Ill-Fated-Licence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

3,369

Trades

4,026

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-15 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$1,078

Other

0% 53% -$4

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:50 UTC	2	$325	167	167	+1	Down	+$5	04-12 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$240	240	240	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$222	215	215	+0	Up	+$6	05-20 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$209	180	180	+0	Down	+$20	05-21 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 19:30 UTC	2	$196	106	105	+1	Down	+$13	04-06 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	8	$194	380	0	+380	Down	-$194	05-22 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$191	375	0	+375	Up	+$184	05-22 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:10 UTC	2	$178	106	104	+2	Up	+$19	04-06 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:25 UTC	1	$165	356	0	+356	Up	-$165	04-12 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	Up	-$160	05-23 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:55 UTC	1	$139	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	04-12 08:59
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$127	297	0	+297	Down	-$127	05-20 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$112	80	80	+0	Up	+$30	05-21 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 19:35 UTC	1	$104	162	0	+162	Down	+$58	04-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$94	184	0	+184	Down	-$94	05-22 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$94	184	0	+184	Up	+$90	05-22 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$84	85	85	+0	Up	-$1	05-23 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-21 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	05-23 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:10 UTC	1	$70	135	0	+135	Down	-$70	04-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	11	$69	139	0	+139	Down	-$69	05-21 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$68	134	0	+134	Down	-$68	05-22 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$55	160	0	+160	Up	+$105	05-21 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$48	95	0	+95	Down	-$48	05-21 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$46	90	0	+90	Up	+$44	05-22 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$46	90	0	+90	Up	+$44	05-21 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	05-21 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$40	80	0	+80	Up	-$40	05-23 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	05-26 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$40	05-22 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb0d481…
10-15 15:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc7e756…
10-15 15:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x838b72…
10-15 15:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x46a4de…
10-15 15:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x48f4b4…
10-15 15:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe40c7e…
10-15 15:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9710e4…
10-15 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9c84b4…
10-15 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x570c50…
10-15 14:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc9272e…
10-15 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x803c87…
10-15 14:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1badba…
10-15 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa78242…
10-15 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb9b6f9…
10-15 14:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa1f488…
10-15 14:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8778d4…
10-15 13:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf9f162…
10-15 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf1e83d…
10-15 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0cb472…
10-15 12:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1f14b3…
10-15 12:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x456162…
10-15 11:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xde335e…
10-15 11:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x82d484…
10-15 11:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf340eb…
10-15 11:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xceff8d…
10-15 11:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xbadaf6…
10-15 10:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xfe5fe2…
10-15 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4508c2…
10-15 09:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2adb12…
10-15 07:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x321efa…
10-15 07:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x378537…
10-15 06:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc769ba…
10-15 06:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x16dd18…
10-15 06:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc33b66…
10-15 06:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x30e1a7…
10-15 06:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb03b30…
10-15 06:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb73a1f…
10-15 05:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf1a6c7…
10-15 05:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8eddb6…
10-15 05:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1fc358…
10-15 04:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x15b1f5…
10-15 04:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xccbe7b…
10-15 04:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5f9ccb…
10-15 04:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xed6a21…
10-15 03:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x46fcf9…
10-15 03:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3f4213…
10-15 03:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3fff35…
10-15 03:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7f5ed1…
10-15 03:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2305c6…
10-15 02:40:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7dd370…
10-15 02:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x173e41…
10-15 02:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x425c39…
10-15 01:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x77ad56…
10-15 01:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0ab3a7…
10-15 01:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x074d87…
10-15 01:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x86d604…
10-15 01:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe7cf8b…
10-15 00:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x79db04…
10-14 20:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3758fe…
10-14 19:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x96e2a2…
10-14 16:16:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5021a5…
10-14 15:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x401c75…
10-14 14:51:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x47d62b…
10-14 14:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5720c0…
10-14 14:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9ad50d…
10-14 14:03:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa14670…
10-14 13:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x40d64f…
10-14 13:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x33f444…
10-14 13:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe04edc…
10-14 13:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3da169…
10-14 12:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2f0d45…
10-14 12:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8fbc2a…
10-14 12:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x31993d…
10-14 12:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x467107…
10-14 09:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd2308a…
10-14 09:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8d89fc…
10-14 08:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x550f5c…
10-14 08:12:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x44c1db…
10-14 07:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x849637…
10-14 06:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x8e0552…
10-14 04:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x59c0d1…
10-14 00:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x78c254…
10-13 18:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1ab6cd…
10-13 14:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x69eccf…
10-13 14:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb690af…
10-13 14:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x5c02a9…
10-13 14:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x483d1f…
10-13 14:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf579b5…
10-13 14:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xda48e7…
10-13 14:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4e53ca…
10-13 13:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x792a27…
10-13 13:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x45c29b…
10-13 13:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4822a0…
10-13 13:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb1f4d3…
10-13 13:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0314eb…
10-13 13:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xec3c2a…
10-13 12:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb4ff25…
10-13 12:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x319af8…
10-13 12:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb12f3e…
10-13 11:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd84b45…