Private-Nonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

134

Trades

1,292

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-12 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 35% $-151

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$516	951	179	+772	Up	+$22	05-11 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	12	$438	691	35	+656	Up	$-186	05-12 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	13	$348	644	37	+607	Up	$-21	05-11 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$328	677	0	+677	Up	+$23	05-11 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	14	$268	357	163	+194	Down	$-6	05-11 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$254	547	0	+547	Up	$-15	05-10 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	8	$252	486	0	+486	Down	+$3	05-11 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	12	$221	403	192	+212	Up	$-42	05-10 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$220	492	0	+492	Up	+$63	05-11 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$215	366	23	+343	Down	$-2	05-11 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$204	406	0	+406	Up	$-2	05-11 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$196	347	40	+307	Down	+$26	05-11 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$182	293	24	+269	Up	+$11	05-11 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	7	$171	295	35	+260	Down	+$48	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	10	$168	265	66	+199	Up	$-22	05-10 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	8	$155	212	97	+115	Down	$-16	05-11 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	11	$149	221	120	+101	Up	$-2	05-10 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	8	$143	192	115	+77	Down	+$6	05-11 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	7	$133	241	27	+214	Up	$-10	05-11 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$131	269	0	+269	Up	+$12	05-11 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	8	$130	382	200	+182	Down	$-23	05-11 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	10	$130	212	66	+146	Down	$-14	05-10 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$127	263	0	+263	Up	$-4	05-11 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$127	188	76	+112	Up	+$13	05-10 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$127	255	0	+255	Up	$-2	05-12 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$119	180	95	+85	Up	+$29	05-11 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	6	$118	139	65	+74	Up	+$8	05-11 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$117	162	92	+70	Down	$-1	05-11 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$115	204	62	+142	Up	+$4	05-10 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$112	140	66	+74	Up	$-5	05-11 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0xc06cb0…
05-12 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xad57fc…
05-12 01:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x1939b1…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe590d9…
05-12 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x6496eb…
05-12 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x62eb1e…
05-12 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xf649ab…
05-12 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xabfbcc…
05-12 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x9d19c0…
05-12 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x764b4f…
05-12 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0x1a1fbe…
05-12 01:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x55bfd0…
05-12 01:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x32e668…
05-12 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x8e44b2…
05-12 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xbb9ce8…
05-12 01:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x897a2a…
05-12 01:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x6a74b5…
05-12 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x2e3d45…
05-12 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xdb2b80…
05-12 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	163	82¢	$135	0x8a660b…
05-12 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	164	82¢	$135	0x7fd376…
05-12 01:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0x8115d8…
05-12 01:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0xf6f19e…
05-12 01:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0x5ac7de…
05-12 01:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x57fd98…
05-12 01:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x53f230…
05-12 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xd949f6…
05-12 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0x06b9de…
05-12 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	66	23¢	$15	0x5a5bf7…
05-12 01:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xace30b…
05-12 01:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x396afe…
05-12 01:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x523817…
05-12 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x6fd816…
05-12 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	62¢	$36	0x6763c6…
05-12 01:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0xa9eeb5…
05-12 01:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x8c152d…
05-12 00:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0xe75de3…
05-12 00:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x95f761…
05-12 00:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x9ef1b4…
05-12 00:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x22f366…
05-12 00:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x6e6c22…
05-12 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0xf52a68…
05-12 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xe834e2…
05-12 00:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x00421d…
05-12 00:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	31¢	$10	0xb1cc3d…
05-12 00:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x28b82d…
05-12 00:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	117	13¢	$15	0xa74e00…
05-12 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	151	17¢	$26	0x639b4f…
05-12 00:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xa861c9…
05-12 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x0733a7…
05-11 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	81¢	$83	0xbdbbcc…
05-11 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x28007e…
05-11 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x425a3a…
05-11 22:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x8a758f…
05-11 22:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x80f073…
05-11 22:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x655387…
05-11 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xa595b3…
05-11 22:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x871da9…
05-11 22:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xedb45c…
05-11 22:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x0c1591…
05-11 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0x6e7e96…
05-11 21:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	23¢	$24	0x1aa0e1…
05-11 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0xe41277…
05-11 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	68¢	$21	0x87b532…
05-11 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	209	91¢	$190	0x5d0c5c…
05-11 21:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	283	11¢	$30	0x133ee3…
05-11 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xf87bc0…
05-11 21:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x77bcf4…
05-11 21:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x8e815a…
05-11 21:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0xc80da6…
05-11 21:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	57¢	$31	0x02ec91…
05-11 21:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0xcd4a49…
05-11 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x744432…
05-11 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xe79b01…
05-11 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xdffd97…
05-11 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0xae014d…
05-11 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x22c78d…
05-11 20:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	57¢	$21	0x397661…
05-11 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0xa5cb76…
05-11 20:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x8651c8…
05-11 20:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x517ad5…
05-11 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x8bd4a5…
05-11 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x7bb3be…
05-11 20:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x23712f…
05-11 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xcfdb94…
05-11 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	453	5¢	$24	0x5dcc8f…
05-11 20:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xf93cf6…
05-11 20:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0xd7dadd…
05-11 20:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xa65315…
05-11 20:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x5739db…
05-11 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xa34698…
05-11 19:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	76	18¢	$14	0x39903d…
05-11 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	26¢	$24	0x696ea5…
05-11 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x87a800…
05-11 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x6265cf…
05-11 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0xc19b59…
05-11 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x16eadc…
05-11 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xef82b8…
05-11 19:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xa5d1fb…
05-11 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	175	84¢	$148	0x220015…