Exalted-Segment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,666

lifetime

Volume

$76.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-03 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774525500	2	$1.2K	852	840	+12	open	—	03-26 11:50
btc updown 5m 1774522800	2	$889	618	609	+9	open	—	03-26 11:02
btc updown 5m 1774452000	2	$870	472	470	+2	open	—	03-25 15:25
btc updown 5m 1774421700	2	$719	736	0	+736	open	—	03-25 06:59
btc updown 5m 1775059200	3	$682	388	381	+6	open	—	04-01 16:06
btc updown 5m 1774521300	3	$667	792	176	+616	open	—	03-26 10:42
btc updown 5m 1774530300	1	$623	740	0	+740	open	—	03-26 13:07
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6am et	2	$602	303	303	+0	open	—	04-07 11:16
btc updown 5m 1774523100	1	$529	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	03-26 11:02
btc updown 5m 1773816000	3	$518	271	271	+1	open	—	03-18 06:45
btc updown 5m 1774590600	1	$517	838	0	+838	open	—	03-27 05:51
btc updown 5m 1773996000	2	$516	524	0	+524	open	—	03-20 08:44
btc updown 5m 1774531200	1	$501	856	0	+856	open	—	03-26 13:23
btc updown 5m 1774594200	1	$500	940	0	+940	open	—	03-27 06:47
btc updown 5m 1774529700	1	$496	627	0	+627	open	—	03-26 12:57
btc updown 5m 1774518600	1	$491	600	0	+600	open	—	03-26 09:50
btc updown 5m 1775219700	2	$483	256	254	+2	open	—	04-03 12:41
btc updown 5m 1773760500	2	$483	247	247	+0	open	—	03-17 15:26
btc updown 5m 1773828000	2	$467	278	276	+3	open	—	03-18 10:04
btc updown 5m 1775313600	2	$465	266	261	+4	open	—	04-04 14:46
btc updown 5m 1773759900	3	$448	381	148	+233	open	—	03-17 15:08
btc updown 5m 1773816600	2	$440	243	242	+1	open	—	03-18 06:56
btc updown 5m 1774461000	1	$429	442	0	+442	open	—	03-25 17:53
btc updown 5m 1774521600	2	$427	245	243	+2	open	—	03-26 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773995400	3	$401	216	216	+1	open	—	03-20 08:33
btc updown 5m 1774528200	1	$400	611	0	+611	open	—	03-26 12:31
btc updown 5m 1774589400	2	$399	819	0	+819	open	—	03-27 05:30
btc updown 5m 1773818100	2	$380	404	0	+404	open	—	03-18 07:19
btc updown 5m 1773830400	1	$366	381	0	+381	open	—	03-18 10:43
btc updown 5m 1775186400	1	$365	380	0	+380	open	—	04-03 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8dd39e…
05-27 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xee0f9c…
05-26 01:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2bdf17…
05-25 07:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb2602a…
05-25 00:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xfba6fa…
05-24 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x6e7289…
05-24 08:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x158439…
05-24 07:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xecdba0…
05-24 07:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x615308…
05-24 07:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x6d0d16…
05-24 07:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb236b0…
05-21 19:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1f2f59…
05-21 19:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x74c01f…
05-21 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd6bf10…
05-20 06:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd21f0d…
05-20 06:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x5bd24d…
05-20 05:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xfef031…
05-20 05:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x45ed7e…
05-20 05:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xffc7e0…
05-20 05:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x357309…
05-20 05:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x611565…
05-20 05:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x4aa7fd…
05-20 05:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xdf444b…
05-20 05:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x86b6a0…
05-20 05:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x0e8182…
05-20 04:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x07f11f…
05-20 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x38ef17…
05-20 04:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1231d6…
05-15 14:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x53be4e…
05-14 15:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6d6e26…
05-14 15:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd12317…
05-14 15:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6bd216…
05-14 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa2dcb4…
05-14 07:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6b65fc…
05-13 16:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0xfa81fb…
05-13 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x36a204…
05-13 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xca9e6f…
05-13 12:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x19fa6c…
05-12 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa58692…
05-12 19:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x81ee40…
05-12 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x668e34…
05-12 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6ba63c…
05-12 16:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4ec81a…
05-09 06:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x16e749…
05-09 06:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xfec660…
05-09 06:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x56d8a0…
05-09 06:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd4c4f6…
05-08 07:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8f4cdc…
05-08 07:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6f56f5…
05-08 07:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa68b68…
05-06 08:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x51513f…
05-06 08:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4f6afa…
05-06 08:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x4d30f2…
05-02 14:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4b0091…
05-01 07:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x220729…
04-30 12:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc292ce…
04-30 07:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0742f6…
04-30 07:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb27860…
04-28 18:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f4127…
04-28 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ca411…
04-28 18:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x5b225e…
04-28 17:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x1f2df6…
04-28 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x57176c…
04-28 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xa0a5c3…
04-27 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xcaa692…
04-27 19:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfbe74e…
04-27 19:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3c5694…
04-27 19:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf20d9e…
04-27 19:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x51a3e5…
04-27 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xc56252…
04-27 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x1bdd22…
04-26 16:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xd79432…
04-26 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xe815eb…
04-26 16:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc21fdc…
04-26 14:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x22f017…
04-26 13:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x1d9935…
04-26 13:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xadaf12…
04-26 10:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5ab907…
04-26 09:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6e039c…
04-26 09:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xf60338…
04-26 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x43b14e…
04-26 09:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x88cdab…
04-25 21:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x005d08…
04-25 05:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x34c5f5…
04-25 04:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0c07aa…
04-25 04:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4fe712…
04-25 04:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x77b018…
04-25 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x459b76…
04-24 17:39:32	btc updown 5m 1777052100	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x16978b…
04-19 04:29:40	btc updown 5m 1776572700	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4451ee…
04-19 04:19:32	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5ae05d…
04-19 04:11:44	btc updown 5m 1776571800	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xbf0323…
04-19 04:02:48	btc updown 5m 1776571200	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xce9abf…
04-17 06:32:04	btc updown 5m 1776407400	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x6080be…
04-17 06:24:18	btc updown 5m 1776406800	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x276cec…
04-17 06:12:02	btc updown 15m 1776405600	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf77448…
04-17 06:02:26	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9896bf…
04-17 04:51:36	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xee8d4b…
04-16 16:53:38	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x30633f…
04-16 14:28:46	btc updown 15m 1776348900	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x1bd261…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	956	$2.51K	5,685	05-27 14:59
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	950	$1.64K	3,871	05-21 19:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	943	$519.0K	43,187	05-27 14:57
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	931	$32.0K	7,785	05-21 19:37
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	925	$100.8K	14,618	05-27 14:55
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	918	$183.0K	20,323	05-27 14:59
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	909	$59.4K	7,944	05-15 14:09
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	899	$26.5K	3,718	05-27 14:58