Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

136

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 11-08 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 30% -$7

Politics

17% 39% -$6

Other

13% 57% -$5

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+5	$2	27¢	$1	-$1	11-08 15:17
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	10-20 15:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+60	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	08-16 07:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	6	$19	19	19	+0	Down	+$13	08-16 06:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 07:00 UTC	9	$18	70	8	+62	Down	-$2	04-13 07:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:20 UTC	9	$17	76	7	+68	Down	-$3	04-13 03:24
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3am et	9	$17	47	40	+7	Down	-$3	04-13 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:40 UTC	14	$16	36	0	+36	Up	-$1	04-13 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:25 UTC	9	$15	35	6	+29	Up	-$3	04-13 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	3	$14	14	10	+4	Up	+$2	08-15 05:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	4	$13	60	8	+53	Down	-$1	08-16 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:30 UTC	4	$13	14	6	+7	Down	-$1	08-16 06:33
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-27 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:10 UTC	3	$11	9	6	+4	Up	-$1	08-17 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:10 UTC	8	$11	77	0	+77	Up	-$3	04-13 03:15
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$11	11	11	+0	No	+$7	04-09 12:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$10	9	9	+0	No	+$6	04-11 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:30 UTC	7	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$3	04-13 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:50 UTC	6	$9	1,016	4	+1,012	Up	-$1	04-13 03:56
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	04-08 00:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-14 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$8	107	7	+100	Up	+$2	08-15 05:45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	04-08 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:00 UTC	5	$7	94	0	+94	Up	+$12	04-13 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:05 UTC	4	$7	60	0	+60	Down	-$3	04-13 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:55 UTC	5	$7	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	04-13 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:15 UTC	3	$7	9	7	+2	Down	+$3	08-17 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:55 UTC	3	$7	38	5	+33	Up	+$3	08-16 05:59
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	08-27 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	4	$6	9	4	+5	Down	+$0	08-16 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:30 UTC	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	08-15 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 04:10 UTC	3	$6	7	4	+3	Up	+$2	04-07 04:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	08-16 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8b983…
11-08 15:17:49	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x80ef4e…
10-29 08:53:43	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb69e8d…
10-27 22:51:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5effaf…
10-27 22:45:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe68e3a…
10-27 22:40:17	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x25519a…
10-20 15:14:14	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe36d50…
10-20 15:14:06	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3f5ffc…
10-20 15:11:45	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x1b94d0…
10-20 15:10:36	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2f2209…
10-20 15:09:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x702ff9…
10-20 15:08:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x21808f…
08-27 04:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x271cbc…
08-27 04:02:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdab017…
08-27 04:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd0c429…
08-27 03:59:28	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xb7ae10…
08-27 03:59:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x611028…
08-22 03:08:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x962b3b…
08-22 03:04:18	will solana dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x69f8ff…
08-22 03:02:43	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x81bd0f…
08-22 02:57:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x79949a…
08-20 02:17:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfe8ade…
08-20 02:17:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x75b493…
08-20 02:16:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x155257…
08-20 02:16:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d7a09…
08-20 02:10:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x66e0bc…
08-20 02:09:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe2c9e6…
08-20 02:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1567d1…
08-20 02:03:52	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x02d871…
08-20 02:00:58	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x14fe59…
08-20 02:00:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x048cef…
08-20 01:58:19	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x652efc…
08-20 01:58:13	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd892ce…
08-20 01:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1862dc…
08-17 02:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1c19a9…
08-17 02:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0788fd…
08-17 02:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb6ff7c…
08-17 02:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xd39c31…
08-17 02:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc2998d…
08-17 02:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2e1cad…
08-17 02:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xff2d33…
08-17 02:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4061ea…
08-17 02:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x905c96…
08-17 02:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x7f228c…
08-17 02:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x73349b…
08-17 02:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd4fb1…
08-17 02:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe55ed3…
08-16 07:03:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x44218f…
08-16 07:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd7244c…
08-16 06:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf449ba…
08-16 06:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4c9e53…
08-16 06:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x3e7b54…
08-16 06:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfa644b…
08-16 06:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x724499…
08-16 06:45:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa53a10…
08-16 06:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xce4276…
08-16 06:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe36223…
08-16 06:42:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4ce0bc…
08-16 06:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x14480c…
08-16 06:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xaf49f1…
08-16 06:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcea4ce…
08-16 06:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe97cb3…
08-16 06:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x798fc8…
08-16 06:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6ae309…
08-16 06:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe13e7c…
08-16 06:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x622eff…
08-16 06:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb61c5c…
08-16 06:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x188260…
08-16 06:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x331ca7…
08-16 06:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2460df…
08-16 06:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x0c2724…
08-16 06:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xed12ec…
08-16 06:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9f940a…
08-16 06:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd373f3…
08-16 06:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5901b2…
08-16 06:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x320d93…
08-16 06:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6cf24a…
08-16 06:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xfb76f6…
08-16 06:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf64e83…
08-16 06:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x747e9d…
08-16 06:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeaec12…
08-16 06:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7b663d…
08-16 06:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3ccd4d…
08-16 05:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x69d79f…
08-16 05:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6b5987…
08-16 05:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x566888…
08-16 05:56:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x61bcca…
08-15 06:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7d5dd0…
08-15 05:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x94e019…
08-15 05:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x829864…
08-15 05:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x45edb6…
08-15 05:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7ba400…
08-15 05:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xce084a…
08-15 05:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4da62b…
08-15 05:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa2a44b…
08-15 05:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bbb0e…
08-15 05:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xad71f4…
08-15 05:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1ae44b…
08-15 05:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xab4044…
08-15 05:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8be3ac…