Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,883
lifetime
Volume
$2.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$89
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-12 12:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Other
24%
Tech
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +40 $37 94¢ $37 +$0 06-10 10:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +19 $17 90¢ $17 +$0 06-12 15:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +12 $8 50¢ $6 $-2 06-12 08:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +11 $4 40¢ $4 +$1 06-12 10:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +8 $1 50¢ $4 +$3 06-12 16:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-11 10:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +4 $3 64¢ $2 $-0 06-12 15:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-09 17:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +9 $3 23¢ $2 $-1 06-12 12:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +4 $2 48¢ $2 $-1 06-12 14:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +7 $3 22¢ $2 $-2 06-11 21:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-12 11:40
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $2 $2 $-1 06-09 15:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +2 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 06-12 16:34
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $5 14¢ $1 $-5 06-12 16:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +4 $3 18¢ $1 $-2 06-10 23:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +12 $18 $0 $-18 06-12 16:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1 $1 60¢ $0 $-1 06-12 13:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-6 34¢ $0 +$7 06-12 16:52
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 22:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-12 16:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-11 23:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +0 $2 74¢ $0 $-2 06-12 07:27