Similar-Shock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

297

Trades

1,019

lifetime

Volume

$166.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-27 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Sports

86% 48% -$8,981

Other

14% 35% -$6,422

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb cws hou 2026 09 29 nrfi	4	$3.2K	7,000	+7,000	Yes	+$3,800	09-29 20:58
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	3	$3.0K	8,000	+8,000	No	-$3,040	09-25 20:26
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	1	$2.8K	6,000	+6,000	Commanders	-$2,820	10-19 22:15
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	2	$2.8K	5,500	+5,500	Cowboys	-$2,805	10-27 00:13
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays	5	$2.7K	5,913	+5,913	No	-$2,719	08-26 23:04
mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20 nrfi	4	$2.6K	7,049	+7,049	No	-$2,648	08-20 22:52
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	5	$2.4K	6,045	+6,045	Yes	+$3,627	10-16 23:58
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$2.2K	5,000	+5,000	No	-$2,200	10-15 22:01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	1	$2.2K	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$2,800	09-02 18:31
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	4	$2.2K	5,166	+5,166	No	-$2,168	10-13 23:54
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	2	$2.2K	3,400	+3,400	No	-$2,162	06-15 21:57
mlb det pit 2026 08 19 nrfi	1	$2.1K	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$2,850	08-19 16:00
mlb wsh mia 2026 08 22 nrfi	1	$2.0K	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$2,950	08-22 19:37
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	39	$2.0K	4,000	+4,000	Milwaukee Brewers	-$2,040	10-26 23:43
mlb tex tb 2026 07 30 nrfi	9	$2.0K	4,400	+4,400	No	-$1,998	07-30 16:08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	10	$2.0K	4,515	+4,515	No	-$1,986	09-23 17:08
mlb sf cle 2026 08 20 nrfi	9	$1.9K	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$3,100	08-20 17:09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers	17	$1.8K	4,000	+4,000	No	-$1,840	09-04 00:04
mlb ari bos 2026 08 19 nrfi	8	$1.8K	4,270	+4,270	Yes	+$2,438	08-19 20:09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers	3	$1.8K	4,000	+4,000	No	-$1,800	08-23 23:09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$1.8K	4,000	+4,000	Yes	+$2,240	09-01 19:30
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	1	$1.8K	4,000	+4,000	Bears	+$2,240	10-22 17:10
mlb wsh tex 2026 08 20 nrfi	2	$1.7K	4,000	+4,000	No	-$1,720	08-21 00:02
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$1.6K	3,583	+3,583	Yes	+$1,935	10-07 19:59
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$1.6K	4,000	+4,000	No	-$1,640	09-06 17:32
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$1.6K	4,000	+4,000	Yes	+$2,360	10-24 23:46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	33	$1.6K	3,800	+3,800	Yes	+$2,166	08-25 01:36
mlb atl mil 2026 08 22 nrfi	1	$1.5K	3,500	+3,500	Yes	+$1,960	08-22 18:06
mlb sea det 2026 06 06 nrfi	17	$1.5K	3,200	+3,200	No	-$1,460	06-06 16:57
mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 nrfi	4	$1.4K	3,983	+3,983	No	-$1,434	09-29 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:13:39	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x97411b…
10-26 23:43:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	170	51¢	$87	0x1da7ac…
10-26 23:38:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	378	51¢	$193	0xd7a1fc…
10-26 23:36:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x9ab083…
10-26 23:30:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x62bf96…
10-26 23:26:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0xe6a584…
10-26 23:25:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd1be47…
10-26 23:17:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x9784ee…
10-26 23:17:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x375526…
10-26 23:17:02	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x549010…
10-26 23:14:14	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x603051…
10-26 23:12:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x9b100d…
10-26 23:11:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8b7044…
10-26 23:08:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xa811ad…
10-26 23:08:03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xfa7ab8…
10-26 23:08:03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	348	51¢	$178	0x815ed4…
10-26 23:05:06	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x6239e7…
10-26 23:04:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x32f1ea…
10-26 23:01:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd9e4ce…
10-26 23:01:12	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	610	51¢	$311	0xec96b9…
10-26 23:00:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x83ce25…
10-26 22:53:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x010da5…
10-26 22:50:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x8a6f21…
10-26 22:50:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4161c0…
10-26 22:42:48	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdf1f56…
10-26 22:34:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x112b1a…
10-26 22:32:09	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x07158a…
10-26 22:22:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x4caa9d…
10-26 22:20:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x79a5b6…
10-26 22:18:06	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x89f9b6…
10-26 22:10:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7bc8b2…
10-26 22:05:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a7007…
10-26 22:02:39	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xed704c…
10-26 22:02:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	573	51¢	$292	0xbca27e…
10-26 21:55:45	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbe3590…
10-26 21:52:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb4628c…
10-26 21:43:15	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3d1707…
10-26 21:37:00	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xc10513…
10-26 21:35:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa2ac62…
10-26 21:34:15	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	655	51¢	$334	0xc62f77…
10-24 23:46:11	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	4,000	41¢	$1,640	0x746d84…
10-22 17:10:11	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	4,000	44¢	$1,760	0xa41cff…
10-19 22:15:21	Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	49ers	BUY	6,000	47¢	$2,820	0x353759…
10-18 21:07:05	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xe6c2f6…
10-18 21:06:51	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0x8e9718…
10-18 21:06:00	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0xf7c710…
10-16 23:58:53	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xc6021c…
10-16 23:58:24	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	2,652	40¢	$1,061	0x6df5db…
10-16 23:57:27	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xfe63ca…
10-16 23:56:24	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	3,333	40¢	$1,333	0x91dfca…
10-16 23:55:18	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7a4110…
10-15 22:01:47	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Yes	BUY	5,000	44¢	$2,200	0x3a38ce…
10-15 17:05:37	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xca76c5…
10-13 23:54:16	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	166	41¢	$68	0x26b121…
10-13 23:51:31	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	2,167	42¢	$910	0x9d5f88…
10-13 23:50:06	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	1,300	42¢	$546	0x0b6110…
10-13 23:49:58	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	1,533	42¢	$644	0xdaca49…
10-07 19:59:11	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Yes	BUY	3,583	46¢	$1,648	0x42156d…
10-05 21:01:55	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	83	38¢	$32	0x8a54d4…
10-05 20:59:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x4ad987…
10-02 00:14:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x1ccb52…
09-29 23:59:00	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	3,803	36¢	$1,369	0x06d877…
09-29 23:41:18	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0xcf507a…
09-29 23:40:48	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x7dcf22…
09-29 23:36:00	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x10cf17…
09-29 20:58:42	mlb cws hou 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	423	45¢	$190	0xefb5b2…
09-29 20:57:54	mlb cws hou 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xcd3f44…
09-29 20:56:32	mlb cws hou 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	1,531	45¢	$689	0x440a90…
09-29 20:54:32	mlb cws hou 2026 09 29 nrfi	Yes	BUY	5,000	46¢	$2,300	0xc690fb…
09-25 20:26:51	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	121	38¢	$46	0x71309d…
09-25 20:26:47	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb2eccd…
09-25 20:26:47	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	7,874	38¢	$2,992	0x822e12…
09-25 17:04:42	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x3e6deb…
09-25 17:03:21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x141f47…
09-25 17:02:27	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Yes	BUY	364	38¢	$138	0xa76cc6…
09-24 18:15:42	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Yes	BUY	3,000	44¢	$1,320	0xc7fb4d…
09-23 17:08:32	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x6e2bd3…
09-23 17:08:32	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	664	44¢	$292	0x08ebcf…
09-23 17:08:31	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xd4b499…
09-23 17:08:31	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	3,457	44¢	$1,521	0xb33770…
09-23 17:08:31	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x896449…
09-23 17:08:29	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xcac277…
09-23 17:08:29	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	86	44¢	$38	0x0e4d79…
09-23 17:08:26	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	76	44¢	$33	0xdb2af6…
09-23 17:08:26	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	83	44¢	$37	0x026835…
09-23 17:07:29	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x2fbfb8…
09-22 22:01:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Yes	BUY	529	46¢	$243	0x0b543a…
09-22 21:00:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Yes	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xa1cbe2…
09-22 17:03:54	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	167	40¢	$67	0x93d8f1…
09-22 16:54:55	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	405	40¢	$162	0x42bf31…
09-22 16:38:57	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x700495…
09-22 16:35:49	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x49dfc9…
09-22 16:28:07	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	368	40¢	$147	0x20c7a5…
09-22 16:15:55	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xa46bf7…
09-16 22:29:21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Yes	BUY	216	42¢	$91	0xf12654…
09-16 22:08:10	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Yes	BUY	58	42¢	$24	0x0cfe94…
09-16 22:07:45	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Yes	BUY	89	42¢	$37	0x6ed557…
09-11 23:09:37	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins	Yes	BUY	674	42¢	$283	0xfaabbf…
09-11 22:37:55	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals	Yes	BUY	972	44¢	$428	0x0b20ef…
09-11 22:37:10	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals	Yes	BUY	2,028	44¢	$892	0xc215fd…