Vivid-Chrysalis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

529

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-12 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

96% 69% -$136

Politics

3% 0% -$18

Tech

1% 0% -$12

Crypto

0% 40% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	9	$194	250	176	+74	Yes	-$12	03-17 06:42
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	4	$168	166	166	+0	No	+$2	03-10 08:06
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$122	99	99	+0	No	-$8	03-01 11:19
will tisza win 42 46 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$117	101	101	+0	No	-$2	03-17 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?	2	$110	81	81	+0	No	+$50	07-11 11:22
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	8	$108	20	220	-200	No	-$2	03-18 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 16?	1	$91	884	0	+884	No	-$91	07-14 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	3	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$11	06-24 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 17?	4	$85	75	25	+50	No	+$15	07-17 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 24?	4	$82	55	55	+0	No	+$27	06-24 19:26
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$82	102	102	+0	No	-$2	03-01 11:19
highest temperature in moscow on april 4 2026 14corhigher	4	$82	76	35	+41	Yes	+$1	04-04 10:28
will the washington wizards win more than 20pt5 regular season games in 202526	2	$80	138	0	+138	No	-$11	03-02 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?	4	$75	81	81	+0	No	+$15	06-24 15:59
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by April 30, 2026?	9	$73	91	165	-74	No	-$6	03-19 10:02
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$71	56	56	+0	Yes	-$1	03-18 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	2	$68	38	38	+0	No	+$8	08-08 08:11
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	3	$68	29	87	-58	No	-$1	03-18 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 25?	2	$67	38	38	+0	No	+$8	07-25 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?	2	$67	38	38	+0	No	+$8	08-10 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 25?	2	$67	38	38	+0	No	+$8	07-25 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-08 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$8	07-21 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	07-20 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-06 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-07 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-06 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 11?	2	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-11 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	2	$66	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-12 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 7?	2	$66	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 15:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb25b9e…
08-12 11:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xa01a44…
08-12 10:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x0314e3…
08-12 08:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xdb0ac8…
08-12 08:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xab77d3…
08-12 04:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0x6ee526…
08-11 17:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 11?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x3df547…
08-11 14:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x14914a…
08-11 09:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x181751…
08-11 07:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 11?	No	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x677150…
08-11 04:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0xc3c7c0…
08-11 04:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xa621f0…
08-10 21:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 10?	No	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0xafd3a3…
08-10 20:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x7db993…
08-10 16:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x9f77e2…
08-10 16:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6ad35a…
08-10 14:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xb3b3a8…
08-10 11:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x8c8fb5…
08-10 10:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 10?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa92256…
08-10 09:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 10?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0x26a5c1…
08-10 06:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 10?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xce268e…
08-10 04:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$29	0x2f9150…
08-09 14:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x80609f…
08-08 15:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8?	No	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x25a003…
08-08 14:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xd9f703…
08-08 14:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x08f687…
08-08 14:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0xeaaa1b…
08-08 09:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x5a449c…
08-08 08:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xce3dc8…
08-08 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8?	No	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x14f6a2…
08-08 08:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xa2398c…
08-08 07:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x9ee355…
08-08 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x3acb7a…
08-08 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	No	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x28e141…
08-08 03:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x6fd166…
08-08 03:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc2bb94…
08-08 02:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$17	0x027dd3…
08-07 23:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 7?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x69fbd4…
08-07 22:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8a6299…
08-07 20:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x0517ba…
08-07 16:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x40c297…
08-07 15:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 7?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x921078…
08-07 14:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x6719e2…
08-07 14:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7?	No	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x95986b…
08-07 13:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0x9182b2…
08-07 10:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xbf1b77…
08-07 08:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb9756b…
08-07 06:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x58b4d5…
08-07 06:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x699d09…
08-07 06:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x1323ca…
08-07 05:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$29	0x194458…
08-06 21:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x703026…
08-06 20:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x366da6…
08-06 19:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$29	0xf429ba…
08-06 18:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xd47b0c…
08-06 16:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0xa132f5…
08-06 14:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	No	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x3bde64…
08-06 14:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x2edf3f…
08-06 12:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x5f7447…
08-06 12:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xc119ba…
08-06 11:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x5ebe08…
08-06 11:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x60bb40…
08-06 10:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x676b66…
08-06 10:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xf1642b…
08-06 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xcc323d…
08-06 06:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	No	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x91ef7e…
08-06 06:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xbe8912…
08-06 05:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0x87aa69…
08-06 04:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$29	0x5af63f…
08-06 03:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xfeae8c…
07-25 20:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 25?	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xeafbd0…
07-25 20:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 25?	No	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xe1d9c5…
07-25 18:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 25?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xb9ec42…
07-25 15:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xe8d9a5…
07-25 15:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 25?	No	SELL	36	18¢	$7	0x47dcc8…
07-25 15:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x039110…
07-25 11:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7aea96…
07-25 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8f12a3…
07-25 07:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xdc2289…
07-25 07:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb76fdd…
07-25 07:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xd19c85…
07-25 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 25?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xa1273b…
07-25 06:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xba0ac4…
07-25 06:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x38240d…
07-25 06:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$29	0xfbdd37…
07-25 04:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xa51322…
07-25 04:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x64c8c8…
07-24 18:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x81b5fc…
07-24 17:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd4bce4…
07-24 15:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x2b64c6…
07-24 14:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x256ac9…
07-24 09:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x189f72…
07-24 09:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x4f7400…
07-24 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	No	BUY	34	78¢	$27	0x1287b0…
07-24 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0x0c98ee…
07-23 12:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x965eda…
07-23 10:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xfada8a…
07-23 07:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x72866c…
07-23 04:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x9cd2df…
07-22 23:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 22?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x15e3dc…