Breakable-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,371

lifetime

Volume

$536.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-11 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$1,122

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	05-14 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$1.9K	978	978	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$1.9K	979	979	+0	open	—	05-14 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$1.8K	918	918	+0	open	—	05-15 11:34
btc updown 5m 1776099900	1	$1.5K	1,476	0	+1,476	open	—	04-13 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776099000	1	$1.4K	1,458	0	+1,458	open	—	04-13 16:53
btc updown 5m 1776093600	1	$1.4K	1,445	0	+1,445	open	—	04-13 15:24
btc updown 5m 1776093000	1	$1.4K	1,420	0	+1,420	open	—	04-13 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776092700	1	$1.4K	1,377	0	+1,377	open	—	04-13 15:09
btc updown 5m 1776091800	1	$1.3K	1,365	0	+1,365	open	—	04-13 14:54
btc updown 5m 1776091200	1	$1.3K	1,339	0	+1,339	open	—	04-13 14:44
btc updown 5m 1776781200	1	$1.3K	1,313	0	+1,313	open	—	04-21 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	04-25 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776089100	1	$1.3K	1,315	0	+1,315	open	—	04-13 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776780300	1	$1.3K	1,302	0	+1,302	open	—	04-21 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776779400	1	$1.3K	1,272	0	+1,272	open	—	04-21 13:54
btc updown 5m 1775760900	1	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	open	—	04-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$1.2K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	04-25 08:14
btc updown 5m 1776088200	1	$1.2K	1,285	0	+1,285	open	—	04-13 13:52
btc updown 5m 1777044900	1	$1.2K	1,217	0	+1,217	open	—	04-24 15:39
btc updown 5m 1775759700	1	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	open	—	04-09 18:39
btc updown 5m 1776778500	1	$1.2K	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	04-21 13:39
btc updown 5m 1776511800	1	$1.2K	1,210	0	+1,210	open	—	04-18 11:34
btc updown 5m 1776086700	1	$1.2K	1,208	0	+1,208	open	—	04-13 13:29
btc updown 5m 1775753400	1	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	open	—	04-09 16:54
btc updown 5m 1776777900	1	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	open	—	04-21 13:29
btc updown 5m 1776086100	1	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	open	—	04-13 13:19
btc updown 5m 1776777300	1	$1.2K	1,190	0	+1,190	open	—	04-21 13:19
btc updown 5m 1776492300	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	open	—	04-18 06:09
btc updown 5m 1776085500	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	open	—	04-13 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 16:09:58	btc updown 5m 1783785900	Down	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0xb4d2b1…
07-11 16:09:43	btc updown 5m 1783785900	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x51bae2…
07-11 16:09:23	btc updown 5m 1783785900	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf5f9c5…
07-11 15:59:56	btc updown 5m 1783785300	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0x9939db…
07-11 10:24:47	btc updown 5m 1783765200	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0x943484…
07-11 10:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783764600	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0x313454…
07-11 08:44:40	btc updown 5m 1783759200	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0xc575f7…
07-11 08:09:55	btc updown 5m 1783757100	Up	BUY	967	99¢	$957	0xea20a9…
07-11 07:54:53	btc updown 5m 1783756200	Down	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0x01d3c5…
07-11 07:39:41	btc updown 5m 1783755300	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0x63359f…
07-11 07:30:01	btc updown 5m 1783754700	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x405dc8…
07-11 06:54:26	btc updown 5m 1783752600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd04caf…
07-11 06:49:41	btc updown 5m 1783752300	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf6e846…
07-11 06:34:46	btc updown 5m 1783751400	Up	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0xcb44c5…
07-11 06:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783751100	Down	BUY	853	99¢	$845	0x8df69f…
07-11 06:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783750200	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x43d21b…
07-11 06:14:17	btc updown 5m 1783750200	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8d7f24…
07-11 05:44:31	btc updown 5m 1783748400	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6132b7…
07-11 05:44:17	btc updown 5m 1783748400	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x647dad…
07-10 16:19:41	btc updown 5m 1783700100	Up	BUY	1,027	95¢	$975	0x661153…
07-10 14:28:47	btc updown 5m 1783693500	Up	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0xfe3acf…
07-10 13:59:37	btc updown 5m 1783691700	Down	BUY	985	99¢	$975	0xb424f1…
07-10 09:44:50	btc updown 5m 1783676400	Down	BUY	102	24¢	$25	0x877f4f…
07-10 09:04:59	btc updown 5m 1783674000	Down	BUY	997	99¢	$987	0x6be12b…
06-03 19:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x8a1bef…
06-03 14:02:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,714	1¢	$96	0xad1ae2…
06-03 13:34:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,252	1¢	$38	0x98a4ac…
06-03 10:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	836	96¢	$800	0xe8e2f2…
06-03 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	813	98¢	$800	0xef1b44…
06-03 09:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	826	97¢	$800	0x6456c1…
06-03 07:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x4a0dc8…
06-03 06:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	815	98¢	$800	0x06daee…
06-03 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0xbc650d…
06-03 06:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x0e4fe9…
06-02 12:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	818	98¢	$800	0x73465f…
06-02 12:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf334e1…
06-02 11:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x13b869…
06-02 07:18:24	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	SELL	523	21¢	$107	0x13754e…
06-01 18:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0xa3dda6…
06-01 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x5429cd…
06-01 14:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x05c282…
06-01 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x4a987a…
06-01 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xdb202d…
06-01 11:14:47	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	523	24¢	$126	0xa7631f…
05-31 17:03:01	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	575	97¢	$560	0x02e11a…
05-31 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x749b92…
05-31 11:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xce40d4…
05-31 11:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x441192…
05-31 11:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2317a8…
05-31 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0x901f2a…
05-31 11:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66b986…
05-31 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd767c8…
05-31 11:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x3a4c4f…
05-31 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x726863…
05-31 11:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x010ca8…
05-31 10:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x32ee1b…
05-31 10:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb45b57…
05-31 10:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2a4704…
05-31 10:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1ecfad…
05-31 10:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0f22f0…
05-31 10:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x850a2e…
05-31 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb773a3…
05-31 07:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xbcb3f9…
05-31 07:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4d5072…
05-31 06:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	823	97¢	$800	0xd7435b…
05-30 18:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xe7fc56…
05-30 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d6d43…
05-30 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xae9da0…
05-30 18:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc31d2c…
05-30 14:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x413557…
05-30 13:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7eab9f…
05-30 13:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x281d88…
05-30 11:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xfb7029…
05-30 11:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	46	83¢	$38	0xed0533…
05-30 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x504cb8…
05-30 11:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x41888e…
05-30 11:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe21bb1…
05-30 11:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x512f9e…
05-30 11:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x997559…
05-30 11:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xfcaf0f…
05-30 11:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2c2111…
05-30 11:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc79cbb…
05-30 11:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9bf249…
05-23 05:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	849	94¢	$800	0x600fce…
05-23 05:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	98	52¢	$51	0x249561…
05-23 05:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x364bc4…
05-23 05:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd32b77…
05-23 04:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xfd5351…
05-23 04:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x7ae2aa…
05-23 04:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	833	96¢	$800	0x9dc66b…
05-23 04:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x31070e…
05-23 04:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d0717…
05-23 04:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x410252…
05-23 04:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x61a79f…
05-22 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x947046…
05-22 11:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xe251ed…
05-22 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xa030c0…
05-22 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x35baf3…
05-22 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd7412…
05-22 11:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf976c2…