Closed-Percent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

297

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:22
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 06:28
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:24
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:20
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 05:39
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:08
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:59
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:52
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d4e43…
10-27 16:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc0fd04…
10-27 07:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb39044…
10-26 04:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf48a9f…
10-24 06:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b60fc…
10-22 09:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a2a7c…
10-20 04:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00a0b9…
10-19 06:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5d2ac…
10-18 07:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xffbab2…
10-17 07:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f0ea9…
10-16 05:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x282505…
10-15 05:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x237c92…
10-14 07:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8be649…
10-13 13:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ac47c…
10-13 04:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f7d15…
10-12 01:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x262182…
10-11 01:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6eb57a…
10-08 05:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfa3d4…
10-07 08:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368db5…
10-06 15:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x153ce9…
10-06 05:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09280a…
10-04 07:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c2c9f…
10-03 00:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157984…
10-02 07:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf58d09…
10-02 03:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe637c…
10-01 05:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb9460…
09-30 09:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa49a93…
09-29 06:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c080c…
09-28 07:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd55052…
09-27 10:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb16c…
09-26 10:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x888d1b…
09-25 07:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x031a5a…
09-24 06:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x431580…
09-23 05:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc82b6…
09-22 01:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f3940…
09-21 08:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cdb20…
09-20 02:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c54c2…
09-19 06:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefcdd9…
09-18 01:07:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77255a…
09-17 01:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x022e52…
09-16 08:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42f523…
09-15 23:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x205e78…
09-15 02:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd042…
09-14 00:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b166…
09-13 12:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd10bd4…
09-12 06:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x744fc3…
09-11 01:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051772…
09-10 01:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09771c…
09-09 00:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194030…
09-08 01:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57a4c5…
09-07 01:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34de1f…
09-06 07:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ba237…
09-06 01:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d69d6…
09-05 09:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cfa65…
09-04 08:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x472a2c…
09-03 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fe6c3…
09-01 01:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55a3da…
08-30 00:11:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43693b…
08-29 05:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc7388…
08-28 01:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc34c1b…
08-27 01:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4b84dc…
08-26 01:59:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa213c…
08-25 08:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99f53b…
08-25 01:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa88ba6…
08-24 07:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51ac3c…
08-23 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b4c2d…
08-22 01:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf52fb3…
08-21 01:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2599ce…
08-20 05:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850162…
08-19 06:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x137611…
08-18 00:12:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80e4d4…
08-17 05:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bbb7c…
08-16 01:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1148dc…
08-15 02:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c3874…
08-14 01:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e93ff…
08-13 00:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa31691…
08-12 00:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf92892…
08-11 00:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb674c…
08-10 00:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f3127…
08-09 00:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x312186…
08-08 00:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0a9f7…
08-07 00:15:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc57003…
08-06 00:20:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85edd9…
08-05 00:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04baa2…
08-04 03:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1d7d1…
08-03 00:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x148edb…
08-02 00:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc08eae…
08-01 00:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fae23…
07-31 01:00:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x905d47…
07-30 00:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd49a96…
07-29 00:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1432ce…
07-28 00:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72f0c4…
07-27 01:19:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5249dd…
07-26 08:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc256af…
07-26 00:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x302845…
07-25 00:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38e4b2…
07-24 01:15:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49048a…
07-23 00:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52e103…
07-22 01:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81e7c6…
07-20 23:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4fd55…