Crowded-Jackal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$9.74K

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

880

Trades

2,255

lifetime

Volume

$3.84M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.70K

Open exposure

$21.9K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-28 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

66% 36% -$97,824

Sports

31% 36% -$259,752

Crypto

3% 34% +$3,290

Politics

0% 0% -$7,890

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+139,815	$9,781	10¢	$14.1K	+$4,270	10-12 04:19
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+101,035	$15,714	8¢	$7.6K	-$8,137	10-12 17:53
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	-860	-$82	18¢	$-151	-$69	06-11 21:23
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	+27,323	$5,900	0¢	$96	-$5,804	09-18 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$509.6K	2,053,299	430,000	+1,623,299	No	-$182,615	07-09 22:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$166.1K	446,700	446,700	+0	No	-$10,915	07-14 15:20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$108.5K	271,517	296,405	-24,888	No	-$71,425	03-18 19:00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	6	$76.6K	58,976	58,976	+0	Yes	+$41,098	07-03 01:11
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 mac	5	$75.0K	59,738	59,738	+0	Yes	+$44,378	02-08 18:35
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	3	$73.2K	48,524	48,524	+0	Seahawks	+$23,728	02-09 03:24
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	6	$71.3K	53,914	53,914	+0	England	+$36,448	06-17 22:02
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	10	$65.6K	40,616	40,616	+0	Yes	+$15,586	02-28 19:30
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	4	$61.1K	112,632	0	+112,632	Spain	-$61,148	07-14 19:23
epl not liv 2026 02 22 liv	7	$57.4K	33,184	42,454	-9,270	Yes	+$18,141	02-22 16:01
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	6	$55.4K	40,122	40,122	+0	France	+$24,813	06-16 21:08
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	12	$50.7K	32,011	32,011	+0	Yes	+$12,588	02-07 17:17
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	8	$50.5K	35,239	35,239	+0	Yes	+$12,538	03-01 15:33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	3	$33.5K	23,261	23,261	+0	Yes	+$12,105	10-11 16:58
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$31.7K	20,905	20,610	+295	Yes	+$9,805	04-19 17:30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	4	$31.6K	29,970	29,970	+0	Yes	+$4,556	09-13 17:04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	5	$30.6K	19,225	19,225	+0	Yes	+$7,834	08-28 20:46
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	7	$30.4K	23,717	23,717	+0	Yes	+$8,328	02-23 21:47
efa new mnc 2026 03 07 mnc	6	$26.9K	20,190	20,190	+0	Yes	+$13,389	03-07 21:50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	2	$25.6K	15,625	15,625	+0	Yes	+$5,609	09-04 20:55
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	5	$24.5K	53,351	0	+53,351	DR Congo	-$24,456	06-17 17:59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	4	$24.0K	48,649	0	+48,649	Yes	+$24,649	09-09 19:22
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	3	$23.8K	17,895	17,895	+0	France	+$11,850	07-09 22:02
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	5	$23.5K	16,888	16,888	+0	Yes	+$10,221	07-06 03:12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$23.3K	15,832	15,832	+0	Yes	+$8,316	07-07 18:06
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	3	$22.5K	38,979	0	+38,979	No	-$22,500	03-03 21:56
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	6	$22.0K	31,560	8,887	+22,674	No	-$12,554	03-10 18:03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	3	$22.0K	14,035	14,035	+0	Yes	+$6,021	05-16 15:58
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	6	$21.1K	6,783	16,321	-9,538	Yes	+$2,016	02-21 21:57
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$20.9K	13,393	13,393	+0	Yes	+$5,879	09-06 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,690	1¢	$25	0x0c14af…
10-28 00:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xfeaf3c…
10-28 00:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x410d55…
10-28 00:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x44834d…
10-28 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb13dee…
10-28 00:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdd35cd…
10-28 00:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	206	95¢	$196	0xbd3554…
10-28 00:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdd827c…
10-28 00:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe488c9…
10-28 00:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x01a4fe…
10-28 00:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x06978c…
10-28 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x02ffc7…
10-28 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x92d0b8…
10-27 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4abd40…
10-27 23:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd989bd…
10-27 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x09329f…
10-27 23:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x06c8fe…
10-27 23:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe18651…
10-27 21:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	895	3¢	$25	0x5d32c3…
10-27 21:03:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xd9c5f9…
10-27 21:01:21	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	617	30¢	$185	0xc7cf7c…
10-27 21:00:51	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,429	27¢	$386	0x7511c5…
10-27 20:09:39	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xb23e03…
10-27 00:41:23	CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x2bd06a…
10-26 23:06:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa1fc2d…
10-26 21:17:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfef384…
10-26 19:37:56	Dallas Goedert: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x68be70…
10-26 19:37:45	George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x926b5e…
10-26 19:36:09	CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	681	15¢	$100	0x11734a…
10-22 21:27:03	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x931dbd…
10-17 13:36:39	Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x0ce7ee…
10-17 13:36:17	Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1,206	34¢	$410	0xa8b135…
10-13 19:29:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	730	19¢	$139	0x5a2e2d…
10-13 19:28:27	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x8fde3f…
10-13 02:25:02	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	10,112	43¢	$4,348	0xe4f69a…
10-13 01:32:44	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	8,163	49¢	$4,000	0x273f04…
10-13 01:12:30	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	3,053	47¢	$1,435	0x7e819e…
10-13 01:12:02	Spread: Rams (-5.5)	Rams	BUY	962	26¢	$250	0xca1c5d…
10-13 01:11:41	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0xd4b5b3…
10-13 01:11:29	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	5,957	47¢	$2,800	0xe6afab…
10-13 00:49:36	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0xd09132…
10-13 00:44:14	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x797871…
10-13 00:43:59	Spread: Rams (-5.5)	Rams	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0xb2abd7…
10-13 00:34:35	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	531	47¢	$250	0x582473…
10-13 00:34:23	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	2,941	51¢	$1,500	0xb69885…
10-13 00:20:29	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	439	57¢	$250	0x4eb2e2…
10-12 17:53:41	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	4,615	13¢	$600	0xfbccd1…
10-12 17:53:24	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	7,692	13¢	$1,000	0x3f8d01…
10-12 17:52:08	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,396	53¢	$740	0xf9b02e…
10-12 17:50:03	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5,319	47¢	$2,500	0xed66b2…
10-12 04:19:54	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	4,703	11¢	$500	0xf3d7a7…
10-12 03:48:50	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	SELL	1,190	99¢	$1,178	0x2ad17f…
10-12 02:00:35	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	BUY	1,190	21¢	$250	0x126ef4…
10-11 17:27:00	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	19,110	1¢	$100	0xc097b9…
10-11 17:02:54	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	581	43¢	$250	0x153856…
10-11 16:58:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	23,261	98¢	$22,805	0x4230e9…
10-11 15:20:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	SELL	3,417	54¢	$1,845	0x5f032d…
10-11 14:28:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2,609	46¢	$1,200	0xf9464d…
10-11 14:10:39	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x8e7c8d…
10-11 12:49:04	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0x3f7454…
10-11 12:46:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	20,652	46¢	$9,500	0xfd153c…
10-10 16:15:39	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x494d53…
10-10 16:15:22	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xc51557…
10-10 16:13:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x8cd8a6…
10-10 16:12:48	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x53b48e…
10-10 16:12:06	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	320	50¢	$160	0x4934cc…
10-10 16:02:22	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	52,000	4¢	$2,025	0x810060…
10-05 14:02:13	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,197	9¢	$110	0x26912a…
10-04 15:48:29	Spread: Colts (-2.5)	Colts	SELL	532	81¢	$431	0xa79733…
10-04 15:48:13	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	SELL	2,778	83¢	$2,306	0xe07e5c…
10-04 14:13:25	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	78	12¢	$9	0x4ba48d…
10-04 14:12:46	Spread: Colts (-2.5)	Colts	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0xe0c562…
10-04 14:12:02	Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	171	35¢	$60	0x0434d2…
10-04 14:11:40	James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xcb1d46…
10-04 14:11:25	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x6771aa…
10-04 14:10:34	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,286	19¢	$250	0x6d0c63…
10-04 14:10:07	Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xa20966…
10-04 14:00:41	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	2,778	54¢	$1,500	0x2bfb32…
10-04 00:05:52	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	3,528	21¢	$750	0x38edfa…
10-04 00:02:26	Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,616	62¢	$1,000	0x3ba622…
10-04 00:01:35	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,769	57¢	$1,000	0xf42a33…
09-29 02:18:42	Spread: Eagles (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	8,335	12¢	$1,000	0x0beba1…
09-29 02:18:18	Spread: Eagles (-5.5)	Eagles	BUY	4,056	6¢	$250	0xfc27b5…
09-29 02:17:33	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	8,696	23¢	$2,000	0xf984d5…
09-29 01:20:59	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	2,966	34¢	$1,000	0x3b0bb9…
09-29 00:52:30	Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	Eagles	BUY	1,016	15¢	$155	0x443500…
09-29 00:51:54	Spread: Eagles (-5.5)	Eagles	BUY	5,253	19¢	$1,000	0x3a90c3…
09-29 00:51:08	Spread: Eagles (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	3,252	31¢	$1,000	0x067683…
09-29 00:50:45	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	6,757	37¢	$2,500	0xcfb7a3…
09-29 00:33:50	Spread: Eagles (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	2,381	42¢	$1,000	0x36962a…
09-29 00:30:09	Spread: Eagles (-5.5)	Eagles	BUY	7,013	36¢	$2,500	0xa3bea8…
09-29 00:29:45	Spread: Eagles (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	2,087	48¢	$1,000	0xaccd61…
09-28 15:50:21	Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	Eagles	BUY	3,571	42¢	$1,500	0x027090…
09-28 15:46:20	Spread: Eagles (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	8,197	61¢	$5,000	0x6f4ad2…
09-28 02:45:51	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	5,149	49¢	$2,500	0x4da897…
09-27 20:31:48	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	40,978	10¢	$4,301	0x179eb7…
09-27 20:27:14	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	SELL	1,461	99¢	$1,446	0x0c3479…
09-27 20:20:36	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	1,461	68¢	$1,000	0xb2c8cb…
09-27 19:42:30	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	13,584	73¢	$9,920	0xd715c1…
09-27 19:23:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	13,584	37¢	$5,000	0x14d7c2…