Happy-Go-Lucky-Reconsideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

422

Trades

5,618

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

100% 40% -$1,312

Politics

0% 44% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	72	$1.3K	7,314	7,685	-371	No	+$421	04-02 08:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	51	$1.0K	3,581	3,830	-248	No	+$427	04-07 06:20
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	18	$797	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$317	03-15 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	31	$673	1,957	1,957	+0	No	+$262	03-04 16:42
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	53	$666	1,636	1,636	+0	Yes	+$250	03-09 04:28
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	59	$665	5,980	4,084	+1,896	No	+$15	02-20 13:08
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	27	$642	2,870	2,870	+0	No	+$240	02-20 11:48
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	106	$639	7,896	6,737	+1,159	No	-$236	03-30 18:15
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	35	$591	3,606	3,606	+0	Yes	+$51	03-19 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$583	9,447	7,447	+2,000	No	-$285	05-15 11:10
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	35	$561	11,404	11,470	-66	No	-$258	04-06 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	23	$551	801	801	+0	No	-$26	05-15 13:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	27	$549	1,950	1,800	+150	No	+$288	02-09 15:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	43	$508	3,560	3,485	+75	No	+$136	04-23 20:46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$507	950	0	+950	Yes	-$507	05-11 17:16
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	41	$494	5,400	5,328	+72	No	+$91	04-08 22:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	25	$493	1,796	1,796	+0	No	+$230	02-09 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	12	$467	1,480	1,480	+0	No	+$190	05-28 06:05
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	21	$456	860	860	+0	Yes	+$252	03-24 13:38
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	8	$453	2,508	1,254	+1,254	No	+$48	02-22 00:16
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	47	$417	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$217	04-12 17:47
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	80	$407	1,547	1,696	-149	No	+$72	03-19 22:22
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	49	$406	12,407	12,800	-393	No	-$204	03-18 21:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	9	$406	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$128	03-15 19:04
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	18	$404	2,922	2,439	+483	No	+$41	03-28 11:16
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	41	$394	2,941	2,250	+692	No	-$252	04-02 08:00
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	14	$385	2,690	1,952	+738	No	+$83	02-25 22:15
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	57	$372	4,485	4,457	+28	No	-$43	03-31 11:02
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	23	$340	924	925	-1	Yes	+$139	02-16 03:23
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	24	$334	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$129	02-01 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x7502d3…
10-26 22:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd19a72…
10-25 21:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x3213cf…
10-25 20:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd19486…
10-25 20:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5ed1a7…
10-25 16:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	23¢	$18	0x31e686…
10-25 14:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x68727e…
10-25 14:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xab6e5a…
10-25 14:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe3479f…
10-25 14:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xacb641…
10-25 14:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x7ab809…
10-25 14:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xe00d84…
10-25 07:51:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x7c24a8…
10-25 07:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde48f9…
10-25 01:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xff0be3…
10-25 00:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc5bef1…
10-25 00:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa0d540…
10-25 00:49:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa29b02…
10-25 00:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc6a90a…
10-25 00:38:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6e07cd…
10-24 17:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x904be8…
10-24 16:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0391e8…
10-24 16:11:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x7be6b5…
10-24 00:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0xda73c8…
10-24 00:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x00454c…
10-23 23:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x13f3e1…
10-23 23:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x184023…
10-23 23:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x87cdf3…
10-23 23:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd4b240…
10-23 18:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x4a470d…
10-23 18:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x497877…
10-23 18:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x07e49e…
10-23 18:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x09511b…
10-23 18:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x1c9248…
10-23 09:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xff2056…
10-22 16:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xaccc82…
10-22 16:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x0501ae…
10-22 16:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0xf2f64b…
10-22 10:31:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xad4731…
10-21 22:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc31ad8…
10-21 22:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	2¢	$4	0x2dc00d…
10-21 21:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xe59b8b…
10-21 21:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0d06b0…
10-21 21:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x9474a2…
10-21 21:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x542966…
10-21 21:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x169faa…
10-21 21:17:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x198f6a…
10-21 21:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xfb580d…
10-21 21:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x61966c…
10-21 21:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xe8d0c6…
10-21 21:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	3¢	$4	0xa2dae3…
10-21 21:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x6bdcdf…
10-21 21:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xbb253c…
10-21 17:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xdb63d3…
10-21 17:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x9d834d…
10-21 17:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0x5b3282…
10-21 17:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9fb95f…
10-21 16:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$2	0x945309…
10-21 16:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2857e…
10-21 16:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x7c14f6…
10-21 16:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	1¢	$1	0x0013d8…
10-21 16:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xa06ffd…
10-21 16:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2cbd54…
10-21 16:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa600dc…
10-21 16:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x3f84d3…
10-21 16:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd7b435…
10-21 16:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x827ae9…
10-21 16:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2debbc…
10-21 16:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeb68e1…
10-21 16:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xb63bb5…
10-21 16:19:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	1¢	$2	0xf31b39…
10-21 16:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x22d471…
10-21 16:14:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0xfdba9e…
10-21 15:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xa09371…
10-21 15:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x723fe6…
10-21 15:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x165daf…
10-21 15:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x88f1ab…
10-21 15:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xed569e…
10-21 15:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa17fec…
10-21 15:51:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x17434e…
10-21 15:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	660	3¢	$18	0xa8b1d3…
10-21 15:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	3¢	$10	0xd3bc5a…
10-19 21:27:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$26	0x079b0b…
10-19 20:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xa6adea…
10-19 19:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xaafbb5…
10-19 19:49:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x45f60b…
10-19 19:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	5¢	$24	0x97d6e4…
10-19 19:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x4c654b…
10-19 19:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbe7dca…
10-19 19:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xf2dbde…
10-19 19:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0293a9…
10-19 19:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xb89897…
10-19 19:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x54641c…
10-19 19:22:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0x298e6e…
10-19 19:22:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x114827…
10-19 18:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x090c61…
10-19 17:57:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xd2cfb7…
10-19 16:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x462ec3…
10-19 16:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xe66e3c…
10-19 16:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x9bc542…