Alert-Election — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

2,922

Trades

4,946

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-18 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% -$320

Other

0% 75% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:05 UTC	2	$493	263	263	+0	Up	+$8	03-21 20:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC	3	$307	179	141	+38	Down	-$27	03-21 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:20 UTC	14	$303	166	165	+1	Down	+$14	03-19 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:40 UTC	4	$270	2,494	78	+2,415	Up	-$192	03-23 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:00 UTC	6	$255	131	131	+0	Down	+$5	03-20 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:40 UTC	7	$228	152	89	+63	Up	+$9	03-19 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	6	$219	119	118	+0	Down	+$10	03-20 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:35 UTC	8	$212	114	114	+0	Down	+$9	03-23 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:25 UTC	6	$179	120	68	+53	Up	+$7	03-19 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 12:50 UTC	9	$177	94	94	+0	Down	+$6	03-19 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:25 UTC	6	$176	93	93	+0	Down	+$5	03-19 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:20 UTC	6	$176	95	95	+0	Up	+$5	03-19 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:40 UTC	6	$174	91	91	+0	Up	+$4	03-19 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:00 UTC	5	$173	90	90	+0	Up	+$3	03-19 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:10 UTC	10	$172	102	80	+23	Up	+$5	03-20 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:05 UTC	2	$151	83	83	+0	Down	+$12	03-20 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 23:55 UTC	4	$145	167	164	+3	Down	-$45	03-21 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:50 UTC	13	$144	77	77	+0	Down	+$4	03-19 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:10 UTC	5	$144	76	75	+0	Up	+$4	03-19 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:05 UTC	4	$144	77	77	+0	Down	+$4	03-19 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:05 UTC	4	$144	74	74	+0	Up	+$4	03-19 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	23	$144	75	75	+0	No	+$4	05-19 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	4	$143	74	74	+0	Up	+$3	03-19 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:40 UTC	7	$143	75	75	+0	Up	+$3	03-19 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:50 UTC	4	$142	75	75	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:15 UTC	5	$142	73	73	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:20 UTC	4	$141	72	72	+0	Up	+$1	03-19 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:30 UTC	4	$141	72	72	+0	Down	+$1	03-20 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:25 UTC	4	$139	84	84	+0	Down	-$21	03-20 13:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	19	$137	84	84	+0	No	+$21	05-28 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 20:21:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xc472d8…
07-18 20:20:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xeababe…
06-12 23:12:54	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x193c5d…
06-12 19:46:31	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x45344e…
05-28 20:28:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc53d09…
05-28 20:28:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1fc34d…
05-28 20:27:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6184db…
05-28 20:27:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x5716ba…
05-19 17:04:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x60a76f…
05-19 11:13:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6ae474…
05-19 11:11:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5c47fd…
05-19 10:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3c8aa9…
05-19 10:20:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xad9524…
05-19 10:16:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x6e12b0…
05-19 10:15:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcd8602…
05-19 10:15:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbc99b9…
05-19 10:15:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x050f98…
05-19 08:05:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x814974…
05-19 08:04:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc7c048…
05-19 08:04:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8b94dc…
05-19 08:03:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0fa87a…
05-18 21:37:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa5b1a1…
05-18 20:54:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x78366f…
05-18 20:54:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x70587a…
05-18 18:46:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0d8878…
05-18 17:56:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8121ee…
05-18 16:52:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe8e4a5…
05-18 16:51:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0a2560…
05-18 13:13:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe68422…
05-18 13:10:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xc1dca7…
05-18 10:55:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x966af3…
05-18 10:51:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x80f122…
05-18 10:51:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3b928e…
05-18 10:51:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe670b0…
05-18 10:49:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x50e365…
05-18 10:49:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x211cef…
05-18 07:55:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x725502…
05-18 07:27:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4d28b6…
05-18 07:24:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x93a6f9…
05-18 07:19:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x28c33b…
05-18 07:12:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x28adee…
05-18 07:03:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa9b6ed…
05-18 06:56:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7ecb54…
05-18 06:37:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd2da97…
05-18 06:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x89c0d7…
05-18 06:34:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xddd73e…
05-18 06:30:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x248dee…
05-18 06:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0e4fa9…
05-18 04:24:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x78fa50…
05-18 04:24:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0xcbf517…
05-18 04:23:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xf5936c…
05-17 22:13:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb1ef16…
05-17 22:13:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3f89cf…
05-17 22:12:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12e768…
05-16 21:27:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xceaaa8…
05-06 17:46:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5e9272…
05-06 17:46:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd34463…
05-06 17:46:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x352276…
04-27 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x93e206…
04-27 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xe43e53…
04-27 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xd04693…
04-27 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0a5a6f…
04-27 00:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x02533a…
04-26 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xb3001c…
04-26 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x694a9a…
04-26 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x61656d…
04-26 23:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xff743a…
04-26 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xff82e8…
04-26 23:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xe0f475…
04-26 23:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xfd4027…
04-26 23:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xe09df2…
04-26 23:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x210a14…
04-26 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x16b8ca…
04-26 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x78419a…
04-26 23:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x962967…
04-26 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf0eeaf…
04-26 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x41590f…
04-26 23:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x9ba321…
04-26 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x71c383…
04-26 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x99cd12…
04-26 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x85383c…
04-26 23:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xef758f…
04-26 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd392a1…
04-26 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb44a1a…
04-26 22:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcaca12…
04-26 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x27acf2…
04-26 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8721dc…
04-26 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x1966f3…
04-26 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe7dd4e…
04-26 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xdf1f37…
04-26 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc76367…
04-26 22:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x94ea66…
04-26 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa56991…
04-26 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x850b54…
04-26 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xdc284f…
04-26 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x36502d…
04-26 22:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xaf56a6…
04-26 22:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6c6dc6…
04-26 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0dbb2d…
04-26 22:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x6242fe…