Courageous-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,773 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$225

$62.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$322

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 257 days

Categories

Other

94% 40% +$2,238

Politics

4% 58% +$287

Crypto

1% 44% -$93

Sports

1% 20% +$132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+484	$303	66¢	$322	+$19	09-29 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$897	978	495	+484	open	—	09-29 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	6	$534	736	206	+530	Yes	+$231	09-27 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	7	$421	401	271	+130	No	-$95	09-15 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 8?	5	$405	320	270	+50	No	-$10	09-08 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	2	$401	269	269	+0	No	+$1	09-08 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	9	$400	223	223	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 2?	4	$361	388	388	+0	No	+$1	10-02 04:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$352	218	218	+0	Yes	+$52	04-13 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	4	$332	502	168	+334	No	+$36	09-21 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24?	5	$304	495	0	+495	No	-$304	09-24 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	4	$302	475	0	+475	Yes	+$173	09-22 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?	4	$300	562	0	+562	No	-$300	09-29 08:44
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$300	397	0	+397	Yes	+$97	09-18 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?	3	$300	462	0	+462	Yes	+$162	09-21 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 26?	4	$300	480	0	+480	Yes	+$180	09-25 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?	1	$300	325	0	+325	No	-$300	09-11 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3?	5	$288	327	164	+163	No	-$112	10-03 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 6?	7	$285	395	223	+173	No	-$137	09-06 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	5	$280	324	173	+152	Yes	+$50	08-11 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 13?	2	$276	370	35	+335	Yes	+$110	09-13 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 25?	6	$263	733	30	+703	No	-$247	09-25 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?	4	$260	382	0	+382	Yes	+$122	09-19 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 11?	5	$258	503	0	+503	No	-$258	09-11 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 10?	3	$256	399	0	+399	No	-$256	09-10 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 16?	3	$250	577	0	+577	Yes	+$327	09-15 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?	2	$250	522	0	+522	Yes	+$272	09-16 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 27?	3	$250	383	0	+383	No	-$250	09-26 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?	6	$249	282	161	+121	Yes	+$70	10-04 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?	12	$245	536	132	+404	No	-$153	08-18 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?	3	$242	213	164	+49	Yes	+$10	08-03 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:12:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	83	73¢	$61	0x62906b…
10-28 12:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x36d3e1…
10-28 10:18:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x256fee…
10-28 10:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x78d421…
10-28 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xfa0ac5…
10-27 20:21:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x9db45e…
10-27 19:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xf8d29b…
10-27 19:22:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x85ab0c…
10-27 19:19:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	176	0¢	$0	0x618826…
10-27 19:01:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xe3721f…
10-27 18:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc13467…
10-27 18:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x63ba62…
10-27 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xc51317…
10-27 15:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xca89ea…
10-27 15:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	74	66¢	$48	0xeb66d4…
10-27 15:38:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	353	4¢	$15	0x970f64…
10-27 12:14:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	165	9¢	$15	0xe29b8d…
10-27 12:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0xf81966…
10-27 11:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x893f76…
10-27 11:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x2a07d2…
10-27 11:51:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xdfdc8c…
10-27 11:51:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x828eb5…
10-27 07:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x11a56f…
10-27 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	90	45¢	$40	0x768087…
10-26 19:48:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x64e88c…
10-26 12:40:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb6f0c0…
10-26 09:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe4cc6…
10-26 09:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xddbb0d…
10-26 08:20:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc02790…
10-26 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0xfd74f8…
10-25 16:04:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x4b399c…
10-25 08:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf0f0fd…
10-25 08:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xcad2fb…
10-25 07:58:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x9bab60…
10-25 07:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xb0fa48…
10-24 11:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x4e6203…
10-24 11:11:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1b0cca…
10-24 07:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x5be665…
10-23 15:55:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x5e73ab…
10-23 15:55:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x01de97…
10-23 15:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 23?	Yes	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0xf3ff86…
10-23 05:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xb6decb…
10-23 05:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd3c494…
10-23 05:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x1ad3a4…
10-22 13:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	43	71¢	$30	0xd76a8f…
10-22 13:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe56e5e…
10-22 13:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xae6a29…
10-22 13:47:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x879f8c…
10-21 14:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6bc5d1…
10-21 14:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0x897b0d…
10-21 08:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x73ab14…
10-21 08:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x07770f…
10-21 08:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	110	55¢	$60	0x162c82…
10-21 08:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xfa0909…
10-21 08:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x45e34f…
10-20 16:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf934e2…
10-20 16:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x475230…
10-20 11:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x3095c5…
10-20 11:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x06100c…
10-20 11:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$10	0x3648fb…
10-20 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	134	22¢	$30	0x327cb5…
10-20 08:49:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x90e102…
10-20 08:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc32a2c…
10-19 08:59:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	62¢	$50	0x5426c1…
10-19 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x3f9156…
10-19 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4e373c…
10-15 12:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x21ab22…
10-15 12:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x697b85…
10-12 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x0db9f7…
10-11 13:25:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1b0eff…
10-09 09:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5923db…
10-08 11:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	84	66¢	$55	0x9d6228…
10-08 11:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x7091d2…
10-08 09:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	35	36¢	$13	0xeef532…
10-08 09:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x66aeb9…
10-08 04:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	171	41¢	$70	0x531b4f…
10-08 04:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x26d3ac…
10-08 04:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x4b347f…
10-08 04:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x1e76df…
10-07 17:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8611f2…
10-07 11:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2bbf57…
10-07 11:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc405e1…
10-07 11:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x844662…
10-07 10:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	134	52¢	$70	0x3c3c79…
10-07 10:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xfbba4c…
10-07 10:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x1db1ab…
10-07 10:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x4fb04a…
10-06 10:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	128	55¢	$70	0xa967ec…
10-06 08:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xbc9b6f…
10-06 08:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xff7851…
10-06 08:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x939cde…
10-06 08:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xee5069…
10-06 08:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe9f5e6…
10-06 08:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x1d5809…
10-06 05:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x23f1ef…
10-06 04:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x7ad653…
10-05 09:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xab950d…
10-05 09:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xa24ad4…
10-05 09:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xd267ee…
10-05 09:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x6ac215…