Old-Fashioned-Colt — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$247

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

425 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$44

$4.15K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% -$271

Politics

34% 0% -$1,078

Crypto

27% 1% -$938

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	Yes		+2,871	$3	0¢	$4	+$1	10-27 22:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes		+1,465	$3	0¢	$2	-$1	10-28 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	37	$798	10,453	10,453	+0	No	-$6	07-13 15:06
Trump out as President by September 30?	26	$477	55,034	48,341	+6,693	No	-$206	09-24 20:42
Trump out as President by May 31?	15	$447	86,737	21,750	+64,987	No	-$344	05-26 22:46
Trump out as President by August 31?	25	$432	231,390	0	+231,390	No	-$432	08-30 22:06
trump out as president by march 31	7	$213	38,498	10,555	+27,943	No	-$161	03-31 16:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	21	$196	23,300	23,300	+0	No	-$141	04-28 15:51
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$110	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-03 20:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	13	$77	3,033	3,033	+0	No	-$6	06-12 14:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$68	1,430	1,430	+0	No	-$12	05-18 01:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$67	734	734	+0	No	-$5	05-18 12:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	6	$56	13,605	0	+13,605	Yes	-$56	09-15 18:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12?	5	$50	16,577	0	+16,577	Yes	-$50	09-11 21:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	7	$46	2,846	2,846	+0	No	-$22	05-30 03:12
ethereum above 1700 on july 12 2026	2	$45	2,574	2,574	+0	Yes	-$15	07-12 04:04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$43	400	400	+0	No	-$2	06-28 19:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	5	$35	417	0	+417	Yes	-$35	05-18 13:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	2	$34	2,532	0	+2,532	Yes	-$34	05-14 03:24
bitcoin above 72k on august 31 2026	4	$33	10,000	4,736	+5,264	Yes	-$7	08-31 04:22
bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	1	$32	6,316	0	+6,316	Yes	-$32	07-12 00:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22?	3	$30	413	413	+0	Yes	-$6	05-18 20:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$30	160	160	+0	No	-$8	05-18 19:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 12?	2	$30	2,931	0	+2,931	Yes	-$30	09-11 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	3	$30	14,709	0	+14,709	Yes	-$30	09-23 04:38
bitcoin above 56k on july 12 2026	3	$29	29,247	0	+29,247	Yes	-$29	07-10 16:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	2	$27	2,525	0	+2,525	Yes	-$27	09-15 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	4	$27	2,682	0	+2,682	Yes	-$27	05-29 01:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 29?	2	$25	9,986	0	+9,986	Yes	-$25	08-27 18:21
bitcoin above 58k on july 12 2026	3	$24	23,750	0	+23,750	Yes	-$24	07-11 23:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16?	2	$22	4,067	0	+4,067	Yes	-$22	09-15 18:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	4	$22	1,740	1,740	+0	Yes	-$18	05-30 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:03:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xbe0b0c…
10-28 01:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa50a33…
10-28 00:59:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x18e722…
10-28 00:59:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x915e76…
10-28 00:57:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x61ad44…
10-28 00:56:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3bb4d3…
10-28 00:53:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9c8527…
10-28 00:52:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x93ef80…
10-28 00:52:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf9b27a…
10-28 00:49:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x837c73…
10-28 00:48:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4fa736…
10-28 00:47:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb198ae…
10-28 00:47:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x035d40…
10-28 00:43:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0cb224…
10-28 00:42:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xeda2c7…
10-28 00:40:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xcadadd…
10-28 00:39:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x74c807…
10-28 00:38:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x16ff69…
10-28 00:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x997928…
10-28 00:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x17b17d…
10-28 00:30:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x620244…
10-28 00:29:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4763f2…
10-28 00:24:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x3a870f…
10-28 00:23:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x480c91…
10-28 00:22:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xfb7c30…
10-28 00:21:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x038242…
10-28 00:19:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7cab4b…
10-28 00:19:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf4ebea…
10-28 00:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x20232d…
10-28 00:16:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x16044f…
10-28 00:14:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x2e7357…
10-28 00:07:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xaad292…
10-28 00:06:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x79f50a…
10-28 00:04:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x399cbd…
10-28 00:02:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x053c27…
10-28 00:01:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5f5b19…
10-28 00:00:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd4a269…
10-27 23:57:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xeb38f5…
10-27 23:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x7137f0…
10-27 23:54:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x518cb4…
10-27 23:53:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe7c51e…
10-27 23:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xfa9deb…
10-27 23:51:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x43cc71…
10-27 23:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x087500…
10-27 23:50:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x398d9d…
10-27 23:49:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x329e8c…
10-27 23:48:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf1863a…
10-27 23:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x9da988…
10-27 23:44:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x51201c…
10-27 23:42:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x591a20…
10-27 23:41:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x492601…
10-27 23:39:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x92ffc7…
10-27 23:37:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x796d6a…
10-27 23:36:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc0b789…
10-27 23:31:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb08479…
10-27 23:30:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb81345…
10-27 23:28:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x55a613…
10-27 23:26:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x115aee…
10-27 23:25:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd5e6b2…
10-27 23:21:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xeff921…
10-27 23:20:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xde32a9…
10-27 23:18:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x086748…
10-27 23:16:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x4ffb49…
10-27 23:15:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x9141ac…
10-27 23:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x371870…
10-27 23:07:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1a7996…
10-27 23:06:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe50f94…
10-27 23:05:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe59742…
10-27 23:02:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdb53ca…
10-27 23:02:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xec36e2…
10-27 23:00:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4eca0d…
10-27 22:59:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x56bc93…
10-27 22:53:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8ec1c0…
10-27 22:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7a3a42…
10-27 22:51:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x799e15…
10-27 22:48:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	355	0¢	$1	0x459fb0…
10-27 22:47:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,871	0¢	$3	0x2d6590…
10-18 20:49:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	206	2¢	$5	0x687507…
10-18 20:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	206	2¢	$5	0x26d14c…
10-11 16:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	502	0¢	$1	0x3e3ade…
10-11 16:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	3,849	0¢	$4	0x3a098b…
10-11 12:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x97c555…
10-10 03:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x501aa8…
10-10 03:22:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xcf3319…
10-10 03:22:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,450	0¢	$1	0xfff281…
10-02 18:38:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	1,710	0¢	$3	0x6ab4ad…
10-02 18:37:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x9523f8…
09-24 21:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	1,695	0¢	$2	0x1efd54…
09-24 20:42:20	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	SELL	17,107	0¢	$17	0xfb0ed1…
09-23 19:06:14	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	3,195	0¢	$6	0xa57d89…
09-23 17:27:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	1,866	0¢	$3	0x7faa41…
09-23 14:32:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x481135…
09-23 04:38:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	2,026	0¢	$2	0xce2673…
09-23 03:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	6,050	0¢	$6	0x2563b0…
09-23 00:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4f7970…
09-22 23:47:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	12,500	0¢	$25	0xafdb10…
09-22 23:05:55	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8,779	0¢	$35	0xed6480…
09-22 23:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0x3104b0…
09-22 23:03:02	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10,022	0¢	$30	0xe31b96…
09-22 16:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	1,199	0¢	$1	0x6c9369…