Eminent-Bark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-11 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

36% 100% +$30

Other

33% 100% +$17

Crypto

28% 100% +$33

Tech

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No		+45	$42	98¢	$44	+$2	10-11 06:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$407	217	217	+0	No	+$7	05-29 20:16
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$369	198	198	+0	No	+$13	02-07 08:47
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$360	366	0	+366	No	+$6	02-07 08:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$335	172	172	+0	No	+$3	08-22 07:59
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$291	295	0	+295	Yes	+$4	03-23 05:40
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	1	$277	283	0	+283	Yes	+$6	03-04 08:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$276	281	0	+281	No	+$5	04-01 12:26
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$270	272	0	+272	Yes	+$2	01-21 07:39
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$267	270	0	+270	No	+$3	01-18 10:05
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	1	$220	223	0	+223	No	+$3	04-15 06:47
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	1	$212	216	0	+216	Yes	+$4	04-01 12:25
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$212	213	0	+213	No	+$1	07-15 08:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$210	213	0	+213	No	+$3	06-02 05:16
trump out as president by march 31	1	$190	194	0	+194	No	+$4	03-04 08:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$190	193	0	+193	No	+$3	05-30 05:13
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$160	162	0	+162	No	+$2	05-17 13:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$151	153	0	+153	No	+$2	06-23 06:15
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	05-17 13:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	1	$144	145	0	+145	No	+$1	07-15 08:11
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	1	$144	148	0	+148	No	+$4	06-02 05:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$111	113	0	+113	Yes	+$2	02-16 18:27
will solo mio opening weekend box office be less than 4m	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	02-07 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	1	$83	84	0	+84	No	+$1	09-15 10:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$82	83	0	+83	Yes	+$1	08-27 02:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$82	84	0	+84	No	+$2	08-22 08:44
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	1	$42	45	0	+45	open	—	10-11 06:09
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	10-11 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 06:12:30	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x6c6bf7…
10-11 06:09:15	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x763da6…
09-15 10:42:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x83d5d4…
08-27 02:48:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xacca5f…
08-22 08:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x8b6d16…
08-22 07:59:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	172	98¢	$169	0x6f914b…
07-15 08:12:59	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x784aac…
07-15 08:11:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xa5db7d…
07-15 08:10:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	172	96¢	$166	0x49d108…
06-23 06:15:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$151	0xebecab…
06-02 05:16:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0xfd8a52…
06-02 05:16:17	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0xfa91db…
05-30 05:13:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$190	0xf1d099…
05-29 20:16:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	217	95¢	$207	0xf29279…
05-17 13:35:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x1ad2d0…
05-17 13:31:01	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x055cbf…
05-17 13:29:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$160	0x89d9cd…
04-15 06:47:20	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$220	0x740668…
04-01 12:26:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	281	98¢	$276	0x3da2e9…
04-01 12:25:57	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x7378b6…
03-23 05:40:39	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	295	98¢	$291	0x84b531…
03-04 08:19:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	194	98¢	$190	0x716c59…
03-04 08:17:57	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	Yes	BUY	283	98¢	$277	0x4c8376…
02-16 18:27:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x90c894…
02-07 08:54:05	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	366	98¢	$360	0x017f24…
02-07 08:52:47	will solo mio opening weekend box office be less than 4m	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6c8323…
02-07 08:47:39	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	198	97¢	$191	0x0206a0…
01-21 07:39:44	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0xd7c02b…
01-18 10:05:04	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0xdb4561…
01-18 08:59:48	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	198	90¢	$178	0xd9116a…