Lavish-Barium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$4.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 08-11 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$8

Sports

26% 100% +$5

Tech

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	8	$699	533	400	+133	open	—	05-08 01:37
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$391	831	0	+831	open	—	06-10 14:45
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	3	$346	205	205	+0	open	—	05-08 00:42
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5	2	$280	312	0	+312	open	—	06-07 22:15
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	08-03 23:09
will jude bellingham score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	06-12 03:34
will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$200	260	0	+260	open	—	06-12 03:09
spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	2	$196	204	0	+204	open	—	06-12 01:11
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	2	$190	280	0	+280	open	—	08-01 12:08
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	08-11 10:59
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	05-08 00:59
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	06-09 17:15
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 18:48
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	9	$76	1,901	0	+1,901	open	—	05-12 20:06
vbvnl usa pol2 2026 08 02	4	$72	100	0	+100	open	—	08-02 02:24
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	07-18 21:03
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	01-15 18:34
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	6	$48	1,429	1,263	+167	open	—	07-20 10:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	2	$47	154	90	+64	open	—	02-10 13:59
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$44	154	154	+0	open	—	01-27 14:17
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	05-04 10:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	07-18 23:35
vbvnl jap2 usa 2026 08 01	3	$36	60	0	+60	open	—	08-01 10:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	01-15 18:26
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 10:13
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-14 22:06
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	3	$30	74	67	+7	open	—	01-27 14:33
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$26	16	16	+0	T1	+$6	05-10 10:38
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	2	$25	77	77	+0	open	—	01-30 17:24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	02-18 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:59:04	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x14f23a…
08-11 10:49:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x26fa74…
08-07 16:42:39	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf17b41…
08-03 23:09:26	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xcb36e9…
08-02 02:24:21	vbvnl usa pol2 2026 08 02	Poland	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2fa9f1…
08-02 01:55:39	vbvnl usa pol2 2026 08 02	Poland	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x4f258d…
08-02 01:55:35	vbvnl usa pol2 2026 08 02	Poland	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2c957c…
08-02 01:55:15	vbvnl usa pol2 2026 08 02	Poland	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0x28c5d0…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x6d9f93…
08-01 10:48:11	vbvnl jap2 usa 2026 08 01	USA	BUY	28	60¢	$16	0xfc4601…
08-01 10:31:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x24401c…
08-01 10:11:53	vbvnl jap2 usa 2026 08 01	USA	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x92ea53…
08-01 10:03:57	vbvnl jap2 usa 2026 08 01	USA	BUY	18	60¢	$10	0x9b6094…
07-25 18:25:04	ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25	Magomed Ankalaev	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa6a7c5…
07-20 10:42:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x26599a…
07-19 23:43:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,246	2¢	$21	0x143778…
07-19 23:39:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x0af9aa…
07-19 23:34:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x740dcb…
07-19 23:19:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	378	3¢	$10	0x31e969…
07-19 23:16:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x8282ea…
07-18 23:36:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x67f4f1…
07-18 23:35:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x998b23…
07-18 21:03:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x00fe24…
07-18 21:01:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf85b8d…
07-17 04:24:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6b3514…
06-14 22:06:57	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x8a9bfe…
06-14 10:24:12	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xc7b639…
06-14 10:23:49	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6cdcc4…
06-13 02:34:10	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd6c438…
06-12 03:34:09	will jude bellingham score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x3d06ac…
06-12 03:09:52	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xb893fd…
06-12 01:11:28	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7a07ae…
06-11 18:48:34	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf282ff…
06-10 14:45:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	204	47¢	$96	0xa8790a…
06-10 14:33:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	627	47¢	$295	0xf7667a…
06-09 21:39:19	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8a71e9…
06-09 21:37:39	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x967a38…
06-09 21:36:45	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x598cc3…
06-09 21:36:27	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x66e7b9…
06-09 19:16:06	Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4b887c…
06-09 17:15:57	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7f8bd9…
06-09 17:02:49	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9fb466…
06-09 03:48:30	will craig federighi say fluid during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xeb6f07…
06-09 00:32:16	will pope be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706071	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6278d3…
06-08 23:33:49	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9747d8…
06-08 01:15:36	Spread: Denmark (-2.5)	Ukraine	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf3cd3a…
06-07 22:33:34	Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)	Guatemala	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7ceca…
06-07 22:15:16	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xfef3f2…
06-07 21:57:36	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x5bad9b…
06-07 21:27:45	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x337358…
06-06 15:01:10	United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb507e2…
06-05 10:25:21	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0b7645…
06-03 14:25:18	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8b3eef…
06-01 06:24:47	Will Ricardo Horta be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb652c3…
05-31 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfab71d…
05-31 11:14:25	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	TEC Esports	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x698ba9…
05-31 10:39:09	Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x549d9e…
05-31 10:33:59	Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb2cb80…
05-31 10:30:35	Spread: Kyrgyz Republic (-2.5)	Kenya	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x78c142…
05-31 10:30:15	Spread: Kenya (-2.5)	Kyrgyz Republic	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe183f6…
05-31 10:21:43	Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	Poland	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x613dfd…
05-29 20:37:20	Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x264047…
05-29 18:46:33	SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b67e5…
05-29 18:42:09	Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier	G2 Minnesota	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd61136…
05-29 18:41:18	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs	Bubliki	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd1971…
05-29 18:41:08	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa41e73…
05-29 18:29:17	j2100 fco rei 2026 05 30 spread away 2pt5	FC Ōsaka	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8a3c2c…
05-29 18:26:54	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd44c1a…
05-24 18:37:00	Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94fa47…
05-24 14:50:47	Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)	AD Ceuta FC	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff6ba3…
05-20 16:13:30	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x99a841…
05-20 16:00:26	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb6fad1…
05-20 16:00:26	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6ece0d…
05-20 16:00:26	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1324f2…
05-20 16:00:03	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	395	0¢	$1	0xeefb8c…
05-20 15:51:15	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	255	1¢	$3	0x0a1382…
05-20 14:05:03	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x351d96…
05-20 04:15:28	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xeb694d…
05-20 03:10:19	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x1de31b…
05-19 22:47:12	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0xe468c6…
05-12 20:06:47	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb50bf6…
05-12 15:20:36	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xea72b7…
05-12 01:20:12	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9ffcbe…
05-12 00:17:50	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xe7b005…
05-12 00:16:51	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33c71f…
05-12 00:13:52	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x1aa5c4…
05-11 23:57:13	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x983e7d…
05-11 23:56:08	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xb4f41a…
05-11 12:56:44	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x63b96f…
05-10 10:38:37	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe78811…
05-09 11:34:50	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xae4891…
05-09 11:34:10	LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x862990…
05-08 01:37:44	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	400	76¢	$304	0x843994…
05-08 00:59:50	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5d165d…
05-08 00:42:36	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	129	96¢	$123	0x6e1de3…
05-07 22:45:28	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x4bca47…
05-07 01:04:05	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x984ba8…
05-06 14:33:44	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2afaf1…
05-06 14:23:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x98d5eb…
05-06 11:35:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x9c83a6…