Adept-Hurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

394

Trades

842

lifetime

Volume

$7.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-06 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

51% 90% +$38

Sports

28% 88% +$8

Crypto

21% 44% -$135

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+12	$11	38¢	$5	-$6	08-06 02:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb stbr neast 2026 01 22	2	$50	30	30	+0	Stony Brook Seawolves	+$10	01-23 01:47
nhl dal cbj 2026 01 22	2	$46	26	26	+0	Blue Jackets	+$6	01-23 02:35
nhl fla wpg 2026 01 22	2	$45	25	25	+0	Panthers	+$5	01-23 03:43
nhl sj wsh 2026 01 15	3	$43	24	24	+0	Sharks	+$4	01-16 02:37
nhl las bos 2026 01 22	2	$41	22	22	+0	Bruins	+$2	01-23 02:44
ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 lev2	3	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	02-24 21:53
cbb txst coast 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	+$1	01-23 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:00 UTC	3	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$14	04-22 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC	3	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$10	04-22 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$30	22	21	+1	Down	+$11	04-27 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	05-03 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-03 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	04-29 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	04-22 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$10	04-30 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 20:45 UTC	3	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	04-22 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+1	Down	+$8	04-28 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+1	Up	+$8	04-22 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	04-29 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	5	$26	20	19	+1	Down	+$7	04-22 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:15 UTC	2	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	04-22 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	04-30 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 04:00 UTC	2	$26	18	18	+1	Up	+$9	04-23 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$25	19	19	-0	Down	+$5	04-30 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 22:30 UTC	3	$25	19	18	+0	Down	+$5	04-22 22:44
nba was lac 2026 01 14 spread home 11pt5	3	$25	15	15	+0	Clippers	+$5	01-15 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	5	$25	19	18	+1	Down	+$8	04-27 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 02:23:41	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x72bb96…
07-13 02:34:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xcfd417…
07-04 02:06:40	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2f1b9b…
07-04 02:06:19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf86660…
06-10 01:34:40	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x30c6d7…
05-11 03:29:23	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbef13c…
05-11 03:28:55	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x49f737…
05-11 03:28:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xce1a9a…
05-11 03:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7bfdea…
05-11 03:27:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcb4b13…
05-08 04:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x85afbf…
05-08 04:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x64bbcd…
05-08 02:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc020a8…
05-08 02:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc0e91c…
05-08 01:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x2d4bd5…
05-08 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3f738c…
05-07 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xeda9a7…
05-07 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf7e262…
05-07 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xb05600…
05-07 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xa34f2f…
05-07 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x292205…
05-07 17:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xefe389…
05-07 17:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x59c6bb…
05-07 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x560dd7…
05-07 17:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf03282…
05-07 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x82c8b0…
05-07 16:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x20fe5b…
05-07 12:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x572ff4…
05-07 12:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdd2a44…
05-07 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xe41680…
05-07 10:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xe549f6…
05-07 03:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x97565c…
05-07 03:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd8e0ac…
05-07 01:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xb20b7d…
05-07 01:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xaf2209…
05-07 00:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x0bd0b7…
05-07 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x77240d…
05-07 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x45f469…
05-06 16:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x968096…
05-06 16:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x64f37c…
05-06 12:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x9568e0…
05-06 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x595f0e…
05-06 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe027c6…
05-06 07:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9c67ce…
05-06 05:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xe48d49…
05-06 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0b1f16…
05-06 05:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x02527d…
05-06 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa73b16…
05-06 03:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x7706af…
05-06 03:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x86d002…
05-06 02:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4edd77…
05-06 02:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc4cb36…
05-05 22:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xbdafb0…
05-05 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5446a9…
05-05 17:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xc690a2…
05-05 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xf85d4e…
05-05 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x10c90e…
05-05 17:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x31b994…
05-05 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xce392b…
05-05 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x7d3fac…
05-05 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x351a12…
05-05 06:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x629b66…
05-05 06:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa39d0c…
05-05 03:12:32	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd4a9bf…
05-05 03:12:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbe5904…
05-05 03:12:10	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xa00d47…
05-05 03:11:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd6a238…
05-05 03:11:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5aa70b…
05-04 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x1187f2…
05-04 09:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x29a8e4…
05-04 09:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xbf3652…
05-04 09:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcfb8f6…
05-04 00:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xac766a…
05-04 00:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x97b185…
05-03 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe9131f…
05-03 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x67509b…
05-03 11:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xade1db…
05-03 11:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xc7a52a…
05-03 08:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa21f60…
05-03 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaf841a…
05-03 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9283b7…
05-03 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x2b4c2b…
05-03 07:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x286f81…
05-03 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6b3c31…
05-03 03:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac1238…
05-03 03:03:28	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x43b93c…
05-03 03:02:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8d8763…
05-03 03:02:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb39048…
05-03 03:01:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5d4c8d…
05-03 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x11100e…
05-03 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x21f2d7…
05-02 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x684885…
05-02 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xa0c607…
05-02 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x739767…
05-01 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xe5dd1d…
05-01 00:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5f27cc…
05-01 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcb9148…
05-01 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xc47baf…
04-30 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x48a368…
04-30 23:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x4d925c…