Fresh-Bowtie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-09 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$334	301	301	+0	Up	+$262	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$230	159	159	+0	Up	+$84	05-05 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$196	143	143	+0	Up	+$87	05-05 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$177	128	128	+0	Up	+$77	05-05 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$132	99	99	+0	Up	+$64	05-10 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$115	77	77	+0	Up	+$39	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$105	112	112	+0	open	—	04-30 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$97	231	0	+231	Down	$-97	05-06 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$97	346	0	+346	Down	$-97	05-06 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$95	62	62	+0	open	—	05-25 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$93	535	0	+535	Up	$-93	05-06 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$78	52	52	+0	open	—	05-25 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$78	53	53	+0	Up	+$28	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$70	168	0	+168	Down	$-70	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$69	71	0	+71	Up	+$2	05-06 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$68	453	0	+453	Up	$-68	05-06 10:13
btc updown 5m 1780752900	2	$61	37	37	+0	open	—	06-06 13:40
btc updown 5m 1781043300	1	$60	110	0	+110	open	—	06-09 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$60	39	39	+0	Up	+$16	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$60	143	0	+143	Up	$-60	05-05 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$58	48	48	+0	Up	+$38	05-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$58	238	61	+176	Down	+$158	05-06 00:38
btc updown 5m 1776708900	1	$57	300	0	+300	open	—	04-20 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$56	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$53	180	0	+180	open	—	04-30 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$53	232	0	+232	Up	$-53	05-06 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$52	161	0	+161	open	—	05-25 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$50	217	0	+217	Up	+$167	05-06 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$50	172	0	+172	open	—	04-30 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$46	272	0	+272	Up	$-46	05-06 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	BUY	110	55¢	$60	0xa5f3fd…
06-09 21:31:45	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Up	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0x69199b…
06-09 20:28:46	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x6f4732…
06-09 20:17:00	btc updown 5m 1781036100	Down	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x0eb735…
06-09 20:10:22	btc updown 5m 1781035500	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x50c601…
06-09 20:09:51	btc updown 5m 1781035500	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7acd72…
06-09 19:55:15	btc updown 5m 1781034900	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xc02259…
06-09 19:41:54	btc updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdec9a1…
06-09 19:35:16	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x58c520…
06-09 19:31:06	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfbf5bb…
06-06 13:42:34	btc updown 5m 1780753200	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x21aa49…
06-06 13:40:22	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x3c0628…
06-06 13:35:25	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x6226b4…
05-26 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x2312a3…
05-26 18:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc4318d…
05-26 18:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe91e8c…
05-26 18:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6986b4…
05-26 18:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x193330…
05-26 18:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x841896…
05-26 18:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x8aa223…
05-26 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x93b31a…
05-26 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x5e8a80…
05-26 18:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2b197d…
05-26 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfc5f54…
05-26 18:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa199d0…
05-26 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x124f71…
05-26 17:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xebf1d3…
05-25 13:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x59f680…
05-25 13:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe2f935…
05-25 13:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x1c9a13…
05-25 13:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0x95dff3…
05-25 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x83b013…
05-25 13:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2bafb5…
05-25 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe944a6…
05-25 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0235ad…
05-25 13:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x598cbb…
05-25 13:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1fcfc4…
05-25 11:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0xdcf82a…
05-25 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0x26c292…
05-25 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x633c35…
05-25 11:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x8106b7…
05-25 10:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	106	25¢	$27	0x1bdef8…
05-25 10:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa0f1d6…
05-25 10:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x507208…
05-25 10:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x010579…
05-25 10:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0xd7c611…
05-25 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	216	5¢	$10	0x487f37…
05-25 10:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb5ddba…
05-25 10:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x0b2e32…
05-25 10:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xddd177…
05-25 10:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x92eb09…
05-25 10:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x75567e…
05-25 10:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec4bda…
05-25 10:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7a8829…
05-25 09:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x43cfc8…
05-25 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	270	4¢	$11	0x344839…
05-25 09:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x5b720b…
05-25 09:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb419d3…
05-25 09:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x539f70…
05-22 03:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x34858a…
05-20 04:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	106	11¢	$12	0x36d039…
05-20 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,600	1¢	$16	0x76c6a5…
05-20 04:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x8ecc01…
05-20 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x12e4a8…
05-20 03:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x05ded7…
05-20 03:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2202cb…
05-10 02:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	33¢	$46	0x16b253…
05-10 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	125	23¢	$29	0xe7db0d…
05-10 01:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0x18ada8…
05-10 01:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xffc57a…
05-10 01:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x30223b…
05-10 01:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x459dc2…
05-10 01:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x5c8c85…
05-10 01:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0xf1fe67…
05-10 01:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x25d8db…
05-10 01:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x81ba36…
05-10 01:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcc6f62…
05-10 00:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x40f652…
05-10 00:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x19dafe…
05-10 00:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x257795…
05-10 00:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe48aa4…
05-10 00:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc4bab6…
05-09 23:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x742eb8…
05-09 23:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd4e1bf…
05-09 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xfd7769…
05-09 23:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeeeeb6…
05-09 23:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa1a240…
05-09 23:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x789ec6…
05-09 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xb61091…
05-09 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xcdaabb…
05-09 22:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb89cdd…
05-09 22:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xce9328…
05-09 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x806ea8…
05-09 22:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd32c89…
05-09 22:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f4daa…
05-08 23:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0x817798…
05-08 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0a40fa…
05-08 22:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xa4f5c3…
05-08 22:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xde518a…
05-08 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x286251…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	142	$113.0K	4,501	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	142	$45.5K	7,872	06-09 22:19
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	142	$41.2K	1,677	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	142	$40.0K	6,840	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	142	$39.6K	11,803	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	142	$38.0K	11,358	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	142	$36.8K	10,629	06-09 22:19
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	142	$24.5K	5,225	06-09 22:19