Hefty-Takeover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$274

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

295

Trades

1,219

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-07 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

76% 37% +$97

Crypto

11% 56% -$250

Sports

11% 57% -$125

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	20	$1.2K	635	635	+0	No	+$3	05-16 22:16
nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11 total 4pt5	7	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$10	04-11 20:14
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	10	$969	1,091	25	+1,066	Yes	+$147	06-03 08:56
dota2 bb4 vp 2026 04 18 game2	14	$821	737	517	+220	BetBoom Team	+$102	04-18 15:19
val fut1 tl1 2026 04 17 game2	4	$785	583	577	+6	FUT Esports	+$11	04-17 16:15
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	7	$719	800	0	+800	Yes	+$81	05-16 22:59
cs2 b8 aur1 2026 04 15 total games 2pt5	7	$614	327	327	+0	Under	+$38	04-15 17:50
lol mvk gam 2026 04 11	8	$495	1,000	0	+1,000	GAM Esports	+$5	04-11 14:05
val 100t1 eg2 2026 04 11	18	$468	900	300	+600	100 Thieves	+$6	04-11 23:05
nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11 total 5pt5	4	$442	414	414	+0	Over	+$19	04-11 19:49
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	8	$366	482	112	+370	Under	+$40	04-18 21:24
lol g2 sk 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	2	$312	500	490	+10	Under	+$2	04-18 17:59
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 82 83f	2	$311	305	291	+14	Yes	+$273	04-07 19:05
lol fxw7 fur 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	7	$306	614	0	+614	Under	-$2	04-18 16:28
lol sr tl2 2026 04 11 total games 2pt5	10	$291	600	0	+600	Under	+$9	04-11 21:14
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$259	139	139	+0	No	+$1	05-16 20:39
lol lll lev 2026 04 19 total games 2pt5	8	$249	560	0	+560	Over	+$31	04-19 17:21
lol red png1 2026 04 06	5	$248	500	0	+500	RED Canids	+$2	04-11 18:58
lol mkoi sk 2026 04 11	7	$247	500	0	+500	Movistar KOI	+$3	04-11 18:44
cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11 total games 3pt5	6	$247	500	0	+500	Over	+$2	04-11 15:12
val edg1 drg 2026 04 11	6	$247	500	0	+500	EDward Gaming	+$3	04-11 14:50
lol g2 vit 2026 04 11	2	$245	500	0	+500	Team Vitality	+$5	04-11 14:12
val sen kru1 2026 04 10 total games 2pt5	3	$245	500	0	+500	Under	+$5	04-10 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	3	$206	256	256	+0	Down	+$6	06-07 19:36
dota2 aur1 pari 2026 04 20 total games 2pt5	2	$192	300	0	+300	Over	+$108	04-20 17:11
mlb cin mia 2026 04 09	4	$190	1,000	1,000	+0	Miami Marlins	+$10	04-09 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	4	$190	200	0	+200	Yes	+$10	05-19 23:33
lol red png1 2026 04 06 total games 2pt5	4	$188	97	97	+0	Under	+$6	04-11 19:23
cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17 game2	1	$186	244	0	+244	Vitality	+$59	04-17 19:07
lol tes ig1 2026 04 19 game2	1	$160	280	0	+280	Top Esports	+$120	04-19 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0xca148e…
06-07 19:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	227	42¢	$95	0x5bf3ad…
06-07 19:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x83173f…
06-07 19:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,003	1¢	$25	0xc18719…
06-07 19:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x5b42eb…
06-07 19:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x76efda…
06-07 19:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7c31d0…
06-03 08:56:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,958	0¢	$24	0xd90768…
06-03 08:56:02	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb6110c…
05-24 14:17:46	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x82388a…
05-23 14:51:48	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	530	87¢	$462	0xcd21a5…
05-23 01:59:29	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$60	0x4b73f8…
05-22 18:49:27	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xfa844a…
05-22 17:55:39	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x4738e3…
05-22 17:47:23	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	201	86¢	$173	0xd5c980…
05-22 17:47:13	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	201	86¢	$173	0x7293c2…
05-22 17:46:52	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x86fff9…
05-22 17:46:52	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0x16c6d9…
05-21 11:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x551b3e…
05-21 09:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x5a28f6…
05-21 06:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xa91199…
05-21 05:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd2ce2c…
05-21 04:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x12727a…
05-21 04:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xbc3309…
05-21 04:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x76eca8…
05-21 04:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x1cedfb…
05-21 00:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd6dbb4…
05-21 00:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x244c0f…
05-21 00:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 21?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x710eda…
05-20 23:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x816ec2…
05-20 22:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5f2d6d…
05-20 22:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x27eea5…
05-20 22:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x5e3b34…
05-20 22:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x457fd7…
05-20 21:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x21117c…
05-20 21:00:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa3e16e…
05-20 20:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9a73c3…
05-20 20:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x683226…
05-20 20:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x2f5e2f…
05-20 20:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	182	4¢	$8	0x92169e…
05-20 20:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x143a6c…
05-20 20:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xd56b8f…
05-20 20:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc26106…
05-20 20:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x398e6e…
05-20 20:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x69bde3…
05-20 20:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xf7a126…
05-20 19:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3b233f…
05-20 19:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xafd3f3…
05-20 19:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe353cb…
05-20 19:44:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xe491d0…
05-20 19:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x744282…
05-20 19:35:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7e9500…
05-20 19:33:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xea2c85…
05-20 19:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6f2876…
05-20 19:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xa62f44…
05-20 19:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4ea9e6…
05-20 19:27:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x25c1b4…
05-20 19:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xfbd529…
05-20 19:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb56fd5…
05-20 19:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb8e01f…
05-20 19:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x80bd29…
05-20 19:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x86a151…
05-20 19:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 21?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5b239b…
05-20 19:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x988f0c…
05-20 19:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xf3ce7d…
05-20 18:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 21?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x41628d…
05-20 06:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0xd7f670…
05-20 06:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xe7131e…
05-20 02:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfc653d…
05-20 01:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x755ec4…
05-19 23:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0x0f4499…
05-19 23:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x872ee1…
05-19 23:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x2632d2…
05-19 23:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ed272…
05-19 23:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 20?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x34b673…
05-19 23:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x6fc51a…
05-19 23:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 20?	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xe2384e…
05-19 23:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x91885b…
05-19 22:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 20?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x834c5f…
05-19 22:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x99ea53…
05-19 22:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x1ac8be…
05-19 22:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2f8f3b…
05-19 22:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 20?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x9e893d…
05-19 22:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x88739a…
05-19 22:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1bb643…
05-19 22:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf5bef5…
05-18 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	139	18¢	$26	0xef2768…
05-18 21:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x5094b2…
05-16 22:59:35	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xae85c7…
05-16 22:59:35	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	97¢	$252	0x68529d…
05-16 22:59:35	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x056e72…
05-16 22:59:33	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0xedf734…
05-16 22:59:33	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43ecae…
05-16 22:58:00	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	79¢	$203	0xcd1013…
05-16 22:58:00	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0xa156ee…
05-16 22:56:13	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	469	1¢	$5	0x7afd28…
05-16 22:56:12	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0e6ef5…
05-16 22:56:08	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x15224a…
05-16 22:56:03	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x9e59ff…
05-16 22:56:01	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	1¢	$4	0xfe56f9…