Scared-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-01 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:18:38	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf3f55…
07-01 01:11:58	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaceef8…
06-30 19:59:25	cs2 alkaa red7 2026 06 30 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa03804…
06-30 18:37:23	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc902e3…
06-30 18:01:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1da627…
06-30 15:17:28	kbo sam nc 2026 06 30	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf214df…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x872b1b…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec5029…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba58db…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f07ab…
06-29 19:06:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac28ae…
06-29 16:45:01	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed0388…
06-29 16:05:01	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x869ebb…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91e841…
06-29 13:08:34	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9e08f…
06-28 09:38:43	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa124e2…
06-28 04:01:43	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41f8b3…
06-28 04:00:47	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e1335…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32dfa8…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x719813…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f0c2a…
06-27 02:04:19	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x961305…
06-27 02:01:31	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x770ea6…
06-26 21:04:35	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread away 4pt5	Senegal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80efc1…
06-26 19:01:31	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1313f1…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd093…
06-26 00:59:31	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60b55…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e014f…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa91b9c…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x654823…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f76f1…
06-25 00:04:49	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcaf3b7…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x837d98…
06-24 16:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf206c…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b16af…
06-23 21:04:40	wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5fc9…
06-23 20:00:50	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6426ed…
06-23 19:02:01	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68564a…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60263e…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf56c6f…
06-23 13:18:31	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca9155…
06-23 12:21:56	itf samardz khramts 2026 06 23	Ayline Samardzic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x718eb3…
06-23 02:04:08	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb51d7…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81a6b4…
06-21 18:04:58	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e89c0…
06-20 14:11:05	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x607a19…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41b4e8…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf5588…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cc44c…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadf99f…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6cf9e…
06-18 20:58:08	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7e3f2…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08f74d…
06-17 19:04:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb99650…
06-17 16:10:19	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x575358…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x802baf…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdda150…
06-17 04:05:34	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0466a…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7914d…
06-16 12:37:40	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe44b25…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42e039…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e985…
06-15 18:07:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x718ed0…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc64c1…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xface52…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97af92…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48d77…
06-14 06:13:18	will there be a double breen bang during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ed030…
06-13 21:12:37	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 3pt5	Qatar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bce08…
06-13 11:58:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7f7a…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb98706…
06-12 22:02:18	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x133157…
06-12 21:24:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd998fd…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2011ed…
06-12 20:26:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2ff2…
06-12 20:18:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2b625…
06-12 20:17:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0b70…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88e4b8…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x243545…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9f89…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb648e1…
06-11 08:31:22	itf yamaguc zhan 2026 06 11	Mei Yamaguchi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2554cd…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86f9fc…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a74da…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77922…
06-08 21:37:13	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf10124…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0d16d…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf11db9…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4f5305…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x425128…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf72992…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x221a92…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1d5b6…
06-07 18:11:13	itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	Luiza Fullana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270dab…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x661942…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf1f10…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0d9b0…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f078c…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77f67d…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6e88b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 08:09
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:03
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 20:16
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 21:53
wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-23 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 22:59
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 21:29
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 12:35
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Armine Yesaian	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 13:29
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:00
Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 13:57
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	Vexa	+$0	05-13 15:15
Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 12:56
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-15 12:41
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 21:37
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 15:05
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 05:35
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 01:24
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-28 00:03
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-16 12:37
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 19:00