Muffled-Province — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

403

Trades

24,175

lifetime

Volume

$581.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-05 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 62% $-165

Other

7% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 677 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 2am et	161	$5.6K	0	10,404	-10,404	open	—	06-19 06:53
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 8am et	40	$4.5K	1,295	9,826	-8,531	open	—	06-22 12:36
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	124	$4.4K	0	8,800	-8,800	open	—	06-17 03:57
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 12am et	104	$4.2K	0	8,000	-8,000	open	—	06-18 04:38
btc updown 5m 1781528400	102	$3.8K	200	7,400	-7,200	open	—	06-15 13:05
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 8am et	65	$3.7K	0	8,600	-8,600	open	—	06-18 12:48
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 9pm et	113	$3.5K	0	7,000	-7,000	open	—	06-19 01:57
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$3.4K	1,863	1,863	+0	open	—	07-04 00:48
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	30	$3.2K	558	4,668	-4,110	open	—	06-29 12:12
btc updown 5m 1775912400	58	$3.1K	1,997	1,191	+806	open	—	04-11 13:03
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 7am et	98	$3.0K	0	5,400	-5,400	open	—	06-18 11:49
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	3	$3.0K	2,247	1,124	+1,124	open	—	06-30 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9AM ET	9	$3.0K	3,081	1,507	+1,574	open	—	04-28 13:55
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	113	$2.7K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-09 15:55
btc updown 5m 1775967000	10	$2.7K	3,284	2,358	+926	open	—	04-12 04:14
btc updown 5m 1775957700	12	$2.7K	2,502	274	+2,228	open	—	04-12 01:36
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 12am et	80	$2.6K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-26 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	180	$2.5K	100	6,439	-6,339	open	—	05-27 14:33
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 8am et	115	$2.5K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-27 12:30
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	21	$2.5K	175	5,330	-5,155	open	—	06-19 14:59
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	4	$2.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-06 03:28
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 10am et	114	$2.3K	5	5,030	-5,025	open	—	06-18 14:59
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	93	$2.2K	0	4,325	-4,325	open	—	06-10 12:42
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 7am et	120	$2.2K	0	4,332	-4,332	open	—	06-19 11:55
btc updown 5m 1775959500	3	$2.2K	2,281	286	+1,995	open	—	04-12 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	112	$2.2K	0	3,979	-3,979	open	—	05-29 13:59
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 first half total 1pt5	3	$2.2K	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	06-27 00:54
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	55	$2.1K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	06-29 13:25
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 1am et	89	$2.1K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	06-20 05:47
btc updown 5m 1775912100	6	$2.1K	1,623	1,579	+45	open	—	04-11 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 12:37:50	btc updown 5m 1783255200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x66fc3f…
07-05 12:34:55	btc updown 5m 1783254900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2fd5b8…
07-05 12:29:59	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x880222…
07-05 12:29:53	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x958064…
07-05 12:29:47	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x91619e…
07-05 12:29:38	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6b18e4…
07-05 12:29:35	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6d81e8…
07-05 09:15:34	btc updown 5m 1783242900	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xe2b6f5…
07-05 09:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783242600	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6a3a67…
07-05 09:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783242600	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x308495…
07-05 09:11:50	btc updown 5m 1783242600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x368de3…
07-05 09:11:43	btc updown 5m 1783242900	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa7d131…
07-05 09:03:25	btc updown 5m 1783242300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb6f9ce…
07-05 08:50:08	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xf0fa92…
07-05 08:50:08	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xe440d1…
07-05 08:50:08	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x203316…
07-05 08:35:01	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	73	85¢	$62	0x215db9…
07-05 08:33:46	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	73	25¢	$18	0x350ea8…
07-05 08:31:20	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x3938b8…
07-05 08:31:14	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa28e19…
07-05 08:31:14	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	201	25¢	$50	0x14d574…
07-05 08:30:59	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x410693…
07-05 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xd55bbb…
07-05 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xcf63d8…
07-05 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xa0ead7…
07-05 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x29826b…
07-05 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x2170da…
07-05 08:28:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x81ad99…
07-05 08:28:08	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x176a4e…
07-05 08:28:02	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xab2142…
07-05 08:27:59	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x6d1737…
07-05 08:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	51	85¢	$43	0xff45b8…
07-05 08:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xbf4ee0…
07-05 08:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa62e1f…
07-05 08:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x73686e…
07-05 08:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x62779e…
07-05 08:27:56	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0xeba526…
07-05 08:27:56	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0xc264ef…
07-05 08:27:56	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5385ae…
07-05 08:24:34	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xb8676a…
07-05 08:13:16	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x4a92c0…
07-05 08:10:37	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xce36d1…
07-05 08:10:37	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x22ec26…
07-05 08:10:32	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x09baf6…
07-05 08:09:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x917f5e…
07-05 08:09:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x908dca…
07-05 08:09:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x794bf4…
07-05 08:09:16	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4413fe…
07-05 08:09:14	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4805fb…
07-04 18:59:56	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x9aa2a8…
07-04 15:35:25	btc updown 5m 1783179300	Up	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0xf11700…
07-04 15:35:04	btc updown 5m 1783179000	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x7bbbd8…
07-04 15:31:43	btc updown 5m 1783179300	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5f2900…
07-04 15:30:01	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xf861cc…
07-04 15:28:29	btc updown 5m 1783179000	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x3a5ef2…
07-04 15:25:23	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x6134a1…
07-04 15:25:23	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3d1e81…
07-04 15:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd69cea…
07-04 15:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xcc6ab2…
07-04 15:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4bd6ec…
07-04 15:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x43f707…
07-04 15:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783178700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0158df…
07-04 15:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9df861…
07-04 15:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e84cf…
07-04 15:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6d013a…
07-04 15:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5c67c7…
07-04 15:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x357002…
07-04 15:23:58	btc updown 5m 1783178400	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xd6e7c8…
07-04 14:42:37	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x83150e…
07-04 14:41:08	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeacf58…
07-04 14:41:05	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x842627…
07-04 14:40:50	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xabb4b2…
07-04 14:40:38	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb2d3a8…
07-04 14:40:34	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa32e3a…
07-04 14:39:04	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xa09312…
07-04 14:39:04	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x61ee15…
07-04 14:39:04	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x1d6edf…
07-04 14:39:02	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x88793b…
07-04 14:38:26	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xc71a22…
07-04 14:38:26	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x7696da…
07-04 14:38:11	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x94431e…
07-04 14:38:10	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x287ccd…
07-04 14:37:50	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x55c688…
07-04 14:37:46	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x813462…
07-04 14:37:44	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x6af368…
07-04 14:32:53	btc updown 15m 1783175400	Down	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x29b9ed…
07-04 13:02:53	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd9d479…
07-04 12:57:37	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Up	SELL	114	76¢	$86	0xf14411…
07-04 12:57:37	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x630466…
07-04 12:54:40	btc updown 5m 1783169400	Up	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xf76bc6…
07-04 12:51:07	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xdda738…
07-04 12:46:23	btc updown 5m 1783169400	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xd3e84c…
07-04 12:42:38	btc updown 5m 1783169100	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x5a11d7…
07-04 12:41:32	btc updown 5m 1783169100	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xb63baa…
07-04 12:37:05	btc updown 5m 1783168800	Up	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0xd933ac…
07-04 12:35:41	btc updown 5m 1783168500	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xd9bad8…
07-04 12:29:46	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	161	6¢	$10	0x8db16c…
07-04 12:29:31	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	339	6¢	$20	0x592aa5…
07-04 12:27:19	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x2104b1…
07-04 12:17:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0xda7b19…