Determined-Sibling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

1,628

Trades

2,288

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-15 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% -$120

Other

0% 0% -$154

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:40 UTC	2	$246	270	+270	Down	-$126	04-21 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-13 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-13 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$167	169	+169	Down	+$2	05-13 01:55
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$154	167	+167	No	-$154	06-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-11 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:00 UTC	1	$148	150	+150	Up	+$2	04-14 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	04-11 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-11 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-11 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	29	$148	150	+150	Up	+$2	05-12 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:20 UTC	1	$148	150	+150	Up	+$2	04-11 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-11 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Up	+$2	05-13 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:40 UTC	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	04-14 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	04-11 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$148	150	+150	Down	+$2	05-13 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$148	150	+150	Up	+$2	05-11 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$148	219	+219	Down	-$41	05-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$148	149	+149	Up	+$1	05-12 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:35 UTC	4	$147	148	+148	Up	+$1	04-11 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$145	146	+146	Up	+$1	05-13 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 03:55 UTC	1	$144	145	+145	Down	+$1	04-11 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:10 UTC	1	$144	145	+145	Down	+$1	04-18 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$143	144	+144	Down	+$1	05-12 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 07:40 UTC	2	$141	142	+142	Down	+$1	04-10 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:00 UTC	2	$139	140	+140	Down	+$1	04-20 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:30 UTC	1	$139	140	+140	Up	+$1	04-16 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$137	138	+138	Down	+$1	05-11 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:23:51	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	167	92¢	$154	0x66dbce…
06-11 03:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5ae61a…
06-11 01:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x25d093…
06-11 01:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4550be…
06-11 01:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13edce…
06-11 00:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff6431…
06-11 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57b919…
06-11 00:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d8aab…
06-10 23:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x960261…
06-10 23:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe7a769…
06-10 22:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbc5a24…
06-10 21:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7b8d5d…
06-10 21:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x41b507…
06-10 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d5bdc…
06-10 20:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x72a767…
06-10 20:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x486b49…
06-10 19:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa5b3c7…
06-10 19:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b28e1…
06-10 14:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x880f29…
06-10 13:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc83229…
06-10 13:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0a3909…
06-10 13:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x21ce5a…
06-10 12:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf8dae6…
06-10 12:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x242eb3…
06-10 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa35f55…
06-10 11:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0959df…
06-10 11:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01c5d4…
06-10 11:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5d2b6…
06-10 11:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x148342…
06-10 09:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70a231…
06-10 08:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x66cd84…
06-10 07:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5a2914…
06-10 07:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7fd3db…
06-10 03:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6d3a5a…
06-10 02:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1c421e…
06-10 02:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21cc87…
06-10 01:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3cdbe6…
06-10 01:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x810547…
06-10 01:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63dc65…
06-10 00:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6c1a18…
06-10 00:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d57b2…
06-10 00:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1462fa…
06-09 23:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25798f…
06-09 23:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81e7d2…
06-09 22:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6c816e…
06-09 20:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x448eef…
06-09 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x873726…
06-09 17:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31ee04…
06-09 16:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x530e30…
06-09 16:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc58fa7…
06-09 16:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89be8f…
06-09 16:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3164ea…
06-09 14:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d9fab…
06-09 14:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfcc2f0…
06-09 14:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x132e5c…
06-09 13:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5a7ac3…
06-09 12:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9fab7…
06-09 11:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80d074…
06-09 11:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x03ed14…
06-09 10:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x62c5b4…
06-09 10:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x257f72…
06-09 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c6148…
06-09 08:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe21408…
06-09 07:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb71a63…
06-09 06:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb8af30…
06-09 06:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb25d89…
06-09 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde73c8…
06-09 05:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe696fe…
06-09 01:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x436858…
06-09 00:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd92b0b…
06-09 00:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c194b…
06-09 00:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x160d9c…
06-08 23:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x036c88…
06-08 23:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x732127…
06-08 23:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc81a13…
06-08 22:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a10e2…
06-08 21:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb8b067…
06-08 21:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd5336f…
06-08 21:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe20ae1…
06-08 20:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72b05e…
06-08 19:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecb8e1…
06-08 19:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ac2b8…
06-08 18:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa333af…
06-08 17:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x26b57c…
06-08 16:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x80dcc0…
06-08 15:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd86c76…
06-08 14:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5ae97…
06-08 14:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc229a3…
06-08 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33c371…
06-08 11:35:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9312da…
06-08 11:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x19df36…
06-08 10:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x86ccdf…
06-08 10:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e2082…
06-08 09:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3f3331…
06-08 08:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaf7ee7…
06-08 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x260a9b…
06-08 08:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3564c…
06-08 07:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x568128…
06-08 06:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9a5eff…
06-08 06:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6605d7…