Elementary-Caution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

381

Trades

745

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-29 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

80% 55% -$10

Crypto

20% 72% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	6	$92	123	123	+0	Zhejiang Lions	+$22	10-27 12:52
Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	6	$91	79	79	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$7	10-28 16:27
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	2	$82	59	59	+0	Yes	+$12	10-25 17:59
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	3	$74	52	52	+0	Yes	+$12	10-24 14:17
Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders	3	$52	30	30	+0	Seoul Thunders	+$7	10-24 09:18
Shiga Lakestars vs. Nagasaki Velca	5	$50	88	88	+0	Shiga Lakestars	+$8	10-23 10:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 22:05 UTC	7	$44	41	40	+1	Up	+$5	03-13 22:06
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	2	$31	28	28	+0	No	+$11	10-28 18:01
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	3	$26	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	03-14 15:26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	2	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	2	$25	24	23	+0	Up	+$5	03-14 08:02
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?	2	$25	23	23	+0	No	+$5	08-15 13:12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	2	$24	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 18:10
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin	8	$24	19	19	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$2	10-03 07:49
Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw?	3	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$11	09-25 12:07
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-14?	2	$22	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	08-14 17:58
Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	4	$22	100	100	+0	Sydney Kings	-$18	10-28 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:50 UTC	3	$22	25	14	+12	Up	+$1	03-14 08:54
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-28?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 13:31
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-12?	2	$21	33	33	+0	No	+$13	09-12 14:44
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?	2	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$5	10-11 17:32
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 bay	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-14 08:23
Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	3	$18	41	41	+0	No	+$4	08-16 13:50
fl1 pfc ogc 2026 03 01 pfc	2	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 15:41
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	3	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$6	09-28 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:45 UTC	2	$18	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	03-14 08:48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-26?	3	$17	25	25	+0	No	+$3	09-26 13:19
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-08-29?	3	$17	24	24	+0	Yes	-$3	08-29 12:26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05?	3	$16	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	09-05 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:09:46	Spread: Pyramids FC (-1.5)	Pyramids FC	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4d1434…
10-29 16:15:20	Will APS Atrómitos Athinón win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x7c8d21…
10-29 16:13:26	Will APS Atrómitos Athinón win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x1ff20f…
10-29 16:10:26	Will APS Atrómitos Athinón win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa00fd7…
10-29 13:32:19	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xe59771…
10-29 13:03:53	Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x3134d5…
10-29 12:23:31	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x75f7a0…
10-29 12:21:35	Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4883a5…
10-29 10:15:07	Brisbane Bullets vs. Cairns Taipans	Brisbane Bullets	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xb550a9…
10-29 10:13:38	Brisbane Bullets vs. Cairns Taipans	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x61615b…
10-29 07:20:59	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4cf254…
10-29 07:08:23	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7c2dfe…
10-29 06:55:07	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb63f67…
10-29 06:35:59	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4d6ecc…
10-29 06:25:25	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x50d855…
10-29 06:12:19	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9ab312…
10-29 06:07:28	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8d1487…
10-29 06:00:38	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x0062e3…
10-29 06:00:28	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xeda58f…
10-29 05:59:37	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf079c8…
10-29 05:51:55	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeeb434…
10-29 05:45:19	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xbbc5e1…
10-29 05:44:59	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb2ef3a…
10-29 05:36:52	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x358dc3…
10-28 18:01:28	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x81fbd3…
10-28 17:39:58	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x431ce2…
10-28 16:27:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0xd66a12…
10-28 15:50:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x4f8c35…
10-28 15:48:25	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb525d1…
10-28 15:39:22	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x13dde6…
10-28 15:38:55	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x28ab3e…
10-28 15:31:34	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x41b5f5…
10-28 15:30:52	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xc3041b…
10-28 15:07:50	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x658318…
10-28 14:59:01	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4b3ad4…
10-28 14:55:59	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x03ddc4…
10-28 14:24:08	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x8b2cbc…
10-28 14:24:02	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x16443b…
10-28 14:09:02	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa1bc54…
10-28 14:07:46	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf43816…
10-28 13:31:26	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	Olympiakós SFP	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xad5718…
10-28 13:31:10	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x0f1e1b…
10-28 13:10:34	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x65364c…
10-28 13:07:55	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	Olympiakós SFP	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdc47d3…
10-28 12:11:01	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Perth Wildcats	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb421ae…
10-28 10:48:14	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Perth Wildcats	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2268b5…
10-28 10:41:34	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Perth Wildcats	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xff1522…
10-28 10:39:49	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Perth Wildcats	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0edcc7…
10-27 16:14:02	Will AE Kifisiás win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$5	0xa178d9…
10-27 15:47:50	Will AE Kifisiás win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xecb98e…
10-27 12:52:30	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	SELL	123	46¢	$57	0x2a5bb8…
10-27 12:30:03	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbece62…
10-27 12:07:08	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0x75de57…
10-27 12:01:08	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa29e96…
10-27 11:45:29	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0711bb…
10-27 11:45:18	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb6deb2…
10-25 21:53:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x04d576…
10-25 20:52:06	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2cddfd…
10-25 20:20:41	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x52d06b…
10-25 20:12:41	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xab6448…
10-25 17:59:32	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	59	79¢	$47	0xd6f26c…
10-25 17:53:45	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x6a1f5e…
10-25 14:19:15	Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa525e0…
10-25 13:28:35	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x07a9ff…
10-25 12:11:03	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb130d2…
10-25 11:48:14	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3c1e05…
10-25 08:45:54	Tokyo Sunrockers vs. Diamond Dolphins	Tokyo Sunrockers	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x5c6937…
10-25 08:18:41	Tokyo Sunrockers vs. Diamond Dolphins	Tokyo Sunrockers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd1deaf…
10-25 08:08:17	Tokyo Sunrockers vs. Diamond Dolphins	Tokyo Sunrockers	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc57254…
10-24 18:10:30	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xceb265…
10-24 17:09:59	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc22a8e…
10-24 16:46:27	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xee06ba…
10-24 14:17:05	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	52	82¢	$43	0xfb7f54…
10-24 13:51:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xe2878b…
10-24 13:30:03	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x0af513…
10-24 13:18:45	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x174454…
10-24 12:54:14	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x16a28f…
10-24 12:50:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd05e9e…
10-24 12:45:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x192ab0…
10-24 10:54:26	Trabzonspor vs. Esenler Erokspor	Trabzonspor	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa2f9a2…
10-24 10:53:57	Trabzonspor vs. Esenler Erokspor	Esenler Erokspor	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x565b44…
10-24 10:53:32	Trabzonspor vs. Esenler Erokspor	Esenler Erokspor	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xff13a2…
10-24 10:42:18	Trabzonspor vs. Esenler Erokspor	Esenler Erokspor	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa5ef05…
10-24 10:14:42	Trabzonspor vs. Esenler Erokspor	Esenler Erokspor	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x669f46…
10-24 09:18:59	Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x3504a9…
10-24 08:10:18	Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x643c07…
10-24 08:07:32	Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xa6bede…
10-24 07:48:11	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6f22f9…
10-24 07:26:08	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7124a3…
10-24 07:15:59	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x59f764…
10-24 07:13:17	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x03220d…
10-24 06:46:38	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x05b2cd…
10-24 06:46:32	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x36ed36…
10-24 06:39:56	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x194e09…
10-24 06:36:29	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c33dd…
10-24 06:27:48	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3bc19f…
10-24 06:26:06	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x51c9df…
10-24 06:15:17	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd491c2…
10-23 10:41:30	Shiga Lakestars vs. Nagasaki Velca	Nagasaki Velca	SELL	88	33¢	$29	0x275374…
10-23 10:34:15	Shiga Lakestars vs. Nagasaki Velca	Nagasaki Velca	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x0142f9…