Grand-Creditor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$347

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-14 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

61% 0% $-6

Other

20% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	8	$18	19	19	+0	open	—	06-06 03:18
btc updown 5m 1783216800	3	$13	19	16	+3	open	—	07-05 02:02
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 20:50
nba det okc 2026 03 30	2	$12	31	16	+16	open	—	03-31 03:50
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	4	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	03-12 02:56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	3	$11	6	5	+2	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:02
will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-15 02:13
nhl nyi mon 2026 02 26	3	$9	17	8	+9	open	—	02-27 01:50
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	4	$8	15	9	+6	open	—	04-02 03:59
will the san antonio spurs finish with the best record in the nba	3	$8	33	23	+11	open	—	03-31 17:12
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$8	7	2	+5	open	—	06-26 21:12
nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	4	$7	6	5	+2	open	—	03-07 04:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	03-01 23:10
nba sas bkn 2026 02 26	2	$7	20	5	+15	open	—	02-27 01:17
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	07-14 03:32
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-10 00:36
will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	3	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-07 12:18
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 04:06
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$5	50	0	+50	Thunder	$-5	05-06 02:18
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 02:03
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-31 22:01
btc updown 5m 1783216500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-05 01:59
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-05 06:53
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 01:37
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$4	42	9	+33	open	—	03-28 17:53
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 01:37
will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	3	$4	9	4	+5	open	—	06-24 03:26
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 22:54
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	06-23 23:02
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	03-17 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 03:48:43	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8d5a4…
07-14 03:37:04	btc updown 5m 1784000100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfcf915…
07-14 03:32:35	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x96c8ee…
07-05 06:53:23	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1a6682…
07-05 04:11:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xda7415…
07-05 02:02:20	btc updown 5m 1783216800	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe01df9…
07-05 02:01:43	btc updown 5m 1783216800	Down	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x848c83…
07-05 02:01:01	btc updown 5m 1783216800	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbd36c0…
07-05 01:59:32	btc updown 5m 1783216500	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x88cb59…
06-30 21:55:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x661527…
06-28 04:03:52	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xf4360d…
06-26 21:16:35	will norway reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120769	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4045ea…
06-26 21:12:35	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf41236…
06-26 21:08:55	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb5f532…
06-26 20:50:34	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x76e84e…
06-24 22:32:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x47ae2b…
06-24 03:26:56	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8b897f…
06-24 02:10:19	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x404311…
06-24 00:56:25	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc31296…
06-23 23:37:10	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xaf66fa…
06-23 23:02:50	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xfa1863…
06-23 21:59:29	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4ac200…
06-23 21:14:47	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x90c369…
06-23 02:26:50	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa7cb8c…
06-20 23:00:16	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x246490…
06-20 02:46:40	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xab6c84…
06-14 03:08:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1da50c…
06-13 19:23:51	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x55ea8d…
06-12 04:01:42	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5761e5…
06-11 01:17:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x4cc7c7…
06-10 23:48:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x74f73d…
06-10 03:45:06	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2be8a3…
06-10 03:33:55	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x6bdfe2…
06-08 21:43:45	Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfe3e46…
06-08 21:43:31	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xe5dc10…
06-06 03:18:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb6c0d4…
06-06 02:32:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x229f99…
06-06 02:31:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9dd3c5…
06-06 02:30:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x020e63…
06-06 02:29:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x65bfb4…
06-06 02:23:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x930ba4…
06-06 01:58:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x9ef1dc…
06-06 01:42:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x879066…
06-04 16:49:22	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb4c75e…
06-04 16:49:06	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc10a0e…
06-04 16:48:54	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9eeaed…
06-04 16:48:39	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3f577e…
05-26 01:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x292bce…
05-26 00:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd7223b…
05-25 01:35:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6e675c…
05-06 02:18:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7e1134…
04-15 22:54:14	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x2c4ee0…
04-15 22:27:52	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xefaff8…
04-15 02:13:24	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x72888a…
04-12 02:05:23	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x717ff0…
04-08 03:55:53	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3440a1…
04-07 12:18:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x81f1b5…
04-07 12:18:01	will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x95fc3c…
04-07 02:03:21	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfab5fb…
04-07 02:02:45	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d172e…
04-04 20:02:29	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xe679d5…
04-04 19:29:23	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x700fc5…
04-04 19:27:49	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x59ca1a…
04-04 02:11:31	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xf9bfbb…
04-02 20:36:09	nba sas lac 2026 04 02	Spurs	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb5f796…
04-02 04:06:39	nba lal okc 2026 04 02	Lakers	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcbe304…
04-02 03:59:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x5a1852…
04-01 01:49:03	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaf31ad…
03-31 22:07:07	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2842c3…
03-31 22:02:35	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x52d7d2…
03-31 22:01:25	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0ca81b…
03-31 17:12:33	will the san antonio spurs finish with the best record in the nba	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x296ad4…
03-31 03:50:13	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	SELL	16	48¢	$7	0x25b8a7…
03-31 00:11:09	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7bed48…
03-30 21:25:07	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xfb3054…
03-30 21:24:15	nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8bd538…
03-30 21:24:09	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67baac…
03-30 21:21:53	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed9cac…
03-29 23:00:32	will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x48cc5f…
03-29 18:01:02	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x27bd4c…
03-28 17:53:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xcdade9…
03-28 01:03:31	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Bulls	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xec1d64…
03-27 01:37:55	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12a619…
03-26 20:43:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x480f41…
03-26 20:41:57	fifa world cup 2026 qualification longshots parlay	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8f48a3…
03-26 02:34:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x3a1c14…
03-25 15:10:27	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf5b34c…
03-25 04:17:05	f1 japanese grand prix safety car 2026 03 29	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9ea659…
03-25 04:15:23	f1 japanese grand prix red flag 2026 03 29	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4f680b…
03-25 04:13:55	f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position russell 2026 03 28	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2ab947…
03-25 04:10:35	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x74008b…
03-25 04:08:57	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x11caa9…
03-21 23:30:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1ec3a4…
03-21 23:14:17	atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	Adam Walton	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x6abe65…
03-21 23:11:17	atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	Adam Walton	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbe6726…
03-18 03:22:09	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcfeb78…
03-17 17:53:03	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xc38d1d…
03-17 03:19:11	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x767fca…
03-17 03:18:27	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x924852…
03-17 03:17:23	will giulio centenaro win the 2026 selvazzano dentro by election	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9a8cc…