Favorable-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

246

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$7.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-27 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 35% +$211

Other

25% 20% -$278

Politics

24% 17% +$133

Sports

3% 40% -$33

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	18	$709	150,666	144,666	+6,000	Yes	-$142	02-03 04:15
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$380	290	290	+0	Yes	+$200	02-28 07:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	2	$255	357	0	+357	Down	+$102	02-03 06:36
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$251	224	224	+0	No	-$49	03-09 22:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$240	763	163	+600	Yes	+$85	03-01 04:19
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	4	$216	762	762	+0	No	+$16	03-02 22:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	3	$191	153	137	+16	Up	+$21	02-06 02:37
cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	2	$186	129	129	+1	Texas Longhorns	+$72	03-20 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:00 UTC	3	$182	196	112	+85	Down	+$21	02-06 02:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:15 UTC	2	$175	243	0	+243	Down	+$35	02-03 05:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$174	713	556	+158	Yes	+$172	02-27 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:30 UTC	6	$147	90	89	+1	Up	+$20	02-06 00:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:00 UTC	1	$119	177	0	+177	Down	+$59	02-03 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 19:05 UTC	1	$113	116	0	+116	Down	+$3	02-25 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 17:45 UTC	2	$104	117	0	+117	Up	+$13	02-25 17:50
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	1	$103	234	0	+234	Seahawks	-$103	01-25 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:00 UTC	1	$101	205	0	+205	Down	-$101	02-06 03:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:30 UTC	1	$100	233	0	+233	Down	+$133	02-03 05:36
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$97	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	03-16 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 04:45 UTC	1	$96	112	0	+112	Down	+$16	02-03 04:52
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	4	$96	1,612	1,087	+525	No	-$16	02-28 18:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 21:25 UTC	1	$90	92	0	+92	Down	+$1	02-25 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 09:25 UTC	2	$89	95	0	+95	Down	+$6	02-25 09:29
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$88	149	149	+0	No	-$12	03-05 08:03
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	3	$87	57	57	+0	Tennessee Volunteers	+$27	03-23 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 09:20 UTC	1	$76	89	0	+89	Down	+$14	02-25 09:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 21:50 UTC	1	$75	94	0	+94	Up	-$75	02-25 21:54
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$75	50	50	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$25	03-23 03:51
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	3	$74	106	53	+53	Connecticut Huskies	-$26	03-26 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:45 UTC	3	$74	47	47	+0	Up	+$12	02-06 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 02:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0xc63b21…
05-23 06:06:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x7f6029…
05-14 23:09:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0xe78fe3…
05-14 20:50:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x0a40ab…
05-10 02:11:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x76fd46…
04-30 23:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe8da03…
04-28 19:52:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$2	0xde19d3…
04-14 01:41:09	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Youtube Allstars	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xa8f508…
04-14 01:40:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0x63cbce…
04-07 17:27:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xf04065…
04-06 22:45:41	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf337a6…
04-05 05:26:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea7aad…
04-02 07:49:29	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xb030cb…
04-01 23:58:39	will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	No	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x1854cd…
04-01 23:58:17	will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	No	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xcc977a…
04-01 23:57:43	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xa5314b…
04-01 23:57:31	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x70b242…
04-01 23:57:19	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf378c7…
03-31 06:51:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$5	0xabbf5f…
03-29 17:57:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	361	8¢	$30	0xf3d625…
03-29 08:32:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7f9d92…
03-28 03:52:27	cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x6ff869…
03-28 01:15:45	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb5014f…
03-27 23:27:41	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x58d8f8…
03-27 05:24:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xf73f14…
03-27 04:03:37	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x321d86…
03-27 04:02:43	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b96a7…
03-26 21:56:51	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	SELL	53	46¢	$24	0x1993eb…
03-26 04:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	307	11¢	$34	0x57353a…
03-26 04:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd9f2c…
03-26 04:43:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x125f0f…
03-26 04:36:49	nba tor lac 2026 03 25	Raptors	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x999f6a…
03-26 04:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x7d8ea9…
03-26 04:33:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa4434a…
03-26 04:29:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	465	0¢	$1	0x5e251b…
03-26 04:26:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xbbd8f2…
03-26 04:24:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0ce384…
03-26 04:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x05428d…
03-26 01:31:43	cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5fa0ce…
03-26 01:31:37	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x740812…
03-26 01:29:39	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Texas Longhorns	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x03e2ad…
03-26 01:28:07	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x743f52…
03-26 01:27:45	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x2800fc…
03-26 01:26:17	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd53d6a…
03-23 06:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4868cf…
03-23 03:51:31	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3817b7…
03-23 03:51:25	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Tennessee Volunteers	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xac313f…
03-23 02:02:35	cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	Utah State Aggies	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xefcd3c…
03-23 01:55:31	cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	Utah State Aggies	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xee8ae4…
03-23 00:13:39	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbe3f49…
03-22 21:27:03	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xaf6e80…
03-22 21:26:25	cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x836127…
03-22 21:26:03	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x55628b…
03-22 21:23:31	cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	UCLA Bruins	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc140bd…
03-21 23:21:15	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x6f0444…
03-21 23:19:19	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x22e5a4…
03-21 23:17:47	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x496682…
03-21 23:16:13	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xec4faf…
03-21 23:15:31	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x976782…
03-21 23:14:29	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xd5ed79…
03-20 21:36:47	cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	Miami (OH) RedHawks	BUY	262	2¢	$4	0x31d2e1…
03-20 04:51:15	cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	High Point Panthers	BUY	79	16¢	$13	0x3b1495…
03-20 04:46:41	cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	Miami (OH) RedHawks	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x06fb1d…
03-20 04:43:21	cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	Santa Clara Broncos	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x416a7c…
03-20 04:42:23	cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	UCLA Bruins	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xb52a81…
03-20 03:59:15	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Kennesaw State Owls	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xb9f457…
03-20 03:29:25	cbb idaho hou 2026 03 19	Idaho Vandals	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66d071…
03-20 03:15:05	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Kennesaw State Owls	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbc90bc…
03-20 03:09:15	cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	Texas Longhorns	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xcb6ad3…
03-19 18:18:25	cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	Texas Longhorns	BUY	129	44¢	$57	0x850790…
03-19 18:17:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	13¢	$13	0x55234c…
03-16 01:01:27	will the secret agent win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xcbb49e…
03-16 00:59:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x7c7620…
03-16 00:00:55	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xe2c846…
03-12 02:50:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1de1a0…
03-09 22:40:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	172	40¢	$69	0xc9b773…
03-08 02:31:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	229	10¢	$24	0xcc9e3d…
03-06 23:25:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	23¢	$24	0x7032d7…
03-06 23:25:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0x6260b9…
03-05 08:03:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xc50384…
03-05 08:03:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	517	1¢	$6	0xdd4fac…
03-05 08:03:23	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	149	26¢	$38	0x8003d5…
03-03 22:34:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,305	0¢	$7	0x62464c…
03-03 22:34:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x413974…
03-03 06:36:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,355	0¢	$5	0xccfeb5…
03-03 06:35:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xcac587…
03-02 22:46:31	will hillarys remarks not air	No	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0xf68eae…
03-02 22:40:09	will hillarys remarks not air	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1c7075…
03-02 22:38:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	126	10¢	$13	0x77ce4d…
03-02 18:55:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x3762ab…
03-02 18:54:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x850f6f…
03-02 18:54:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	43	59¢	$25	0xd9672a…
03-02 08:33:27	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x8c8a0e…
03-02 08:32:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	87	9¢	$7	0xf6fa7e…
03-02 08:31:55	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$7	0x983030…
03-02 08:31:47	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	47	16¢	$7	0xfd94f3…
03-02 00:55:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	224	67¢	$150	0x2af302…
03-02 00:26:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	153	2¢	$2	0xaa3554…
03-02 00:23:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x0f7403…
03-02 00:23:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcf558c…