Fond-Subexpression — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$587

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved (90d)

329

Trades (90d)

584

2,387 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$59.3K

$423.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-09 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% -$534

Other

0% 0% -$3

Politics

0% 14% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:05 UTC	3	$5.2K	3,168	2,165	+1,002	Down	+$74	07-26 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 08:25 UTC	4	$4.3K	2,281	2,281	+0	Up	+$130	07-24 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:50 UTC	4	$3.5K	2,145	2,145	+0	Up	-$466	07-25 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 04:55 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,039	0	+3,039	Up	+$39	08-01 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:50 UTC	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$30	07-31 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:45 UTC	1	$2.9K	2,975	0	+2,975	Down	+$30	07-31 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:40 UTC	1	$2.9K	2,939	0	+2,939	Up	+$29	07-31 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:15 UTC	1	$2.9K	2,931	0	+2,931	Down	+$31	08-01 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:25 UTC	1	$2.9K	2,919	0	+2,919	Up	+$29	07-31 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:10 UTC	1	$2.8K	2,857	0	+2,857	Up	+$57	08-01 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:30 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,871	0	+2,871	Down	+$71	07-31 09:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:30 UTC	1	$2.7K	2,810	0	+2,810	Down	-$2,720	08-01 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:25 UTC	1	$2.7K	2,818	0	+2,818	Down	+$133	07-31 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$2.6K	2,675	0	+2,675	Down	+$75	07-31 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:15 UTC	2	$2.5K	2,621	0	+2,621	Down	+$71	07-31 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,497	0	+2,497	Up	-$2,430	08-03 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:10 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,559	0	+2,559	Up	+$159	07-31 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,437	0	+2,437	Up	+$37	08-03 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:10 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,436	0	+2,436	Up	+$36	08-03 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:40 UTC	2	$2.4K	2,626	0	+2,626	Down	+$236	07-30 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:25 UTC	5	$2.4K	2,450	0	+2,450	Down	+$60	07-26 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:35 UTC	2	$2.4K	2,397	0	+2,397	Up	+$27	08-03 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:05 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,389	0	+2,389	Down	+$29	07-31 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2.3K	2,399	0	+2,399	Up	+$49	08-03 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,369	0	+2,369	Up	+$24	07-31 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:00 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,354	0	+2,354	Up	+$26	08-03 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 04:55 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,322	0	+2,322	Down	+$2	08-03 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:00 UTC	3	$2.3K	2,272	125	+2,147	Down	+$62	07-24 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	2,369	0	+2,369	Down	+$59	08-03 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:10 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,323	0	+2,323	Up	+$23	07-25 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 10:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2e87b3…
10-09 09:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	122	1¢	$1	0x07e53c…
10-09 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	102	86¢	$88	0x4662ac…
10-09 09:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x2288c6…
10-03 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x376b67…
10-03 21:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8babd4…
10-03 21:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x23f988…
10-03 21:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x72fdbd…
10-03 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x450136…
10-03 21:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbf106f…
10-03 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc13455…
10-03 20:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa0c5df…
10-03 17:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x925db1…
10-03 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x82a091…
10-03 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf873f7…
10-03 17:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf9ece1…
10-03 16:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba8edb…
10-03 16:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x43f77d…
10-03 16:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x28fe25…
10-03 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x61e164…
10-03 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf31f9c…
10-03 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xc94f0f…
10-03 16:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xdf9388…
10-03 16:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x47a1de…
10-03 16:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x0b10b5…
10-03 13:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x73c7de…
10-03 13:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x056ee8…
10-03 13:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ccfb0…
10-03 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x75027c…
10-03 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x11a581…
10-03 12:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4926bd…
10-03 12:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8960e3…
10-03 12:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf14ad8…
10-03 12:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x907102…
10-03 12:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb15cd…
10-03 12:17:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa872fa…
10-03 12:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9ad713…
10-03 12:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbf5fc9…
10-03 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4a9e1a…
10-03 12:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x38fc52…
10-03 12:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe8d869…
10-03 11:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc5cc1d…
09-20 11:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x49f998…
09-19 20:43:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	61¢	$29	0x74ffca…
09-19 20:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x669ae8…
09-19 20:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x728775…
09-19 20:31:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x99b32f…
09-19 20:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x046642…
09-19 20:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xbdfc42…
09-19 20:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb2831c…
09-19 20:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbbdd55…
09-15 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9b649b…
09-15 16:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x63004b…
09-15 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	187	88¢	$165	0x0cdcac…
09-15 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0xefe09e…
09-15 15:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	168	92¢	$155	0x1e4374…
09-15 15:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0xe57198…
09-15 15:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	157	89¢	$140	0xd70bba…
09-14 11:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x19f92c…
09-14 11:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6208e2…
09-11 10:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8af8c2…
09-11 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf1a77c…
09-11 09:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7df9d9…
09-11 09:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xda01a0…
09-11 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	148	95¢	$140	0x9c0d47…
09-11 09:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xb53cb2…
09-11 09:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xda521a…
09-11 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1ec73b…
09-10 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	122	85¢	$104	0x4d21c3…
09-10 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb600ef…
09-10 13:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x4251fb…
09-10 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x820f98…
09-10 13:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0xea87c7…
09-10 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9c5bf2…
09-10 13:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x02d204…
09-10 11:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x2a0623…
09-10 11:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xf373d8…
09-10 11:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xec0df0…
09-10 11:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x05da75…
09-10 11:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2ecdf7…
09-10 11:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0xded657…
09-10 11:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0x997ae0…
09-10 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	186	94¢	$175	0x0b046c…
09-10 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x15db26…
09-10 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x86342e…
09-10 11:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa2d443…
09-10 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x783ba7…
09-10 11:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x9e4fae…
09-10 11:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x83571e…
09-10 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x04cae4…
09-10 11:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb77a3…
09-10 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x042b22…
09-10 11:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x542372…
09-10 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	173	81¢	$140	0xa7255b…
09-10 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xa86ef0…
09-10 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x82c714…
09-10 10:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a02c1…
09-10 10:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf8e8a0…
09-10 10:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf6e375…
09-08 19:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x94936f…