Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$901

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-28 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

54% 91% -$28

Tech

39% 100% +$1

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	1	$187	188	0	+188	No	+$1	06-07 10:16
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$1	05-20 09:07
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?	2	$75	76	0	+76	Yes	+$0	04-09 14:27
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$64	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-24 02:14
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	03-09 08:39
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-04 09:44
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	01-14 14:43
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	02-18 13:44
tsla above 320 on july 31 2026	2	$41	35	35	+0	No	-$29	07-28 07:28
tsla above 440 on july 31 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	07-28 07:29
tsla above 500 on june 30 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	06-19 09:46
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	09-13 11:04
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 22	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-20 07:53
will capcut photo video editor be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-14 14:35
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	2	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-28 21:53
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-13 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:53:59	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b2f08…
10-27 13:53:47	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4c446c…
09-13 11:04:54	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2a863c…
09-09 03:17:06	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x31bf31…
08-20 07:53:54	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 22	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf23e9f…
07-28 07:29:22	tsla above 440 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x33c3c4…
07-28 07:28:22	tsla above 320 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x01525a…
07-11 08:34:37	tsla above 320 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x06d375…
06-19 09:46:58	tsla above 500 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3dea37…
06-13 16:00:22	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcc394f…
06-07 10:16:46	Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0x0b9776…
05-20 09:07:07	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x89249d…
05-20 08:34:39	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6d254e…
05-04 09:44:46	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x51d77c…
04-09 14:27:05	Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x97f030…
04-09 09:46:19	Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c43e7…
03-24 02:14:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0xe8783c…
03-09 08:39:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x75841d…
02-18 13:44:32	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc1980a…
01-14 14:43:30	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb7b7dd…
01-14 14:35:42	will capcut photo video editor be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24172b…