.1K	92,230	0	+92,230	Rockets	+$92	04-30 04:45
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	22	$84.0K	84,510	0	+84,510	Yes	+$466	04-03 14:09
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	113	$83.9K	84,025	0	+84,025	76ers	+$84	04-22 01:43
Pistons vs. Magic	7	$78.3K	78,385	0	+78,385	Magic	+$84	04-28 02:55
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$66.0K	66,070	0	+66,070	Knicks	+$81	04-26 00:35
Avalanche vs. Kings	90	$64.4K	64,474	0	+64,474	Avalanche	+$121	04-27 01:27
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	17	$64.1K	64,191	0	+64,191	FC Bayern München	+$65	04-28 22:55
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$50.3K	50,397	0	+50,397	No	+$56	05-01 04:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	47	$50.3K	50,794	120,501	-69,707	No	+$720	04-28 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 20:49:40	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0x78d59e…
09-04 20:49:25	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,494	100¢	$1,491	0x9dd34e…
09-04 20:48:15	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	No	BUY	1,539	100¢	$1,537	0x8eebcf…
09-04 20:43:15	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	No	BUY	2,724	100¢	$2,710	0x1cf34d…
07-02 07:18:08	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x938816…
07-02 07:16:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x670ca0…
07-02 06:52:08	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x6176f7…
06-02 00:44:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,003	0xf4923f…
05-01 07:59:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3b1a20…
05-01 07:58:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x55987b…
05-01 07:54:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x8d29a3…
05-01 07:44:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x70366b…
05-01 07:44:02	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd388c8…
05-01 07:42:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xce62d1…
05-01 07:21:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x37bbb9…
05-01 07:05:06	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa8106a…
05-01 06:48:12	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb59e2e…
05-01 06:23:34	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x58ddf9…
05-01 06:23:28	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x9ea0ba…
05-01 06:23:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	439	0¢	$0	0x83f719…
05-01 06:22:56	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0xbd41f0…
05-01 05:31:20	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe292c1…
05-01 05:03:16	Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x854b23…
05-01 05:02:00	Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x9578e8…
05-01 04:54:12	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	585	100¢	$585	0x63a2eb…
05-01 04:52:28	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8ffbd…
05-01 04:51:40	Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9329f6…
05-01 04:49:06	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0x6f99fb…
05-01 04:46:52	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdda903…
05-01 04:45:34	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa78db…
05-01 04:44:28	Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x408ebe…
05-01 04:44:16	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xe255b3…
05-01 04:44:02	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	4,300	100¢	$4,296	0x0d1871…
05-01 04:43:54	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5,332	100¢	$5,326	0xb4bdaa…
05-01 04:31:26	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf7cdc…
05-01 04:22:32	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x461ddb…
05-01 04:21:58	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$810	0x66346d…
05-01 04:21:20	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4017c8…
05-01 04:21:16	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17acda…
05-01 04:15:58	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb0cbc2…
05-01 04:13:04	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	178	99¢	$175	0x014777…
05-01 04:12:42	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	606	100¢	$605	0xd4f52e…
05-01 04:11:20	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0x08300e…
05-01 04:11:08	Will Denver Nuggets advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x1252b5…
05-01 04:10:56	Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	6,828	100¢	$6,820	0x0c7248…
05-01 04:10:48	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49,791	100¢	$49,736	0x7e04c8…
05-01 04:06:02	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$0	0x627cab…
05-01 03:58:18	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0xebe89b…
05-01 03:58:08	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$0	0xf1bdc2…
05-01 03:57:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	363	0¢	$0	0x9623cc…
05-01 03:57:20	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe5c120…
05-01 03:55:52	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x0c2b8a…
05-01 03:55:02	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa442e2…
05-01 03:54:46	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb5ebdc…
05-01 03:54:46	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	377	99¢	$374	0x729b1e…
05-01 03:54:32	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	21,009	100¢	$20,973	0x19bf3b…
05-01 03:26:44	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ef50d…
05-01 03:22:40	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xc6a053…
05-01 02:47:52	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	1,513	100¢	$1,511	0x2ef6ce…
05-01 02:46:48	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,470	100¢	$1,469	0x2b7e1d…
05-01 02:33:12	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	11,000	100¢	$10,989	0xa5b806…
05-01 02:32:18	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x197930…
05-01 02:32:02	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xbf43bc…
05-01 02:31:56	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xedf8af…
05-01 02:30:58	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8ee622…
05-01 02:11:54	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars	Wild	BUY	986	99¢	$976	0x2e9121…
05-01 02:11:42	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars	Wild	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0147c0…
05-01 02:11:12	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	869	100¢	$868	0x088c64…
05-01 02:10:56	Will Dallas Stars advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8cd9e7…
05-01 02:10:50	Will Minnesota Wild advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0xbe3b0b…
05-01 02:10:40	Will Dallas Stars advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	238	98¢	$232	0xf5c206…
05-01 02:10:30	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars	Wild	BUY	1,259	98¢	$1,234	0xde68c9…
05-01 00:36:10	Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0x5732a0…
05-01 00:34:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6b2ccb…
04-30 22:55:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10,003	100¢	$9,983	0x47e250…
04-30 22:54:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe25dc7…
04-30 22:53:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7268b…
04-30 22:51:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x54f380…
04-30 22:50:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa2b45…
04-30 22:50:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	775	100¢	$773	0x811cd3…
04-30 22:47:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5,916	100¢	$5,904	0xeafb07…
04-30 22:47:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,320	100¢	$1,317	0x9d1d45…
04-30 22:45:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x242152…
04-30 22:42:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	4,102	100¢	$4,093	0x632ed7…
04-30 22:05:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,354	100¢	$4,337	0x73bb1e…
04-30 22:05:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0xf2f56d…
04-30 22:05:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50f979…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xef2b29…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd037dc…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae6d4e…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa813ba…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b623f…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x849ed4…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52eaaa…
04-30 22:05:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fa7aa…
04-30 22:04:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x783b97…
04-30 22:03:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x2de993…
04-30 22:03:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x7165b1…
04-30 22:02:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0xe820ce…
04-30 22:01:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x5e0cfd…