Inconsequential-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

181

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-30 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 67% -$39

Sports

3% 38% -$19

Other

3% 23% -$26

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-30 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	7	$34	31	27	+4	Up	+$0	10-11 00:34
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$29	17	17	+0	Up	-$3	10-09 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$28	22	11	+11	Up	-$2	10-09 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$27	20	9	+11	Up	+$2	10-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$26	20	9	+11	Up	+$2	10-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$25	32	16	+16	Up	-$13	10-10 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$25	18	8	+10	Up	+$1	10-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$25	20	8	+12	Down	+$2	10-09 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	Down	-$5	10-09 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:20 UTC	3	$23	17	7	+10	Down	+$1	10-09 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	10-11 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:20 UTC	3	$23	17	7	+10	Down	+$1	10-09 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$22	17	7	+10	Down	+$1	10-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	10-10 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	10-11 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	10-11 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-10 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$21	16	6	+10	Up	+$0	10-09 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	3	$20	14	8	+6	Down	+$1	10-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	10-10 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$20	16	6	+10	Up	$0	10-09 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$20	15	6	+9	Down	+$0	10-09 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Down	-$3	10-09 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	Down	-$5	10-09 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$19	15	5	+10	Down	+$1	10-09 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$19	16	5	+10	Up	+$2	10-10 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$19	15	5	+10	Up	+$1	10-09 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$19	16	8	+8	Up	-$2	10-09 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x83a492…
10-30 15:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xbdceb6…
10-30 14:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc6165a…
10-30 14:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd570bc…
10-30 08:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbcf985…
10-11 01:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x163f58…
10-11 01:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbd814b…
10-11 01:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb71e20…
10-11 01:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x233c80…
10-11 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0ae150…
10-11 01:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9ca748…
10-11 01:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x885b7f…
10-11 01:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xd92be0…
10-11 01:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x330438…
10-11 01:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xe999e3…
10-11 01:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8caf84…
10-11 01:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x98a8e2…
10-11 01:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6969d3…
10-11 01:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x7252aa…
10-11 01:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf08b7e…
10-11 01:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe2f8d2…
10-11 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1cb087…
10-11 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe0baf2…
10-11 01:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xa523e4…
10-11 01:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x367af1…
10-11 01:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x0fc0a0…
10-11 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6f0b83…
10-11 01:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1b0171…
10-11 01:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ed0a9…
10-11 00:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x79ec3b…
10-11 00:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa2cd4f…
10-11 00:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x1afd4a…
10-11 00:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5b6dd9…
10-11 00:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xef448d…
10-11 00:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x443d61…
10-11 00:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x894f9c…
10-11 00:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x069849…
10-11 00:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xba2acf…
10-11 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7a814b…
10-11 00:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x16b079…
10-11 00:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xce589e…
10-11 00:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6c2eda…
10-11 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xe78ad9…
10-11 00:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5ebe45…
10-11 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x2a5cc7…
10-11 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8e8e36…
10-11 00:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe6090e…
10-11 00:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x49fca1…
10-11 00:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x52d603…
10-11 00:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbb698a…
10-11 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x339a6d…
10-11 00:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x173f17…
10-11 00:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x201369…
10-11 00:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x413b57…
10-11 00:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x02400f…
10-11 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x89acf8…
10-11 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x425ed3…
10-11 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x624e36…
10-11 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3e5fda…
10-11 00:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x98f0af…
10-10 23:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x9cea79…
10-10 23:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x50c932…
10-10 23:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2939dd…
10-10 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2a9af2…
10-10 23:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2773cc…
10-10 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x7dc26d…
10-10 23:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc2b29…
10-10 23:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9f8c83…
10-10 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xac47c3…
10-10 23:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x01a9a4…
10-10 23:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x67d7d6…
10-10 23:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x1f8066…
10-10 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1fd627…
10-10 23:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x57b8ec…
10-10 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd6572c…
10-10 23:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4e42a8…
10-10 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x67a59d…
10-10 23:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xfda2a9…
10-10 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa7d19a…
10-10 23:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf0ed0b…
10-10 23:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x461626…
10-10 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9afec5…
10-10 23:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5c5f20…
10-10 23:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xc1b96d…
10-10 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd983fe…
10-10 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x1ed3f3…
10-10 23:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x862517…
10-10 23:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x790470…
10-10 23:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2ac0c3…
10-10 22:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2c6716…
10-10 22:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x65dcc3…
10-10 22:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xca57f6…
10-10 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0ae343…
10-10 22:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xc652d6…
10-10 22:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdbf2c7…
10-10 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x2a4ea9…
10-10 22:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a2c52…
10-10 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x1c7ff9…
10-10 22:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbf7021…
10-10 22:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcade57…