Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

283

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-30 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

40% 45% -$338

Sports

32% 40% -$272

Politics

14% 67% +$80

Crypto

11% 59% +$105

Tech

3% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$333	157	257	-99	No	+$74	04-27 19:36
grok 4pt4 released by july 17	1	$158	180	0	+180	Yes	+$21	07-07 14:22
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	21	$157	272	274	-1	No	-$118	04-28 23:56
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$156	379	0	+379	Spurs	-$156	05-28 20:51
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?	6	$152	171	0	+171	No	+$19	05-23 05:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$101	65	65	+0	No	-$1	05-28 20:50
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$100	122	0	+122	Yes	+$22	05-28 20:04
atp mena schoolk 2026 04 03	10	$89	119	0	+119	Tristan Schoolkate	+$30	04-03 22:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$78	27	53	-27	No	+$1	03-26 15:56
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$60	35	35	+0	No	+$10	03-31 17:42
atp goffin nava 2026 04 05	7	$56	321	0	+321	Emilio Nava	-$56	04-05 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$53	329	329	+0	No	-$7	05-30 08:49
nba sac lac 2026 03 14 total 229pt5	4	$52	99	0	+99	Under	-$52	03-14 08:37
nba dal den 2026 03 25 spread home 14pt5	6	$52	215	0	+215	Mavericks	-$52	03-26 02:40
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27 spread home 6pt5	14	$49	143	0	+143	St. John's Red Storm	-$49	03-28 00:29
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$48	61	0	+61	No	+$13	05-23 07:22
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25 spread home 10pt5	3	$47	96	0	+96	Nets	-$47	03-26 02:40
atp andrade schoolk 2026 03 25	1	$46	62	0	+62	Tristan Schoolkate	+$16	03-26 02:38
wta timofee charaev 2026 04 05	6	$40	70	0	+70	Maria Timofeeva	-$40	04-05 10:16
atp fucsovi tabilo 2026 04 06	4	$39	316	0	+316	Alejandro Tabilo	-$39	04-05 16:00
mlb cws mil 2026 03 26 spread home 1pt5	5	$39	75	0	+75	Milwaukee Brewers	+$36	03-26 19:00
atp mejia schoolk 2026 04 04	4	$38	65	0	+65	Nicolas Mejia	-$38	04-04 23:19
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	1	$34	41	0	+41	Warriors	+$7	03-26 02:37
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15 spread home 14pt5	5	$32	63	0	+63	Warriors	+$31	03-15 13:56
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	1	$31	43	0	+43	No	+$12	05-23 06:25
nba det phi 2026 04 04	3	$30	75	0	+75	Pistons	-$30	04-04 23:20
mlb atl ari 2026 04 04	5	$30	58	0	+58	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$28	04-04 23:24
nba tor lac 2026 03 25 total 225pt5	1	$29	60	0	+60	Under	+$30	03-26 02:38
nba min okc 2026 03 15 total 225pt5	2	$27	57	0	+57	Under	-$27	03-15 07:51
nba uta hou 2026 04 03 total 233pt5	8	$26	51	0	+51	Over	+$25	04-03 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe2c632…
10-30 14:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x684131…
10-30 13:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x62b65f…
10-30 08:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x662245…
10-30 06:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xb3aa4a…
10-30 05:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5ee9ed…
10-30 04:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb3efde…
10-30 04:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa075f1…
10-30 02:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc576b7…
10-29 03:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2f7adf…
10-29 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfe726c…
10-29 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0bb484…
10-29 02:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x181ec8…
10-28 19:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x94df13…
10-28 16:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf24e65…
10-28 13:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0cee9c…
10-28 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa356ef…
10-28 00:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6e93fc…
10-27 14:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb99f80…
10-27 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xc35c1a…
10-27 09:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xd2d812…
10-27 08:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x4df37f…
10-27 02:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2d1910…
10-26 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a93ef…
10-26 15:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdfa92e…
10-26 00:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xe278fc…
10-25 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf9c8e8…
10-25 20:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc94df3…
10-25 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6c5ce9…
10-25 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x802d98…
10-25 09:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x72cfa3…
10-25 06:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xa34722…
10-25 04:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x813981…
10-24 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7b5989…
10-24 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x4e4622…
10-24 14:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5c3479…
10-24 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe87e02…
10-24 13:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x87d227…
10-24 13:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x29fc42…
10-24 03:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x151db3…
10-23 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x9c728a…
10-23 20:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0eb2ea…
10-23 18:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x76a8e1…
10-23 15:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe7dc62…
10-23 14:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd2f7c1…
10-23 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xa6f6e4…
10-23 10:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1c31cf…
10-23 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3faba5…
10-23 01:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x7d1e46…
10-23 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ca541…
10-23 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe7414b…
10-22 19:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x18a2a6…
10-22 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc7a3c1…
10-22 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x972b35…
10-22 14:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbeb015…
10-22 14:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x25a35f…
10-22 10:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1081bc…
10-22 04:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5dc1df…
10-21 19:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf448a0…
10-21 18:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd265ef…
10-21 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x746f73…
10-21 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5193bb…
10-21 14:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x29f94c…
10-21 13:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4a6865…
10-21 02:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe39f3b…
10-20 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x1025f1…
10-20 22:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7c3e06…
10-20 19:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x53efe4…
10-20 17:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x67d666…
10-20 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa4ccc4…
10-20 12:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x60ca66…
10-20 04:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc2b041…
10-20 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa3ae5…
10-19 17:49:12	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x44d7d0…
10-19 17:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x351c46…
10-19 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xefd916…
10-19 15:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6bb431…
10-19 14:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x64cbf7…
10-19 13:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd8e91b…
10-19 12:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8de7eb…
10-19 10:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x53ad78…
10-19 08:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x56c158…
10-19 07:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe2d1e2…
10-18 11:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x85eeca…
10-18 08:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4c9568…
10-18 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8f5123…
10-17 20:13:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x7d3fac…
10-17 06:44:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4fbdc7…
10-17 05:58:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd63ef4…
10-16 13:42:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9abc0f…
10-16 13:27:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4f6179…
10-16 08:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xed3446…
10-16 07:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe56d1a…
10-15 15:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7df7ff…
10-15 04:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4bab6f…
10-14 16:12:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x0322a1…
10-14 14:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa18d2c…
10-14 06:12:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5ef64c…
10-14 05:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x50963e…
10-13 14:43:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x982cd2…