Jumpy-Minorleague — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$35.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-31 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

44% 14% -$1

Other

28% 6% -$5

Sports

21% 29% -$23

Crypto

7% 57% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.7K	856	856	+0	No	-$1	04-08 17:11
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.3K	640	640	+0	No	-$1	04-06 15:44
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$1.2K	602	602	+0	open	—	07-13 01:39
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$1.2K	582	582	+0	open	—	06-10 06:42
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	-$1	04-18 09:10
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$1.0K	519	519	+0	open	—	05-22 09:52
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$964	483	483	+0	open	—	05-16 06:50
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$758	381	381	+0	No	$0	03-27 13:48
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$732	366	366	+0	No	$0	03-24 20:11
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	2	$716	358	358	+0	No	+$0	03-27 05:24
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$654	328	328	+0	No	$0	03-30 23:29
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$644	323	323	+0	No	$0	04-12 12:03
will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$640	321	321	+0	No	$0	03-23 00:47
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$619	312	312	+0	open	—	05-15 21:09
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$616	308	308	+0	No	$0	05-13 20:54
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$608	304	304	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:02
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$602	303	303	+0	open	—	05-24 11:55
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$592	296	296	+0	No	$0	05-07 14:41
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$580	290	290	+0	No	$0	05-12 21:19
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$578	289	289	+0	No	$0	03-23 16:58
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$568	285	285	-0	No	$0	05-11 00:09
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$568	285	285	+0	No	$0	06-04 20:28
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$566	285	285	-0	open	—	05-21 20:57
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$562	284	284	+0	open	—	05-16 10:41
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$562	284	284	+0	open	—	07-11 15:19
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$560	281	281	+0	No	$0	04-06 07:47
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$555	279	279	+0	No	-$1	03-17 11:28
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$546	274	274	+0	No	$0	05-25 17:56
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$526	265	265	+0	open	—	05-29 20:31
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$524	264	264	+0	open	—	05-04 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 05:52:00	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf0c098…
07-16 05:21:58	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x423ee5…
07-15 23:00:49	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x74029d…
07-13 04:44:47	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2ae209…
07-13 01:39:28	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xd2bffc…
07-12 11:33:46	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x941bba…
07-12 11:33:25	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x4cd4fa…
07-12 05:35:02	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe42333…
07-11 15:19:56	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xc351ea…
07-11 12:03:37	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xd63e89…
07-10 00:39:07	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb9acbd…
07-09 03:29:35	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x3c71c5…
07-09 03:29:19	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xd8ee17…
07-07 18:55:40	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x0c04c4…
07-06 01:22:13	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xfdf940…
07-05 19:30:10	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xf861ba…
07-05 13:50:37	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x3ff2d4…
07-05 08:41:17	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x886766…
07-05 08:40:55	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x6d51f0…
07-04 11:30:31	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xad1b9d…
07-04 11:30:13	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xca491c…
07-03 18:24:55	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x0e8a99…
07-03 14:33:35	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x969fb4…
07-02 23:27:31	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb0ad36…
07-02 23:27:11	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe1f3db…
07-02 09:45:08	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x18af80…
07-01 16:07:13	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x12cf70…
07-01 08:36:34	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x3466dd…
06-27 18:02:41	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x569056…
06-27 11:24:16	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbd96fd…
06-23 05:16:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4da373…
06-23 05:15:40	will solana reach 120 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x98d0b8…
06-23 05:15:14	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x083c0b…
06-21 21:25:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x58c7f9…
06-21 17:46:10	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x4b277c…
06-21 12:09:05	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xca616a…
06-21 04:51:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x23f04a…
06-21 01:27:10	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf37de9…
06-20 13:10:04	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9867e1…
06-19 10:20:46	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x53c2a2…
06-14 11:10:10	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa7b770…
06-14 11:09:52	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf5bf79…
06-14 07:57:34	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcd2353…
06-14 07:57:15	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x9c963d…
06-13 21:24:49	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xd32739…
06-11 22:42:16	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd872cb…
06-11 10:29:25	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xeef15f…
06-11 10:29:07	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb9fa37…
06-10 06:42:52	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd82c70…
06-10 06:42:34	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xefee1e…
06-09 02:43:49	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xcfc420…
06-09 02:43:31	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2b24ff…
06-08 10:22:54	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xafaf07…
06-07 19:34:55	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x5aa80b…
06-06 20:58:37	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa8ed4c…
06-05 21:05:15	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xaabfb5…
06-05 01:36:51	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x8689d4…
06-04 20:28:34	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xaca04e…
06-04 13:21:37	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7882a0…
06-04 13:21:21	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x39fbce…
06-04 10:51:33	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x44f3fe…
05-29 20:31:47	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$263	0xa44871…
05-28 05:40:49	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$263	0x2dfa33…
05-27 22:48:15	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$216	0xfff2e5…
05-27 20:05:11	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$216	0x9f3938…
05-27 00:51:28	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x0ffbd0…
05-25 23:40:42	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0xc073c9…
05-25 17:56:36	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0xd9ccf0…
05-25 04:59:08	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0xc6b7a7…
05-24 11:55:18	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$301	0x805393…
05-23 01:02:25	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$301	0xc58476…
05-23 01:02:05	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xf6fc3a…
05-22 13:38:15	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x0d22f5…
05-22 09:52:32	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0x1a7eb6…
05-21 22:56:52	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0x661cc4…
05-21 20:57:22	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$283	0x1d3f01…
05-21 00:03:36	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	285	99¢	$283	0x25dfa7…
05-21 00:03:15	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x04f498…
05-20 14:47:15	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x6ec185…
05-20 09:10:59	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0x7dc166…
05-19 23:00:42	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x6ce8f3…
05-18 16:49:12	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x197e6b…
05-18 02:40:30	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xa31e46…
05-18 02:40:09	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0x185bed…
05-17 15:57:16	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x854307…
05-16 10:41:36	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	284	99¢	$281	0xc6c56a…
05-16 06:50:57	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	284	99¢	$281	0x5bfe9e…
05-16 06:50:34	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x53f451…
05-16 00:14:22	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x785b96…
05-15 21:09:40	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	312	99¢	$309	0x6111c7…
05-15 13:55:34	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0x6edcd7…
05-15 13:55:13	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$243	0x7e5ca4…
05-14 00:03:00	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$243	0x3d228d…
05-13 20:54:33	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0x7e808c…
05-13 12:40:09	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xecb8eb…
05-13 06:57:59	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	289	99¢	$286	0xc5dd8c…
05-13 01:26:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	289	99¢	$286	0xa3971c…
05-12 21:19:23	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0xe8aa1f…
05-12 20:11:43	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xab241a…
05-11 13:13:53	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$263	0x07ec19…