Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

179

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$585

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-11

last 08-24 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 67% +$6

Other

2% 0% -$2

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+4	$3	12¢	$0	-$2	08-24 19:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:30 UTC	5	$20	40	0	+40	Up	-$1	08-11 11:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC	10	$20	137	124	+13	Down	-$5	08-11 19:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	6	$14	23	0	+23	Down	-$2	08-12 06:13
bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 8am et	6	$14	20	0	+20	Down	-$9	08-11 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	6	$11	19	0	+19	Down	-$2	08-12 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:45 UTC	4	$11	14	0	+14	Up	-$1	08-11 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC	4	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	08-12 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:10 UTC	3	$9	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	08-12 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	5	$9	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	08-12 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	3	$8	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	08-12 09:54
bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	3	$8	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	08-12 08:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	5	$8	13	0	+13	Down	-$1	08-11 13:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	5	$8	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	08-11 21:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	3	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	08-11 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	3	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	08-12 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 17:05 UTC	3	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$1	08-11 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:00 UTC	4	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	08-12 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	6	$7	13	0	+13	Down	-$2	08-12 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:15 UTC	2	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	08-12 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$6	9	5	+4	open	—	08-24 19:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:00 UTC	3	$6	17	0	+17	Up	+$4	08-11 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:15 UTC	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	08-11 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:35 UTC	3	$6	8	0	+8	Down	-$1	08-11 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:45 UTC	3	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$3	08-11 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:25 UTC	3	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	08-11 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:10 UTC	3	$6	11	0	+11	Up	-$4	08-11 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 18:00 UTC	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	08-11 18:12
bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	5	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$6	08-12 10:47
bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11am et	3	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	08-11 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 20:20 UTC	2	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	08-11 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 19:37:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x420ac9…
08-12 13:42:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xccf4a7…
08-12 13:32:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc8fb98…
08-12 13:32:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2ea7ca…
08-12 13:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x29f3f3…
08-12 13:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x7c31b9…
08-12 13:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb8930a…
08-12 13:17:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2b91a5…
08-12 13:15:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x75fc93…
08-12 13:12:25	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc09975…
08-12 13:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x032c5b…
08-12 13:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x6eb8e3…
08-12 13:00:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xff565a…
08-12 13:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x7c2114…
08-12 12:57:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x45b43a…
08-12 12:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdd776f…
08-12 12:45:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfb3881…
08-12 12:18:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1f32fa…
08-12 12:17:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa80680…
08-12 12:16:01	ethereum up or down august 12 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x932c6f…
08-12 12:09:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9863db…
08-12 12:08:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x411195…
08-12 12:04:15	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc62921…
08-12 12:04:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x68c9e9…
08-12 12:00:27	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xac6c48…
08-12 12:00:16	solana up or down august 12 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f9cab…
08-12 11:57:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xa9501e…
08-12 11:56:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x162ad3…
08-12 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5d2cf…
08-12 11:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0ee095…
08-12 11:53:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x7e55a4…
08-12 11:40:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x679c51…
08-12 11:40:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x8f7cd7…
08-12 11:24:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce9401…
08-12 11:09:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x40322b…
08-12 10:48:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x667fdc…
08-12 10:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3f8e0f…
08-12 10:47:06	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06d0c8…
08-12 10:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc2e107…
08-12 10:40:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x895e99…
08-12 10:38:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2782e…
08-12 10:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x524075…
08-12 10:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb5b00…
08-12 10:25:45	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9888ed…
08-12 10:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xefdaae…
08-12 10:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ef2fe…
08-12 10:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x95c44c…
08-12 10:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x07e83d…
08-12 10:18:34	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7c0261…
08-12 10:17:30	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x533dc9…
08-12 10:17:22	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xae9bbe…
08-12 10:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x43f113…
08-12 10:12:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1efe4c…
08-12 10:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x86ba4b…
08-12 10:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x4f8e74…
08-12 10:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a6e92…
08-12 10:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb1c23…
08-12 10:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd93f71…
08-12 10:07:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd0c538…
08-12 10:07:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc928ec…
08-12 10:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x76fb9c…
08-12 10:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x977b8b…
08-12 10:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xf66951…
08-12 09:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7bb96d…
08-12 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb8c980…
08-12 09:53:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x34a9a3…
08-12 09:53:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd4b1be…
08-12 09:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8fd003…
08-12 09:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4e5a18…
08-12 09:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35fb53…
08-12 09:41:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcc8f58…
08-12 09:41:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x83a4c7…
08-12 09:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xbb9281…
08-12 09:39:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda75de…
08-12 09:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8bcea…
08-12 09:34:45	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4bfbb1…
08-12 09:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x90f84a…
08-12 09:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb87bba…
08-12 09:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x954043…
08-12 09:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5bd51e…
08-12 09:22:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x27f7ad…
08-12 09:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4ed9c5…
08-12 09:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5701e9…
08-12 09:16:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9c067e…
08-12 09:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x6f58bb…
08-12 09:12:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x417ebe…
08-12 09:12:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8bae4c…
08-12 09:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8ea232…
08-12 08:24:31	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x7bc273…
08-12 08:22:04	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb357d1…
08-12 08:22:00	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5d1d97…
08-12 08:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb599ef…
08-12 08:12:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xe29f59…
08-12 08:11:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x201586…
08-12 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xff80ca…
08-12 08:07:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5c8efc…
08-12 08:07:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x289254…
08-12 08:07:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9cde8e…
08-12 07:56:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xd951a2…
08-12 07:32:01	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf181d8…