Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-29 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

36% 0% -$14

Crypto

36% 0% -$23

Other

28% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+60	$3	4¢	$3	$0	10-28 07:16
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	+100	$2	2¢	$2	$0	10-29 19:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$3	0¢	$1	-$3	10-25 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	4	$6	1,500	+1,500	No	-$6	10-19 12:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	2	$6	100	+100	No	-$6	10-22 16:41
highest temperature in seoul on january 14 neg 1c	2	$5	5,000	+5,000	No	-$5	01-14 05:03
ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	20	$5	500	+500	No	-$5	10-14 11:18
total internet blackout in iran by february 28 2026	1	$4	59	+59	Yes	-$4	02-28 14:50
will the us strike iran next 433	3	$3	50	+50	No	-$3	01-22 06:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	300	+300	open	—	10-25 16:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	5	$3	560	+560	Yes	-$3	10-22 10:37
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$3	430	+430	open	—	10-28 06:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$3	3,000	+3,000	Yes	-$3	03-03 12:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$3	60	+60	open	—	10-28 07:16
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 17c	1	$3	2,630	+2,630	No	-$3	04-07 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:30 UTC	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	01-03 11:17
will backpack launch a token on march 23	1	$2	20	+20	Yes	-$2	03-22 21:59
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	500	+500	No	-$2	01-14 14:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	Yes	-$2	04-05 14:53
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	5	$2	100	+100	open	—	10-29 19:08
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	1	$2	1,510	+1,510	Yes	-$2	03-04 12:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1	700	+700	Yes	-$1	04-17 15:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	2	$1	100	+100	Yes	-$1	10-24 15:27
will backpack launch a token on march 27	3	$1	50	+50	No	-$1	03-22 23:13
will backpack launch a token on march 30	3	$1	100	+100	No	-$1	03-23 00:13
will backpack launch a token on march 28	1	$1	130	+130	No	-$1	03-22 22:06
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	1	$1	30	+30	open	—	10-22 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:08:36	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x61bbbe…
10-28 07:16:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xb86687…
10-28 06:12:31	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$3	0x9c978b…
10-26 02:58:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x8d2f21…
10-25 18:11:54	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x8bee08…
10-25 18:11:50	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xa0d3c7…
10-25 18:11:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xca27fb…
10-25 16:25:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf1f67a…
10-24 15:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x4bf941…
10-24 15:26:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x117289…
10-22 16:41:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x343dc1…
10-22 16:41:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x998993…
10-22 10:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	118	0¢	$1	0x1c821a…
10-22 10:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xbc8f0d…
10-22 10:29:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x87af35…
10-22 10:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x5f543e…
10-22 09:50:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x25dd5a…
10-22 08:01:17	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x742ed5…
10-19 12:03:32	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	554	0¢	$1	0x41f2dd…
10-19 12:01:21	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	303	0¢	$0	0xb5937d…
10-19 12:00:14	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x1888c9…
10-19 11:56:21	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xde29bd…
10-14 11:18:34	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x57ee02…
10-14 11:17:25	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbcc4e0…
10-14 11:16:46	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd4f786…
10-14 11:16:17	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x1f8a6b…
10-14 11:15:59	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe481e6…
10-14 11:14:49	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb1f00e…
10-14 11:14:07	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2e84ec…
10-14 11:13:59	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbb6c64…
10-14 11:12:07	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x9d0d6c…
10-14 11:12:05	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xabe936…
10-14 11:11:26	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa2ef51…
10-14 11:10:52	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8049c3…
10-14 11:10:13	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x483bd7…
10-14 11:09:31	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x73ff11…
10-14 11:07:20	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0fe0c8…
10-14 11:07:19	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7667af…
10-14 11:05:20	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x72b524…
10-14 11:05:10	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb0fbf1…
10-14 11:02:49	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x356044…
10-14 11:02:14	ethereum above 2700 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	314	1¢	$3	0xd32719…
04-17 15:33:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x556cdc…
04-07 15:55:29	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2,630	0¢	$3	0x8d4d86…
04-05 14:53:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x6dce3d…
03-23 00:13:01	will backpack launch a token on march 30	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc88efe…
03-22 23:13:43	will backpack launch a token on march 27	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x1822a1…
03-22 23:10:09	will backpack launch a token on march 27	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x4174c5…
03-22 23:10:03	will backpack launch a token on march 27	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x26ec55…
03-22 22:13:45	will backpack launch a token on march 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc5a77b…
03-22 22:10:07	will backpack launch a token on march 30	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x1dc2f4…
03-22 22:06:21	will backpack launch a token on march 28	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xb03f98…
03-22 21:59:37	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf871e1…
03-04 12:04:17	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	1,510	0¢	$2	0x6f0074…
03-03 12:04:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x653b38…
03-03 12:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcfda06…
02-28 14:50:39	total internet blackout in iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	59	6¢	$4	0xf1c896…
01-22 06:15:38	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x6b010d…
01-21 18:51:20	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x19ebb5…
01-21 18:50:50	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x146158…
01-14 14:12:58	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x41e149…
01-14 05:03:12	highest temperature in seoul on january 14 neg 1c	Yes	BUY	3,015	0¢	$3	0x0daf4b…
01-14 03:56:50	highest temperature in seoul on january 14 neg 1c	Yes	BUY	1,985	0¢	$2	0xc92e70…
01-03 11:17:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc2b337…