Major-Suede — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

3,088

Trades

5,228

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-10 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 47% -$545

Other

13% 39% -$77

Sports

3% 42% +$11

Politics

2% 19% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 744 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	09-12 02:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+5	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-12 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 mzp unity 2026 03 23	8	$183	154	154	+0	Metizport	-$5	03-23 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$183	351	0	+351	Down	-$183	06-01 15:00
aus vic ccm 2026 03 21 vic	2	$158	116	58	+58	Yes	+$16	03-21 08:21
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	2	$155	97	97	+0	Team Falcons	+$39	06-21 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$153	171	0	+171	Up	+$18	05-30 05:55
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	2	$149	267	266	+1	Tennessee Volunteers	+$69	03-23 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$134	268	0	+268	Down	+$134	06-01 14:45
cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 23	6	$131	159	159	+0	Natus Vincere	-$9	03-23 12:49
aus bri wel 2026 03 21 wel	2	$131	111	111	+0	Yes	+$91	03-21 06:56
cs2 ast leo2 2026 03 23	4	$116	89	89	+0	Leo Team	+$16	03-23 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$113	163	0	+163	Up	+$50	05-30 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$107	217	0	+217	Up	-$107	06-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$97	179	0	+179	Down	+$82	06-01 17:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:15 UTC	5	$94	97	92	+5	Down	-$4	06-08 13:20
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	5	$89	165	100	+65	Knicks	+$42	06-05 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$88	179	0	+179	Down	-$88	06-01 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$86	154	0	+154	Down	-$86	06-01 15:24
chi bgu sgr 2026 03 21 bgu	1	$86	127	0	+127	No	-$86	03-21 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$86	171	0	+171	Down	+$86	06-01 14:28
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	2	$85	46	46	+0	Yes	+$5	06-08 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$85	107	0	+107	Up	+$22	05-30 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$84	136	0	+136	Up	-$17	05-30 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$83	114	0	+114	Down	-$30	05-30 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$82	161	0	+161	Up	+$79	06-01 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$81	151	0	+151	Down	-$81	06-01 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$80	171	0	+171	Down	+$91	06-01 15:19
bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	3	$80	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	06-06 07:25
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	4	$80	79	77	+1	Yes	+$11	03-23 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$79	137	0	+137	Up	-$79	05-30 14:17
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	2	$78	60	60	+0	Team Falcons	+$42	06-20 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0c7d1e…
10-10 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5ba054…
10-10 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x17bdf6…
10-10 22:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x393bc9…
10-10 22:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0aebd6…
10-10 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe454e9…
10-10 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9943a0…
10-10 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42419…
10-10 21:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4847b8…
10-10 21:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x98db10…
10-10 21:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd36074…
10-10 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x318bf5…
10-10 21:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xabebd6…
10-10 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb2a37c…
10-10 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e4c53…
10-10 18:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x506920…
10-10 18:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf2b451…
10-10 18:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe48c3c…
10-10 18:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf25c8…
10-10 17:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x634973…
10-10 17:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x721c9b…
10-10 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc58808…
10-10 17:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3d826b…
10-10 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x24a731…
10-10 17:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x29d564…
10-10 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x33b5e4…
10-10 17:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x072cbb…
10-10 17:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3449b0…
10-10 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1cf2ee…
10-10 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xab1542…
10-10 17:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcb2f34…
10-10 16:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c5ffc…
10-10 16:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa4dd71…
10-10 16:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x25b3ad…
10-10 16:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa2fbc5…
10-10 16:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x027528…
10-10 16:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc1f9d3…
10-10 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8d0f57…
10-10 15:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf2de1d…
10-10 13:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfca340…
10-10 13:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5ef037…
10-10 13:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x91cf5c…
10-10 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4fe74…
10-10 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe76602…
10-10 11:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3e37f4…
10-10 11:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xae14c3…
10-09 07:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4b0c99…
10-08 22:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb355f5…
10-08 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6dfa45…
10-08 15:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1e3e82…
10-08 14:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfb6975…
10-08 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8479de…
10-08 13:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6f10b1…
09-20 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x57db10…
09-20 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf709ba…
09-20 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2b9449…
09-20 16:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3b7c1d…
09-20 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x219745…
09-20 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9a975d…
09-20 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x076f41…
09-20 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x91dbbd…
09-20 15:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x87f0c6…
09-20 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc80bb3…
09-20 15:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x457d77…
09-20 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x824f46…
09-20 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6dd79f…
09-20 15:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7dc5d7…
09-20 15:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x05090e…
09-20 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xde28e3…
09-20 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd9f06…
09-20 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2085b9…
09-20 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc7af2c…
09-19 20:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	835	0¢	$2	0x75ca6b…
09-19 14:23:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x177727…
09-19 13:48:09	cs2 mouz furia 2026 09 19	MOUZ	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf65b90…
09-19 13:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf6d746…
09-19 13:36:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xaad1a3…
09-19 13:31:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x7d0505…
09-19 13:02:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x140fee…
09-19 12:51:35	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x910214…
09-19 06:41:30	BNB Up or Down - September 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf0b19f…
09-19 06:41:30	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0x555a8e…
09-19 06:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xa03d48…
09-19 06:41:28	Solana Up or Down - September 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x3c8b5e…
09-19 06:31:36	ZCash Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xc362df…
09-19 06:31:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2b492c…
09-19 06:31:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xfcb044…
09-19 06:31:34	Solana Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0cd081…
09-19 06:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x43c3a2…
09-19 06:27:10	Solana Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x6b4b5b…
09-19 06:27:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x902cd7…
09-19 06:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x5f282f…
09-19 06:26:40	ZCash Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcfb2bb…
09-19 06:26:40	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x636a49…
09-19 06:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5d83ee…
09-16 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x62025e…
09-16 06:45:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x6fe203…
09-16 06:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x085b8d…
09-16 06:35:27	XRP Up or Down - September 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x909f57…
09-16 06:25:24	BNB Up or Down - September 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5296a4…