Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

445

Trades

609

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-15 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 40% -$40

Other

8% 15% -$67

Politics

1% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	6	$52	59	31	+28	Down	+$2	10-14 17:39
eur usd up or down on february 3 2026	1	$52	54	0	+54	Up	+$2	02-03 16:54
xrp up or down on february 3	4	$36	138	0	+138	Down	-$36	02-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	2	$30	29	29	+0	Down	+$26	08-24 04:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	2	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	10-15 08:59
ethereum up or down on february 3	3	$26	216	0	+216	Down	-$26	02-03 12:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	4	$24	29	14	+15	Down	+$9	10-15 08:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	10-15 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	3	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	10-14 17:27
spx up or down on february 3 2026	1	$20	143	0	+143	Down	-$20	02-03 16:16
ethereum up or down february 4 3pm et	2	$20	62	0	+62	Down	-$20	02-04 20:24
xrp up or down on february 1	3	$19	77	0	+77	Down	+$58	02-01 14:01
bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	2	$16	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	10-15 07:28
ethereum up or down on february 2	2	$16	76	0	+76	Up	+$60	02-02 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	10-15 09:21
bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	2	$15	14	14	+0	No	+$13	10-14 15:55
ethereum up or down on february 4	1	$15	53	0	+53	Down	+$38	02-04 08:36
bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	5	$15	56	56	+0	Yes	+$4	08-25 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-15 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$10	09-04 12:28
ethereum up or down february 4 11am et	2	$13	21	0	+21	Down	+$8	02-04 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-14 17:57
solana up or down february 2 11am et	2	$12	22	0	+22	Up	+$10	02-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET	2	$10	44	0	+44	Up	-$10	08-24 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-15 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	10-15 09:02
solana up or down february 2 12pm et	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	02-02 17:05
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	1	$10	554	0	+554	Yes	-$10	01-30 00:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$10	526	0	+526	No	-$10	01-31 20:46
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$10	1,004	0	+1,004	No	-$10	01-29 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 14:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xbcc3a4…
10-15 13:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x66f448…
10-15 13:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x29fb3b…
10-15 13:29:10	will bitcoin dip to 77k on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xd73f22…
10-15 11:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x2b48f2…
10-15 10:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xa55c39…
10-15 10:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xecae68…
10-15 10:35:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x02c38c…
10-15 10:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d4d6a…
10-15 10:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x61c0a7…
10-15 09:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x53721f…
10-15 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7876e0…
10-15 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xcefb6a…
10-15 09:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xb1b327…
10-15 09:02:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x061992…
10-15 08:59:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4ec396…
10-15 08:55:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xda06f7…
10-15 08:35:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5a939f…
10-15 08:35:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7813d4…
10-15 08:34:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x2b84bb…
10-15 08:33:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x8303c8…
10-15 08:28:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x6c2d2b…
10-15 08:11:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x863028…
10-15 08:05:17	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x1adbe9…
10-15 08:04:31	will bitcoin dip to 77k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x2744e9…
10-15 07:59:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x45b609…
10-15 07:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x611aee…
10-15 07:36:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2ab656…
10-15 07:32:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc7633c…
10-15 07:28:55	bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	No	SELL	54	16¢	$9	0x8f0c98…
10-14 19:55:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x36ab97…
10-14 19:54:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xa88e7f…
10-14 19:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0865f0…
10-14 19:36:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xb90ed5…
10-14 19:36:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x6b7208…
10-14 19:17:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x98623e…
10-14 18:04:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x3de24b…
10-14 17:57:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc32cb2…
10-14 17:57:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x8761d2…
10-14 17:50:36	bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x3bfa7a…
10-14 17:39:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf41984…
10-14 17:39:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xf4064e…
10-14 17:37:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xcb3999…
10-14 17:37:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0xeaad56…
10-14 17:33:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe6e4cb…
10-14 17:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3fc206…
10-14 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50ef65…
10-14 17:27:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x521c12…
10-14 17:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x9f769b…
10-14 17:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xefc18c…
10-14 16:33:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x468a7e…
10-14 16:02:57	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x4da023…
10-14 16:02:36	will bitcoin dip to 78k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xabd681…
10-14 15:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd48b87…
10-14 15:55:52	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd6fa29…
10-14 15:52:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x00c213…
10-14 15:44:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf96d31…
10-14 15:34:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x95dc5e…
10-14 15:23:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xe43e8c…
10-14 15:19:10	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x531130…
10-14 14:28:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc3bfee…
10-14 14:13:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xba0262…
10-14 14:13:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdf51e6…
10-14 14:04:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xadb0a3…
10-14 11:34:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x045989…
10-14 11:16:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xbce2ca…
10-14 11:11:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x77e296…
10-14 09:47:28	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa43eb2…
10-14 09:45:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x323a2b…
10-14 09:44:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x90e0c6…
10-14 09:40:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x20a4a4…
10-14 06:12:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x398b9a…
10-14 05:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd7df8…
10-14 04:53:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x522b88…
10-01 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x2a476b…
10-01 22:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7f12ba…
10-01 22:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf564a7…
10-01 22:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x294784…
10-01 22:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x75c4c9…
10-01 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d29ca…
09-25 09:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?	No	SELL	233	0¢	$1	0x0a65d1…
09-24 22:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x48b911…
09-24 22:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xe8d836…
09-24 22:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?	No	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xdf7297…
09-24 22:24:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x08ec9a…
09-24 21:48:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x4880bd…
09-24 21:47:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2c0f17…
09-24 21:41:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x8bcc9c…
09-24 21:41:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x42fccb…
09-24 21:33:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6e72e5…
09-24 21:24:17	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x5d4642…
09-24 21:19:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb429b2…
09-24 21:03:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x857b76…
09-24 21:01:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x206387…
09-24 20:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb910a2…
09-24 20:53:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf67280…
09-24 20:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	138	2¢	$3	0xfa4fa8…
09-24 20:32:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xd7e9f7…
09-24 20:30:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2e52d4…
09-24 20:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0af25a…