Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
832
lifetime
Volume
$160.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$193
Open exposure
$174
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 20:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
92% 83% $-4
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Politics
3%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +132 $84 99¢ $131 +$47 06-13 15:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +43 $10 99¢ $43 +$33 06-10 20:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -67 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-16 05:00