Kaleidoscopic-Savannah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

412

Trades

1,135

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-28 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% +$90

Politics

3% 0% -$30

Other

1% 25% -$25

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$357	547	547	+0	open	—	10-27 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	10	$338	302	302	+0	Down	+$50	08-13 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	9	$330	368	300	+68	Down	+$18	09-19 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	10	$276	333	73	+261	Up	+$44	05-15 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$252	232	232	+0	Down	+$32	05-15 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	10	$252	323	223	+100	Down	+$52	05-15 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$250	398	398	+0	Up	+$50	10-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$235	503	303	+200	Down	+$15	10-28 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 22:15 UTC	7	$230	266	266	+0	Up	+$21	09-19 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$213	160	160	+0	Up	+$53	09-20 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	9	$205	268	152	+116	Up	+$20	05-15 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 19:00 UTC	5	$202	279	279	+0	Up	+$36	08-13 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$193	447	325	+122	Up	+$17	05-15 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	9	$189	152	152	+0	Up	+$51	05-16 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	11	$184	205	205	+0	Up	+$28	05-15 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$183	217	217	+0	Down	+$43	09-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$175	175	170	+5	Down	+$44	05-15 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$173	237	117	+120	Down	-$7	09-20 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$170	204	42	+162	Down	-$118	05-16 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	7	$166	230	144	+86	Up	+$42	05-15 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 04:30 UTC	9	$157	238	71	+167	Down	-$75	08-14 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$154	613	0	+613	Up	-$154	05-17 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:40 UTC	8	$136	118	118	+0	Down	+$9	08-12 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	5	$136	425	125	+300	Up	+$38	08-12 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$135	198	103	+95	Up	-$85	09-20 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$132	150	10	+140	Down	+$16	05-16 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$132	152	0	+152	Up	-$28	05-17 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$132	162	0	+162	Up	+$30	05-16 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$128	141	0	+141	Down	+$13	05-16 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	7	$128	144	106	+38	Down	$0	05-15 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0x510b99…
10-28 09:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6b3937…
10-28 09:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc8cb90…
10-28 09:18:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	303	41¢	$125	0x91d9d4…
10-28 09:17:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x14a5cc…
10-28 09:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0ffb17…
10-27 22:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	398	38¢	$150	0xe3beaa…
10-27 22:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	398	25¢	$100	0x817857…
10-27 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5324f0…
10-27 21:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	341	9¢	$30	0x3e12d9…
10-27 21:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x0c3f09…
10-27 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcc66c5…
10-27 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa02992…
10-27 20:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	94	6¢	$6	0x11fccb…
10-27 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x54e84b…
10-27 20:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x84a659…
10-27 20:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3fe656…
10-27 20:08:48	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0xf0a766…
10-27 20:05:35	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x7d02f6…
10-27 20:03:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	48	51¢	$24	0x74f299…
10-27 20:02:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	169	61¢	$103	0xc774f9…
10-27 20:01:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	275	38¢	$104	0x81b226…
10-27 19:31:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	367	21¢	$77	0x9dd000…
10-27 19:29:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	89	30¢	$27	0x8eb345…
10-27 19:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	63	81¢	$51	0xd5c4fa…
10-27 19:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xcd25af…
10-27 19:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x914035…
10-27 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	71	21¢	$15	0x7c5379…
10-27 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x967b54…
10-27 18:48:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x0d60ac…
10-27 18:46:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x9e203f…
10-21 12:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe4cb00…
10-21 12:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc7296a…
10-21 12:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc97ec6…
10-21 12:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbed56c…
10-21 12:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9e91f3…
10-21 12:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x10b4c7…
10-21 12:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcc8f92…
10-21 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb60496…
10-21 12:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfe79b2…
10-21 12:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3d46f3…
10-21 12:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x92c874…
10-21 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x606ba2…
10-21 12:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95b0aa…
10-21 12:03:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	594	5¢	$28	0x6c0560…
10-20 03:01:57	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	8¢	$47	0xef1170…
10-20 03:01:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	338	14¢	$47	0x95fc47…
10-16 14:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e1bf9…
10-14 15:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3ae3ed…
10-14 15:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf71493…
10-14 15:14:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0xe056d8…
10-14 11:37:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0xa8cc32…
10-14 11:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb48589…
10-14 09:28:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x3b3026…
10-14 09:25:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x28e11e…
10-14 09:25:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x670be5…
09-23 15:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x73ee28…
09-23 15:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd6ea1f…
09-23 15:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x1e927e…
09-23 15:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb92e09…
09-20 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc88bf2…
09-20 13:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa88e22…
09-20 13:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4c47ef…
09-20 13:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5f6ec6…
09-20 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x44640f…
09-20 13:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x00604d…
09-20 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	103	25¢	$25	0x0c19de…
09-20 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe3c69d…
09-20 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xee2b1f…
09-20 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x3a94ed…
09-20 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdac181…
09-20 13:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x005c96…
09-20 13:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x0b2c7d…
09-20 13:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x4794fe…
09-20 13:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf69664…
09-20 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x85e3ee…
09-20 12:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	92	73¢	$68	0xa4e061…
09-20 12:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4ba0cf…
09-20 12:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x109955…
09-20 12:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5efb73…
09-20 12:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe338ab…
09-20 12:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	68	71¢	$49	0x0ad4b8…
09-20 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb525b5…
09-20 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xab4078…
09-20 12:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x481ba5…
09-20 12:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	117	71¢	$83	0x1a360d…
09-20 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9ed3b0…
09-20 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xf7e771…
09-20 12:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xae9396…
09-20 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	83	38¢	$32	0x01047a…
09-20 12:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x0c331a…
09-20 11:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa380f5…
09-20 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	158	31¢	$49	0x8a66b1…
09-20 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x508db2…
09-20 11:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcc1768…
09-20 11:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf79bae…
09-20 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	160	83¢	$133	0x9a9e69…
09-20 11:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe9743f…
09-20 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2a1291…
09-20 11:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x152012…