Prime-Saloon-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$367

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,019

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$5.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-30 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 61% -$25

Other

36% 36% +$443

Sports

5% 42% -$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$100	161	0	+161	Yes	+$61	07-08 13:27
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$90	221	0	+221	No	-$90	07-14 10:49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	2	$87	243	0	+243	Team Spirit	+$156	08-23 12:31
dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14 game2	1	$70	108	0	+108	TEAM VISION	+$38	08-14 05:50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$60	183	0	+183	No	-$60	07-08 13:17
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 1pt5	1	$50	114	0	+114	Under	-$50	07-14 10:53
dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	1	$50	102	0	+102	Team Spirit	+$52	08-18 06:25
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	1	$50	93	0	+93	Team Liquid	+$43	08-21 07:52
dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	1	$50	75	0	+75	Team Spirit	+$25	08-22 21:27
wnba ind dal 2026 08 20 spread away 3pt5	1	$40	80	0	+80	Dallas Wings	-$40	08-20 23:04
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 1pt5	1	$40	69	0	+69	Over	+$29	07-10 10:16
wnba por las 2026 07 28 spread home 11pt5	1	$40	75	0	+75	Las Vegas Aces	+$35	07-28 20:26
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$40	67	0	+67	Yes	+$27	07-10 10:17
dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 total games 2pt5	1	$39	78	0	+78	Under	-$39	08-14 18:31
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	1	$39	66	0	+66	Team Spirit	+$27	08-13 07:30
dota2 boombo flc 2026 08 15 game1	1	$39	66	0	+66	Team Falcons	+$27	08-15 11:13
dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14	1	$31	60	0	+60	Team Spirit	+$29	08-14 07:28
Warriors vs. Clippers	1	$30	52	0	+52	Clippers	-$30	10-04 19:59
dota2 ironwi ty 2026 08 15 game1	1	$30	60	0	+60	Iron Wing	+$30	08-15 12:00
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5	1	$30	59	0	+59	Over	+$29	10-03 22:38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$30	122	0	+122	No	-$30	07-11 10:20
wnba nyl phx 2026 08 01	1	$30	51	0	+51	New York Liberty	+$21	08-01 13:23
dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 08 13	1	$30	53	0	+53	Team Spirit	+$23	08-13 16:34
dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14 game1	1	$29	55	0	+55	Team Spirit	+$26	08-14 07:40
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13 game2	1	$29	48	0	+48	TEAM VISION	+$19	08-13 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	3	$29	50	0	+50	Yes	+$21	10-25 11:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	2	$28	45	45	+0	No	-$7	08-10 11:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?	3	$28	60	0	+60	No	-$28	08-04 06:06
dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	1	$26	52	0	+52	Team Yandex	-$26	08-16 11:05
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	1	$26	70	0	+70	TEAM VISION	+$44	08-13 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:40:03	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd41caf…
10-29 21:05:07	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x42d6b7…
10-29 09:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xda12e2…
10-29 09:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x1e1161…
10-28 08:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc687f5…
10-28 08:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x30ec9e…
10-28 08:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0xf25f60…
10-28 08:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa1bede…
10-28 08:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x6d11c0…
10-28 08:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	840	0¢	$2	0x29b604…
10-28 08:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x33620e…
10-25 11:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xdd5b12…
10-25 11:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x05f734…
10-25 11:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x26c784…
10-25 11:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6864c…
10-25 11:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x93724b…
10-25 11:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xed71a4…
10-25 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x69283a…
10-25 10:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa399ac…
10-25 10:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x638a81…
10-25 10:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xf27f59…
10-25 10:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x853d20…
10-25 10:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf5830a…
10-25 10:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3223da…
10-25 10:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xf67388…
10-24 17:54:56	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x4b83ca…
10-23 15:25:53	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x522972…
10-23 15:24:23	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x264992…
10-23 11:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x185292…
10-23 11:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x57af03…
10-23 11:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x181e1a…
10-14 22:32:58	nba den lac 2026 10 14 spread away 2pt5	Nuggets	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe2a788…
10-13 08:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x29ed75…
10-13 08:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x68a6e7…
10-13 08:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x030859…
10-13 07:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x07f31f…
10-13 07:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd55808…
10-12 19:25:23	Nets vs. Wizards	Nets	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x646f9b…
10-11 14:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0e5585…
10-10 00:22:46	Grizzlies vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x35d535…
10-09 12:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee4f18…
10-07 22:05:18	Suns vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xa39152…
10-04 19:59:28	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x377c41…
10-03 22:38:32	Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xdc73f2…
08-31 12:02:51	Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x998c59…
08-23 12:31:03	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	197	34¢	$67	0xd7af26…
08-23 09:29:33	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf1527f…
08-23 07:53:42	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb035ce…
08-23 06:30:52	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0c39c0…
08-23 05:45:28	dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 23	Team Spirit	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xab30bd…
08-22 21:27:19	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	Team Spirit	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x2ae3ae…
08-22 14:34:06	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0x7040ff…
08-21 10:37:01	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xccbcc1…
08-21 07:52:13	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x1d7a25…
08-21 07:19:10	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x0a7cc5…
08-20 23:04:21	wnba ind dal 2026 08 20 spread away 3pt5	Indiana Fever	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xa79734…
08-20 16:27:18	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20	Team Falcons	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd2a653…
08-20 14:57:36	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x70e5b7…
08-20 13:39:06	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x230895…
08-18 06:25:06	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	Team Spirit	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x12d965…
08-16 11:05:54	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	LGD Gaming	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x32f320…
08-16 09:32:37	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x625788…
08-16 08:37:03	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x7da25a…
08-15 12:00:03	dota2 ironwi ty 2026 08 15 game1	Iron Wing	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x35fe81…
08-15 11:13:39	dota2 boombo flc 2026 08 15 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0x0d28fe…
08-15 07:52:46	dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe38f76…
08-14 18:31:48	dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0xdfd0aa…
08-14 12:44:43	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 08 14	Team Yandex	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x990a11…
08-14 07:40:37	dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x7ac5a6…
08-14 07:28:40	dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14	Team Spirit	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xcbf21c…
08-14 05:50:16	dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x77cc3c…
08-13 16:34:39	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 08 13	Team Spirit	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x29d51d…
08-13 11:46:42	dota2 boombo ironwi 2026 08 13	BoomBoys	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x0a2920…
08-13 11:45:31	dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x6c6f62…
08-13 11:42:30	dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	TEAM VISION	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x500295…
08-13 07:30:55	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0x550e6a…
08-12 20:46:07	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	9¢	$16	0x05d469…
08-12 06:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x8829db…
08-12 06:23:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xfd4cc4…
08-10 11:14:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x995cfb…
08-10 11:12:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xb0edd1…
08-10 11:12:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x761cee…
08-10 11:12:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x7b58eb…
08-10 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x7a3ed3…
08-09 09:04:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xf3d4c0…
08-09 09:04:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x652711…
08-09 09:03:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xff0c8b…
08-09 09:03:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0x5a5ffe…
08-07 16:41:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xdc3e7a…
08-07 16:41:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x0056ad…
08-07 16:40:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xab85f4…
08-07 16:34:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x1df393…
08-07 16:32:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xd7ad2e…
08-06 11:49:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x745c1b…
08-06 11:49:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xbb5537…
08-05 14:04:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7a86a7…
08-05 14:04:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x38c330…
08-05 14:04:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xdd0cdf…
08-05 06:02:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x801eae…
08-05 06:01:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	37	31¢	$12	0xe147e5…