Scared-Gamebird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

1,071

Trades

2,492

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-17 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 88% +$1

Other

17% 56% -$197

Politics

7% 80% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	10-17 11:38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	10-17 11:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	+2	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	10-17 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	114	$1.4K	983	963	+20	Down	-$9	03-26 10:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	28	$965	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$2	03-29 09:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:15 UTC	15	$925	618	317	+301	Down	+$6	04-04 07:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 10:30 UTC	26	$813	423	422	+1	Up	-$4	04-05 10:44
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	54	$761	4,027	971	+3,057	Up	-$60	03-23 13:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	13	$725	596	596	+0	No	+$0	03-24 12:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 13:45 UTC	7	$668	344	343	+1	Up	+$9	04-03 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 10:45 UTC	4	$661	332	332	+0	Up	+$1	04-04 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 07:30 UTC	12	$657	341	334	+7	Up	+$4	04-03 07:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC	7	$621	312	312	+0	Up	+$1	04-04 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	4	$606	311	310	+1	Up	-$2	04-12 02:14
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	30	$578	830	170	+660	Down	-$132	03-27 09:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:15 UTC	8	$426	220	214	+6	Down	-$3	04-07 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 09:15 UTC	5	$415	215	211	+4	Up	+$3	04-01 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 11:10 UTC	8	$406	363	59	+304	Down	+$10	04-04 11:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$384	400	400	+0	No	+$0	03-26 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 06:45 UTC	5	$365	339	36	+303	Up	+$8	04-03 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	3	$360	334	31	+303	Down	+$3	04-04 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 10:00 UTC	3	$360	331	31	+300	Down	+$1	04-04 10:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:35 UTC	4	$358	331	31	+300	Down	+$4	04-04 12:39
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	13	$355	400	400	+0	Down	+$6	03-24 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 11:30 UTC	7	$350	326	26	+300	Down	+$1	04-02 11:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:15 UTC	4	$320	318	11	+307	Up	+$7	04-04 12:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 08:15 UTC	12	$303	604	0	+604	Up	+$0	03-28 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 10:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	04-04 10:30
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	2	$298	238	238	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 07:37
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	10	$297	1,300	250	+1,050	Up	-$1	03-25 13:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	16	$293	250	250	+0	No	+$1	03-25 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 11:30 UTC	6	$238	222	22	+200	Up	-$7	04-04 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 05:30 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	04-02 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 11:41:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x407b11…
10-17 11:41:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ed38e…
10-17 11:38:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf0d3cd…
10-17 11:37:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x01d788…
10-17 11:37:29	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 16	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdf0cf6…
07-05 09:59:44	ethereum above 1800 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8c0712…
07-05 09:59:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x039a22…
07-05 09:58:49	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd2b2db…
07-05 09:58:35	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe443e1…
05-14 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d7d4b…
05-14 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb2130d…
05-13 03:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1a6862…
05-13 03:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xc5b907…
05-11 01:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf7759e…
05-11 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x1e4484…
05-11 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3034c6…
05-11 01:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x75f5b1…
05-09 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x42b9fc…
05-08 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x329b4f…
05-08 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x883686…
05-08 02:28:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x68132c…
05-08 02:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5f1ce1…
05-08 02:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x2f51d0…
05-08 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xea8b3b…
05-08 02:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7e986e…
05-08 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc06320…
05-08 02:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x714316…
05-08 02:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x0324d0…
05-07 03:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc90baf…
05-07 03:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x43fa47…
05-06 03:45:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcd7e7…
05-06 03:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4add9c…
05-06 03:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x48e806…
05-06 03:36:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x418b50…
05-05 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3d1e62…
05-05 02:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xc0c6b4…
05-05 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b9c87…
05-05 02:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xcfd689…
05-04 02:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2b1385…
05-04 02:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb95ad2…
05-04 02:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x0aa2eb…
05-04 02:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd188ff…
05-04 02:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x76aa47…
05-04 02:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xee2beb…
05-04 02:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5d64d2…
05-04 02:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x1b081d…
05-04 02:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa1fc14…
05-04 02:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x59aad3…
05-03 02:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcf5081…
05-03 02:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x497043…
05-03 02:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1388c7…
05-03 02:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc6dc3a…
05-03 02:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x93d591…
05-03 02:20:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xbd0a5c…
05-02 03:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x03002c…
05-02 03:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x33f924…
05-02 03:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x51d4a8…
05-02 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xc227ea…
05-02 02:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x565b2e…
05-02 02:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xc3146c…
05-02 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb9af90…
05-02 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x0c6233…
05-02 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x60141c…
05-02 02:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x1a0bce…
05-02 02:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa5f605…
05-02 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x3fc0ee…
05-01 03:13:28	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe68e05…
05-01 03:12:14	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd4b32e…
05-01 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x09cc8a…
04-29 02:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd30ca2…
04-29 02:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x035eae…
04-29 01:58:46	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b9bc9…
04-29 01:56:02	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x057fe4…
04-29 01:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf0e7df…
04-29 01:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0fa5da…
04-28 03:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd2c23c…
04-28 03:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf60cb8…
04-28 02:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe17208…
04-28 02:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfd64ff…
04-27 02:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x036e69…
04-27 02:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x36b160…
04-27 02:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a9621…
04-27 02:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2eb781…
04-27 01:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8c8491…
04-27 01:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x147d22…
04-25 08:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3c7423…
04-25 08:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x6989db…
04-25 02:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xfb8b5d…
04-25 01:27:52	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2415a3…
04-24 01:54:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5ac7a8…
04-24 01:45:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7b2fc4…
04-24 01:40:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9913d9…
04-24 01:40:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x672f11…
04-24 01:39:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe59c45…
04-23 02:58:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x339eac…
04-23 02:57:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xb08cee…
04-23 02:41:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7e42f7…
04-23 02:40:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbe5ce2…
04-23 02:39:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xa45db3…
04-23 02:39:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x0dea2c…