Realized P&L
+$45
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
491
Trades
3,285
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$656
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 08-31 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
70% 89% +$52
Other
29% 86% +$103
Tech
1% 75% -$109
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 2202 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $74 100¢ $75 +$1 08-14 18:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $71 99¢ $74 +$4 08-14 18:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $74 98¢ $74 $0 08-14 18:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $25 72¢ $54 +$30 08-14 18:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +40 $37 99¢ $39 +$2 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$0 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $35 97¢ $38 +$3 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 -$1 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $33 92¢ $36 +$3 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $36 89¢ $35 -$1 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $33 84¢ $33 +$0 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $33 79¢ $31 -$2 08-20 07:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $33 69¢ $27 -$6 08-20 07:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $55 30¢ $22 -$33 08-14 18:44