Rich-Pedal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$779

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

2,196

Trades

3,363

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 08-21 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 56% -$543

Other

13% 15% -$145

Politics

9% 10% -$78

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	8	$166	150	250	-100	No	-$4	08-03 14:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	18	$157	155	195	-40	Yes	-$2	08-03 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	2	$125	186	0	+186	Up	-$17	08-05 14:19
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	6	$123	66	166	-100	Yes	-$10	08-03 00:37
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in august 20260731154203521	7	$107	200	20	+180	No	-$4	08-02 10:10
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 3?	2	$103	201	0	+201	Yes	-$2	08-03 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$100	119	0	+119	Down	+$19	08-05 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	7	$100	148	0	+148	Down	+$48	08-05 14:22
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?	2	$71	140	0	+140	Yes	-$1	08-02 10:40
will iran target a arab country on august 7 2026 20260801004719124	8	$70	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-02 15:46
will tsla dip to 270 in august 2026	2	$69	0	140	-140	No	-$1	08-02 15:49
Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?	2	$69	0	140	-140	Yes	-$1	08-02 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:25 UTC	7	$65	119	0	+119	Up	-$13	07-11 23:29
will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	3	$59	60	20	+40	No	$0	08-01 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:25 UTC	10	$59	66	66	+0	Up	+$23	07-11 05:29
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	6	$58	70	70	+0	No	-$7	08-21 14:15
will russia enter ternuvate again by august 31	2	$54	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-01 22:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	2	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	08-01 16:53
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?	4	$50	50	50	+0	No	-$1	08-02 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	5	$50	63	0	+63	Down	-$33	08-05 14:28
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	2	$50	0	100	-100	open	—	08-04 05:35
Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	4	$48	53	53	+0	Yes	-$12	08-21 14:32
will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	2	$46	0	93	-93	No	$0	08-04 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:35 UTC	8	$45	70	0	+70	Down	-$15	07-11 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:40 UTC	4	$40	49	0	+49	Up	+$9	08-05 14:43
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	2	$40	0	80	-80	Yes	$0	08-04 18:35
will aroldis chapman be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533478	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	07-31 23:53
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	4	$40	0	80	-80	No	$0	08-04 20:52
will iran target a arab country on august 8 2026 20260801004719125	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-02 15:48
will ewy reach 159 by august 3 2026	3	$39	0	60	-60	Yes	-$1	08-03 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 14:53:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	No	SELL	35	27¢	$10	0x518b22…
08-21 14:53:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x1b927b…
08-21 14:32:22	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9aa10b…
08-21 14:32:19	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6e49e3…
08-21 14:17:46	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7e2001…
08-21 14:17:43	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa22f79…
08-21 14:15:21	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x217bfb…
08-21 14:15:18	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0xb3ead4…
08-21 13:48:19	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xa6a9c9…
08-21 13:48:16	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x930075…
08-21 13:40:19	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x4bdfe5…
08-21 13:40:16	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0f2fb8…
08-21 13:18:45	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xdb189d…
08-21 13:18:42	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x26bdd6…
08-21 11:48:39	Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x2c86fc…
08-21 11:48:37	Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xab7b0c…
08-21 09:43:09	will heidi overton be confirmed as fda commissioner by october 31	No	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xeeccc6…
08-21 09:43:07	will heidi overton be confirmed as fda commissioner by october 31	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x091914…
08-21 09:43:06	will heidi overton be confirmed as fda commissioner by october 31	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x68019d…
08-05 19:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x65fb67…
08-05 19:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc58d00…
08-05 18:55:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8309cf…
08-05 18:55:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4fcb51…
08-05 15:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9b9317…
08-05 15:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb5acf2…
08-05 15:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xca1d60…
08-05 15:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc7f6e1…
08-05 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6dffeb…
08-05 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb0bc7c…
08-05 14:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2f2b47…
08-05 14:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4423b7…
08-05 14:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x23a58b…
08-05 14:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf39ac2…
08-05 14:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1a90dd…
08-05 14:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x97ba6b…
08-05 14:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc5846c…
08-05 14:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7c5962…
08-05 14:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xed0405…
08-05 14:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x58c41f…
08-05 14:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0631f0…
08-05 14:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xec0a18…
08-05 14:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xaef387…
08-05 14:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa09ed1…
08-05 14:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbca0c3…
08-05 14:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x234500…
08-05 14:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xdb43a2…
08-05 14:19:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa88826…
08-05 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x7f4bb1…
08-05 14:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x64bf36…
08-05 08:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xdfd1e7…
08-05 08:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1c2dbb…
08-05 08:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x01478d…
08-05 08:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93fef8…
08-05 07:34:29	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x41f334…
08-05 07:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$9	0x3b5378…
08-05 07:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0xe613f3…
08-05 06:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x08068f…
08-05 06:44:45	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x05ac39…
08-05 05:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a1f56…
08-05 05:00:27	shak quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt3	No	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0xc63cb0…
08-05 05:00:12	khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt53	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x38c94d…
08-05 04:16:44	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd1ed13…
08-05 04:04:02	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x4469f3…
08-05 04:00:14	crcl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt16	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3d9757…
08-05 03:08:47	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x470209…
08-05 02:57:24	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 5b 20260725020159991	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb56c12…
08-05 02:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x967b80…
08-05 02:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x87d867…
08-05 02:02:00	crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt73	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0123b0…
08-05 01:46:53	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 10pt5b 20260725020059922	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xc89e86…
08-04 23:32:14	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xcb3192…
08-04 23:25:57	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x0633d9…
08-04 22:49:56	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x6e0d26…
08-04 22:49:54	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x40720c…
08-04 22:24:36	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x472e17…
08-04 22:23:56	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	Yes	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0xc513c1…
08-04 22:16:02	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6d8e58…
08-04 21:16:53	Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 40 and 50 minutes long?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x192a9d…
08-04 21:00:23	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0xd6a41c…
08-04 21:00:23	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0xcc22d2…
08-04 20:53:38	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x644141…
08-04 20:53:38	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x2d10c7…
08-04 20:52:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x899905…
08-04 20:52:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x1c0851…
08-04 20:42:53	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd6c6ff…
08-04 20:42:53	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x3637d1…
08-04 19:38:26	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7f50b1…
08-04 19:38:23	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x2ab07e…
08-04 18:35:14	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x501082…
08-04 18:34:53	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x14460a…
08-04 18:24:21	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xdef343…
08-04 18:12:42	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xbafc88…
08-04 18:06:47	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf42d2c…
08-04 17:39:18	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x45efec…
08-04 17:32:14	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x8c953d…
08-04 16:59:51	will trump praise warren buffett in august 20260728221212357	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x79a573…
08-04 16:00:24	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x761d0b…
08-04 14:33:36	Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfa96ef…
08-04 14:33:35	Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb04192…
08-04 14:09:35	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x7b1284…