Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,325
lifetime
Volume
$3.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-04 12:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
25%
Tech
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 543 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +3 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-09 17:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -4 $-2 62¢ $-2 $-1 06-15 19:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 93¢ $1 $-0 07-02 08:34
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-09 15:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3 $2 29¢ $1 $-1 06-20 04:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-2 100¢ $0 +$2 07-01 00:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $3 $0 $-2 06-14 12:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +1 $2 13¢ $0 $-2 06-19 22:45
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +3 $2 $0 $-2 06-30 19:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-01 04:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-14 18:18