Respectful-Lake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$943

Unrealized P&L

+$43

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

885

Trades

3,976

lifetime

Volume

$122.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$189

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-04 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Sports

44% 49% -$2,177

Crypto

37% 55% +$49

Other

17% 49% +$1,079

Politics

2% 100% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+200	$146	94¢	$189	+$43	11-04 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	71	$4.9K	4,036	2,536	+1,500	No	+$455	02-28 15:28
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	57	$3.2K	2,605	2,605	+0	No	+$196	03-24 23:51
si above 120 jan 2026	42	$2.7K	2,527	1,327	+1,200	No	+$426	01-31 03:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	34	$2.6K	2,050	2,050	+0	No	+$237	02-28 07:47
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	53	$2.4K	2,117	2,117	+0	No	+$384	01-30 02:57
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	45	$2.2K	1,985	1,235	+750	Yes	-$365	03-26 06:06
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	35	$2.2K	1,652	1,652	+0	No	+$144	02-22 14:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	33	$2.0K	2,257	1,062	+1,195	Yes	+$117	03-10 18:42
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$144	03-30 07:36
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	9	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$115	03-21 08:37
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	12	$1.8K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	+$207	03-31 15:37
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	61	$1.7K	1,956	966	+990	Yes	+$335	02-18 00:48
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	12	$1.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$189	02-03 18:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	38	$1.5K	1,557	1,552	+5	No	+$58	03-10 14:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 1	12	$1.5K	1,111	551	+560	Yes	-$17	03-01 16:53
spx up or down on march 10 2026	14	$1.4K	985	985	+0	Down	-$71	03-10 20:00
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	12	$1.2K	1,150	1,000	+150	Michigan Wolverines	+$177	04-05 01:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	8	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$129	02-23 06:18
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	21	$1.0K	926	601	+325	Yes	+$94	10-26 21:28
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	10	$936	601	601	+0	Yes	+$134	03-02 15:26
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	13	$926	662	362	+300	No	+$56	02-23 05:21
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 16 22	9	$896	700	700	+0	No	+$112	02-20 16:08
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	11	$870	551	550	+1	No	+$173	04-06 01:38
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	16	$849	900	900	+0	Yes	-$39	03-12 17:05
si above 110 jan 2026	24	$807	762	762	+0	No	-$23	01-30 22:50
will ethereum dip to 2100 february 2 8	12	$793	750	590	+160	Yes	+$180	02-04 17:32
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 total 219pt5	15	$740	750	650	+100	Over	+$106	04-16 03:17
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	16	$737	1,006	6	+1,000	Yes	-$728	03-26 07:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 30	1	$700	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$300	03-30 08:00
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	10	$667	660	660	+0	No	+$7	10-25 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:10:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x5c81cf…
11-04 02:04:46	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xc5b7ab…
11-04 02:01:43	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0xe451e8…
11-04 02:01:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xef7345…
11-04 02:01:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xe38bfc…
11-04 02:01:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x87aaf7…
11-04 02:01:39	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x39ae8c…
11-04 02:01:28	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x94ac55…
11-04 01:59:40	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x08922b…
11-04 01:52:57	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0xe6b34d…
11-04 01:52:37	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x836d7d…
11-04 01:52:37	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x5feabb…
11-04 01:52:15	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x26ac21…
11-04 01:51:28	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xbdd9f6…
11-03 18:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xc1b962…
11-03 17:37:24	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0x3b4dde…
11-03 17:02:07	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	50¢	$147	0xfb6980…
11-03 16:52:15	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x722bbe…
11-03 16:40:51	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0x499e5f…
11-03 16:36:07	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$51	0x499d1f…
11-02 22:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x35509f…
11-02 01:30:46	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb6de86…
11-02 01:29:19	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xb2de38…
11-02 01:16:22	Oilers vs. Rangers	Oilers	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xf08741…
11-02 00:55:33	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x3cc491…
11-02 00:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xf09753…
11-02 00:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	213	55¢	$117	0x4544d7…
11-01 23:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3442bc…
11-01 23:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xf744d2…
11-01 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xc3d17d…
11-01 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x5f4984…
11-01 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x546e3d…
11-01 23:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xc14203…
11-01 23:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xab07bf…
11-01 23:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77fdf9…
11-01 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xc9c4b3…
11-01 23:36:36	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe2bf01…
11-01 23:35:52	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x02c332…
11-01 23:06:03	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x61cf16…
11-01 23:05:58	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xbf9aa5…
11-01 23:00:31	Oilers vs. Rangers	Oilers	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x705108…
11-01 22:59:15	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xec42ee…
11-01 22:59:13	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0xfc1cde…
11-01 22:50:49	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Under	SELL	93	21¢	$20	0xc3ec40…
11-01 22:48:40	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Under	BUY	93	50¢	$47	0x656943…
11-01 22:46:43	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0xbaa2f5…
11-01 22:44:22	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x528d08…
11-01 22:31:37	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xbd4a2b…
11-01 22:31:36	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xe54103…
11-01 22:31:33	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x87e688…
11-01 22:31:33	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x4ea176…
11-01 22:31:31	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x08c7e3…
11-01 22:29:52	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xf26c71…
11-01 22:18:06	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 223.5	Over	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x28a145…
11-01 22:17:04	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x514b92…
11-01 22:13:57	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5	Over	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xa06b11…
11-01 21:21:06	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x0701a5…
11-01 21:20:13	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6f090…
11-01 21:20:13	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x415b27…
11-01 21:20:13	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x1bd187…
11-01 21:20:04	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x03aa39…
11-01 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa6c48f…
11-01 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x5abb5b…
11-01 20:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6ecf47…
11-01 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xea5f3a…
11-01 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe0e9b5…
11-01 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa91ca9…
11-01 20:21:37	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa760b8…
11-01 20:21:25	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xef1fe5…
11-01 20:19:46	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x60e27b…
11-01 20:19:33	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd3f34f…
11-01 15:20:03	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xfa27d1…
11-01 11:40:57	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x049cfa…
11-01 11:35:03	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x02df1a…
11-01 11:32:13	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xc3185e…
11-01 11:31:46	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x21cd75…
11-01 01:52:46	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xe0794c…
11-01 01:50:21	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x821559…
11-01 01:49:45	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xf1a7e0…
11-01 01:47:13	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0xd0d485…
11-01 01:29:28	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x129c7a…
11-01 01:29:27	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x3ddc37…
11-01 01:11:01	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x3375f1…
11-01 01:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x0a7140…
11-01 01:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc1d6b5…
11-01 01:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x690456…
11-01 01:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7e7af4…
11-01 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4c3916…
11-01 00:59:13	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x69a09f…
11-01 00:58:49	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6cac59…
11-01 00:58:45	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0a436e…
11-01 00:57:39	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x6c76e3…
11-01 00:55:25	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	125	63¢	$79	0x872102…
11-01 00:54:22	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0x39cd68…
11-01 00:53:28	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x9257fe…
11-01 00:53:01	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x74f6e1…
11-01 00:52:30	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x92977f…
11-01 00:52:01	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 211.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd62072…
11-01 00:51:39	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4ad4bf…
11-01 00:41:28	Maple Leafs vs. Canucks	Maple Leafs	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0b2d2f…