Wet-Encyclopedia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$362

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-06 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

41% 67% +$88

Crypto

39% — —

Other

20% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	+22	$5	24¢	$5	+$0	06-25 05:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$5	8¢	$4	$-1	07-06 22:16
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Yes	+22	$5	9¢	$2	$-3	06-04 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	2	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	04-08 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$28	34	34	+0	open	—	04-08 01:13
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	01-13 16:49
btc updown 5m 1772139600	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	02-26 21:05
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	2	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 01:11
btc updown 5m 1773349500	2	$10	11	7	+4	open	—	03-12 21:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	2	$10	786	0	+786	open	—	05-22 10:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$8	107	20	+87	open	—	02-24 15:05
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$8	760	0	+760	open	—	03-13 07:28
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	2	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-04 09:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	38	0	+38	Yes	+$32	04-10 09:26
btc updown 5m 1773387000	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-13 07:32
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 09:46
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	3	$5	67	67	+0	open	—	02-26 06:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	07-06 22:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-11 16:00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	1	$5	500	0	+500	Yes	$-5	05-11 15:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$5	312	0	+312	open	—	05-22 10:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-22 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	111	0	+111	open	—	04-10 09:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	156	0	+156	open	—	05-11 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	556	0	+556	open	—	05-11 15:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	67	0	+67	Yes	+$62	04-10 09:27
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	06-04 09:18
Natural Disaster in 2026?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	06-25 05:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	05-09 20:18
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	1	$5	49	0	+49	open	—	07-06 22:13
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	02-27 20:52
ethereum above 2100 on march 4	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-04 09:52
btc updown 5m 1772139000	4	$4	92	0	+92	open	—	02-26 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 22:16:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x34b7cd…
07-06 22:13:49	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xb69516…
06-25 05:07:08	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x605de7…
06-21 04:35:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd2ffd4…
06-04 09:18:27	Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8e4fad…
05-22 10:30:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb9d730…
05-22 10:27:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x90e613…
05-22 10:27:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x55d006…
05-12 17:18:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xda3a52…
05-11 16:00:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x783f20…
05-11 16:00:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6f5712…
05-11 15:20:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x7442a7…
05-11 15:14:24	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x72b365…
05-09 20:18:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd337ed…
04-29 13:49:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa3cab4…
04-29 13:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0866ee…
04-29 13:47:40	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x36ad41…
04-29 13:45:18	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xd88879…
04-10 09:27:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x439ebc…
04-10 09:27:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x8890f2…
04-10 09:26:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x38aa46…
04-08 01:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0xe59699…
04-08 01:12:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	45	74¢	$34	0xe2afc6…
04-08 01:11:55	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x0ebdc5…
04-07 19:52:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd362fd…
04-07 19:52:11	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x508a84…
04-07 19:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x2ef27e…
03-13 07:32:17	btc updown 5m 1773387000	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x7c7a70…
03-13 07:30:51	btc updown 5m 1773387000	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3e4c8c…
03-13 07:28:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0x1d0871…
03-12 21:08:25	btc updown 5m 1773349500	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x20e4ce…
03-12 21:06:01	btc updown 5m 1773349500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2197d4…
03-12 21:03:35	btc updown 5m 1773349200	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9ad8b8…
03-07 16:46:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 8	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x060dac…
03-07 16:46:29	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0a37e2…
03-07 09:34:39	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 7	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x95ec32…
03-07 09:33:07	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x71958f…
03-07 09:32:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$4	0xfa1ce8…
03-07 09:31:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xdcb047…
03-07 09:29:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4d0911…
03-07 09:27:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x12e448…
03-07 09:26:33	ethereum above 2200 on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x74f434…
03-07 09:26:23	ethereum above 2100 on march 7	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa9ddbf…
03-07 09:26:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4e254a…
03-07 09:25:57	bitcoin above 70k on march 7	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x305bd5…
03-04 17:01:15	spx up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8ad34…
03-04 16:59:59	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xfa2a06…
03-04 13:51:27	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xc23e47…
03-04 13:51:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4432df…
03-04 09:52:59	ethereum above 2100 on march 4	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xea336b…
03-04 09:52:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 4	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xa1a9b5…
03-04 09:49:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xc62dd2…
03-04 09:47:33	will ethereum reach 2400 march 2 8	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x6de429…
03-04 09:47:25	ethereum above 2300 on march 4	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xa3dbdf…
03-04 09:47:17	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xb2957e…
03-04 09:47:11	will ethereum reach 2300 march 2 8	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xe18f55…
03-04 09:47:03	ethereum above 2200 on march 4	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x2d7b3d…
03-04 09:46:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xed0fc9…
03-04 09:46:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0xbd5413…
03-04 08:56:33	trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x69eeea…
03-04 06:08:35	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8f42e8…
03-04 06:07:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x3f6e60…
03-04 06:06:27	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x074a52…
03-04 06:04:25	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb88516…
03-03 18:42:43	will ethereum reach 2300 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x17799d…
03-03 18:42:35	will ethereum reach 2400 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf340a5…
03-03 18:42:25	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xd54b3d…
03-03 18:42:19	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x060189…
03-03 18:42:13	will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xea36ea…
03-03 18:41:33	ethereum above 2100 on march 4	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e6199…
03-03 18:41:27	ethereum above 2200 on march 4	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x4560e5…
03-03 18:41:21	ethereum above 2300 on march 4	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0debf9…
03-03 18:40:45	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x56b183…
03-03 18:40:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x7f7d54…
03-03 18:40:27	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfe4fb3…
03-03 18:40:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 4	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x32a909…
03-03 18:39:37	spx up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf3b228…
02-27 21:22:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xc3f5f6…
02-27 20:52:09	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x35c0c6…
02-27 20:19:53	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0128d2…
02-26 21:43:54	xrp updown 5m 1772142000	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe8c289…
02-26 21:40:46	btc updown 5m 1772142000	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x60d22e…
02-26 21:39:56	btc updown 5m 1772141700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x97ce29…
02-26 21:38:46	btc updown 5m 1772141700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x318c62…
02-26 21:13:04	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x1fb97f…
02-26 21:11:50	trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x5e2ede…
02-26 21:08:28	btc updown 5m 1772139900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e7cdc…
02-26 21:07:34	btc updown 5m 1772139900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x38f4d7…
02-26 21:07:10	btc updown 5m 1772139900	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9c5b7c…
02-26 21:05:48	btc updown 5m 1772139600	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb55117…
02-26 21:02:02	btc updown 5m 1772139600	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x054be3…
02-26 21:00:54	btc updown 5m 1772139600	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x521515…
02-26 21:00:42	btc updown 5m 1772139600	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5ef003…
02-26 20:55:38	btc updown 5m 1772139300	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x72bca6…
02-26 20:54:12	btc updown 5m 1772139000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cba86…
02-26 20:53:24	btc updown 5m 1772139000	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x45476b…
02-26 20:51:52	btc updown 5m 1772139000	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xada9a2…
02-26 20:51:16	btc updown 5m 1772139000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x954910…
02-26 20:48:58	btc updown 5m 1772138700	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd50790…
02-26 20:47:52	btc updown 5m 1772138700	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8f2129…