Austere-Tussle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-12 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 33% +$0

Other

8% 0% $-10

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1770936900	2	$516	423	420	+3	open	—	02-12 23:01
btc updown 5m 1772486400	3	$452	303	204	+99	open	—	03-02 21:24
btc updown 5m 1772489400	4	$442	307	303	+3	open	—	03-02 22:13
btc updown 5m 1772487300	3	$423	392	225	+167	open	—	03-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$408	336	336	+0	open	—	05-19 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773094800	4	$408	352	347	+5	open	—	03-09 22:25
btc updown 5m 1772483400	2	$400	202	202	+0	open	—	03-02 20:35
btc updown 5m 1772487900	3	$400	377	201	+176	open	—	03-02 21:50
btc updown 5m 1770939000	8	$389	300	300	+0	open	—	02-12 23:35
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	4	$320	1,457	0	+1,457	open	—	03-10 21:43
btc updown 5m 1773702300	3	$316	290	151	+140	open	—	03-16 23:06
btc updown 5m 1773181500	7	$314	385	357	+27	open	—	03-10 22:29
btc updown 5m 1773179400	2	$306	160	159	+0	open	—	03-10 21:54
btc updown 5m 1772488200	4	$284	256	252	+4	open	—	03-02 21:54
btc updown 5m 1772484000	3	$283	233	134	+99	open	—	03-02 20:44
btc updown 5m 1770943500	17	$281	200	199	+1	open	—	02-13 00:50
btc updown 5m 1773703500	6	$273	158	157	+1	open	—	03-16 23:30
btc updown 5m 1772488800	2	$263	225	222	+3	open	—	03-02 22:04
btc updown 5m 1770939600	2	$250	154	152	+2	open	—	02-12 23:45
btc updown 5m 1773701700	2	$245	195	192	+3	open	—	03-16 22:59
btc updown 5m 1773173700	2	$240	163	161	+2	open	—	03-10 20:19
btc updown 5m 1773180600	2	$236	182	179	+3	open	—	03-10 22:11
btc updown 5m 1773486300	3	$231	122	122	+0	open	—	03-14 11:10
arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	2	$227	118	118	+0	open	—	02-25 21:53
btc updown 5m 1773179100	2	$226	128	127	+1	open	—	03-10 21:50
btc updown 5m 1773564900	2	$226	128	127	+1	open	—	03-15 08:59
btc updown 5m 1773175800	2	$224	126	125	+1	open	—	03-10 20:55
btc updown 5m 1773180900	2	$222	159	157	+2	open	—	03-10 22:16
btc updown 5m 1772486100	2	$220	130	129	+1	open	—	03-02 21:19
btc updown 5m 1773182100	7	$218	186	158	+28	open	—	03-10 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:55:30	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdec86b…
06-12 17:54:39	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x546808…
06-12 17:53:36	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1b2c91…
06-12 17:53:12	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x79d4e4…
06-12 17:51:36	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb49f96…
06-12 17:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x247bb1…
06-12 17:49:06	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x8b572e…
06-12 17:48:06	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfa3540…
06-12 17:43:48	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x16d85b…
05-19 20:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x246e3f…
05-19 20:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	355	2¢	$7	0x0ebc3b…
05-19 20:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8d6898…
05-19 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	355	28¢	$100	0x3a8b26…
05-19 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x625dbf…
05-19 19:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	336	99¢	$333	0x7d0883…
05-19 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xaa16d2…
05-19 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x998b0d…
05-19 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x4aa582…
05-11 20:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb0ea11…
05-11 20:44:57	Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xac1fb2…
05-11 20:33:34	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3cf46f…
05-11 15:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcef790…
05-08 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf5e11f…
05-08 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3bcd86…
05-08 16:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x06bd56…
05-08 16:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x839729…
05-08 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2d7e2b…
05-08 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x52b486…
05-08 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x621db9…
05-08 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xaf6bcd…
05-08 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5eecf2…
03-17 20:42:45	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x6c87e6…
03-17 20:38:57	btc updown 5m 1773779700	Down	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x7dee51…
03-17 20:35:31	btc updown 5m 1773779700	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x166102…
03-17 20:31:35	btc updown 5m 1773779400	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xff218a…
03-17 20:30:49	btc updown 5m 1773779400	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1b61dc…
03-17 20:29:03	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4331d0…
03-17 20:28:41	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x66d029…
03-17 20:28:11	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5bd1ba…
03-17 20:20:13	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa7384f…
03-16 23:56:39	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x63d3cf…
03-16 23:55:13	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5603d6…
03-16 23:51:57	btc updown 5m 1773705000	Down	SELL	90	81¢	$73	0x075648…
03-16 23:50:21	btc updown 5m 1773705000	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x4751b8…
03-16 23:50:11	btc updown 5m 1773704700	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x463617…
03-16 23:45:27	btc updown 5m 1773704700	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x88016e…
03-16 23:40:39	btc updown 5m 1773704400	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x368f62…
03-16 23:40:15	btc updown 5m 1773704100	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x3ffe11…
03-16 23:35:17	btc updown 5m 1773704100	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xad823a…
03-16 23:33:57	btc updown 5m 1773703800	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x0df4ed…
03-16 23:31:51	btc updown 5m 1773703800	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4bc114…
03-16 23:31:37	btc updown 5m 1773703800	Up	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x9b9ed7…
03-16 23:30:39	btc updown 5m 1773703800	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3bd505…
03-16 23:30:11	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x4ccbfa…
03-16 23:27:57	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x635279…
03-16 23:27:29	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	SELL	48	89¢	$43	0xdd8021…
03-16 23:26:55	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xfeddbd…
03-16 23:26:33	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0x242400…
03-16 23:25:41	btc updown 5m 1773703500	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xa4d4e1…
03-16 23:25:13	btc updown 5m 1773703200	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x10dd5b…
03-16 23:22:19	btc updown 5m 1773703200	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x505efc…
03-16 23:20:23	btc updown 5m 1773703200	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf842b6…
03-16 23:18:41	btc updown 5m 1773702900	Up	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xcb0679…
03-16 23:15:47	btc updown 5m 1773702900	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xa951c6…
03-16 23:06:23	btc updown 5m 1773702300	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x52b997…
03-16 23:06:01	btc updown 5m 1773702300	Up	SELL	151	77¢	$116	0x94d02b…
03-16 23:05:21	btc updown 5m 1773702300	Up	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0xca023b…
03-16 23:00:31	btc updown 5m 1773702000	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x8a23f2…
03-16 22:59:27	btc updown 5m 1773701700	Up	SELL	192	76¢	$145	0xb77e80…
03-16 22:56:25	btc updown 5m 1773701700	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x69d20e…
03-15 17:30:53	btc updown 5m 1773595800	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3bf7f2…
03-15 17:30:15	btc updown 5m 1773595500	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc6acf7…
03-15 17:28:57	btc updown 5m 1773595500	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xd8b040…
03-15 17:26:57	btc updown 5m 1773595500	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xaf3453…
03-15 17:25:31	btc updown 5m 1773595500	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x618c41…
03-15 17:20:23	nor kfu ik 2026 03 15 ik	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x3e1b43…
03-15 17:19:43	fl1 met tou 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07d92f…
03-15 17:18:01	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x591544…
03-15 17:17:43	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 tot	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x29fe33…
03-15 17:15:21	btc updown 5m 1773594600	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x41fe76…
03-15 17:14:17	btc updown 5m 1773594600	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x63ac63…
03-15 17:12:19	btc updown 5m 1773594600	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3c1fb2…
03-15 17:11:39	btc updown 5m 1773594600	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x76b329…
03-15 17:10:33	btc updown 5m 1773594600	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x887cd4…
03-15 17:08:47	btc updown 5m 1773594300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x334540…
03-15 17:08:13	btc updown 5m 1773594300	Up	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x7dca19…
03-15 17:07:09	btc updown 5m 1773594300	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xed7414…
03-15 17:05:49	btc updown 5m 1773594300	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x43dc8f…
03-15 17:04:31	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc235b2…
03-15 17:03:09	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xcce23e…
03-15 17:03:03	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9114c6…
03-15 17:02:55	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x43f92e…
03-15 17:02:47	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc73fd3…
03-15 11:24:33	btc updown 5m 1773573600	Up	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x873315…
03-15 09:27:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xff997d…
03-15 09:23:07	btc updown 5m 1773566400	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xc87239…
03-15 09:20:51	btc updown 5m 1773566400	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xee550d…
03-15 09:19:17	btc updown 5m 1773566100	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x5d7a42…
03-15 09:16:03	btc updown 5m 1773566100	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1dbd09…
03-15 09:15:09	btc updown 5m 1773565800	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe6766c…