Fussy-Map-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$851

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-23 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 68% $-146

Other

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$100	130	0	+130	Up	+$30	05-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$100	123	0	+123	Up	$-100	05-11 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$100	133	0	+133	Up	$-100	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	05-11 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	05-11 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	114	0	+114	Down	+$14	05-11 02:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-23 16:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-23 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-11 01:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	$-10	05-11 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$4	243	0	+243	Down	$-4	05-11 13:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$4	16	14	+2	open	—	05-15 03:32
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-23 16:21
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 00:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 03:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 02:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 02:55
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 04:57
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 01:37
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$2	21	0	+21	open	—	05-15 01:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 16:28
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 16:28:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x25e14c…
05-23 16:28:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x52681c…
05-23 16:26:47	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x52b4cb…
05-23 16:23:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x88d5c7…
05-23 16:21:22	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x36a32a…
05-23 16:20:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xe9e527…
05-16 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe129e0…
05-16 00:17:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xba9575…
05-16 00:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd15e70…
05-16 00:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x718bce…
05-16 00:13:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13a262…
05-16 00:13:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2d6ca6…
05-16 00:13:25	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa88516…
05-16 00:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b303d…
05-16 00:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4a73d6…
05-15 22:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe933f8…
05-15 22:21:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x316cbb…
05-15 22:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf44f8…
05-15 22:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x713906…
05-15 22:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf361c…
05-15 22:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeb1f91…
05-15 22:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x39b5ab…
05-15 15:37:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa3fd5e…
05-15 15:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd350ed…
05-15 15:37:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x472f0c…
05-15 15:36:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9a8490…
05-15 15:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3deb44…
05-15 15:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0a2e3f…
05-15 15:22:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x92a01d…
05-15 15:22:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x74503e…
05-15 15:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaea642…
05-15 13:41:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcbf7ad…
05-15 13:41:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38f19f…
05-15 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe1f121…
05-15 13:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbab958…
05-15 13:40:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x22e840…
05-15 13:31:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37cefd…
05-15 13:31:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd3b85…
05-15 13:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d8bd4…
05-15 13:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4b92c9…
05-15 13:30:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa5488c…
05-15 13:14:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf3164d…
05-15 13:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb39ba0…
05-15 13:14:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x140947…
05-15 13:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x76641d…
05-15 13:07:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1566ea…
05-15 13:06:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1f5f09…
05-15 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x66a4c1…
05-15 13:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf048a0…
05-15 12:58:42	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6f3991…
05-15 12:58:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d2c1e…
05-15 12:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0905c6…
05-15 12:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe4d818…
05-15 12:57:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x48105d…
05-15 04:58:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x431d07…
05-15 04:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x129c6f…
05-15 04:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf64c26…
05-15 04:57:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9b5139…
05-15 04:56:08	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaee2a2…
05-15 04:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6584c2…
05-15 04:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfb8f38…
05-15 04:13:10	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6f95d6…
05-15 03:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x517186…
05-15 03:46:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9017b7…
05-15 03:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3eb931…
05-15 03:46:15	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b4911…
05-15 03:41:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x922567…
05-15 03:40:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf6b2b0…
05-15 03:40:41	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1459ad…
05-15 03:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xee93b1…
05-15 03:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe07189…
05-15 03:37:39	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x459cd3…
05-15 03:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc3dc8f…
05-15 03:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc2b369…
05-15 03:32:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x396f0b…
05-15 03:31:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x59e7b2…
05-15 03:31:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x71dbbd…
05-15 03:31:35	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5e30c2…
05-15 03:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xad3ad8…
05-15 03:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9ad726…
05-15 03:31:07	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x32daaf…
05-15 03:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x480f88…
05-15 03:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xad42d7…
05-15 03:24:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a1dcb…
05-15 03:16:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1bddde…
05-15 03:16:35	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x15f7f6…
05-15 03:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeccaa5…
05-15 03:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3d8f9b…
05-15 03:11:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8b1b7f…
05-15 03:10:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa3ef98…
05-15 03:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x86488c…
05-15 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbdf5fe…
05-15 03:10:33	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xccb66b…
05-15 03:06:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdfc055…
05-15 03:06:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xde4cdb…
05-15 03:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7c2ed7…
05-15 03:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1d754b…
05-15 03:06:25	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x853d1a…
05-15 03:02:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8e6d73…
05-15 03:02:49	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x342d87…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	121	$11.2K	5,561	05-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	118	$11.6K	896	05-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	118	$4.42K	773	05-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	116	$10.1K	1,131	05-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	115	$27.3K	2,487	05-16 00:19
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	104	$15.1K	3,250	05-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	103	$5.89K	2,240	05-16 00:19
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	102	$123.9K	2,959	06-01 04:51