Muffled-Province — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$158

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+11	$10	99¢	$11	+$1	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+15	$10	32¢	$5	$-5	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	+10	$5	16¢	$2	$-3	05-05 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda70a0…
05-05 16:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d9160…
05-05 16:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcdd840…
05-05 16:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x237e0d…
05-05 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xac3aa5…
05-05 15:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x8e0c4b…
05-05 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb3371b…
05-05 13:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x58cb47…
05-05 10:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x113ea1…
05-05 05:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x75ce6a…
05-05 03:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1ff87c…
05-05 00:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x91c893…
05-04 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1d601b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$3.06K	56	05-05 16:24
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$3.86K	66	05-05 16:24
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$515	31	05-05 16:17
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	9	$661	37	05-05 16:17
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	6	$677	11	05-05 16:24
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	6	$611	119	05-05 16:24
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	5	$582	83	05-05 16:24
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	4	$3.05K	5	05-05 16:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$28	0	29	-29	open	—	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	+$17	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Up	+$14	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 05:15