Noisy-Criteria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$458

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-06 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 100% +$13

Politics

11% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$1.1K	1,095	+1,095	open	—	06-06 16:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$1.1K	1,083	+1,083	open	—	06-05 00:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$954	955	+955	Yes	+$1	05-09 14:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	3	$939	943	+943	open	—	05-03 01:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$939	940	+940	Yes	+$1	05-04 21:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	1	$939	940	+940	open	—	05-02 00:01
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	1	$938	947	+947	No	+$9	05-06 01:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	1	$932	934	+934	open	—	05-04 01:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$930	1,045	+1,045	open	—	05-15 20:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$918	920	+920	Yes	+$2	05-11 00:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$815	937	+937	open	—	04-23 16:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$735	735	+735	open	—	03-14 04:04
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$733	735	+735	open	—	03-13 01:36
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$732	733	+733	open	—	03-12 05:06
bitcoin above 80k on march 11	1	$730	732	+732	open	—	03-10 06:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 9	1	$728	730	+730	open	—	03-09 12:36
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	1	$718	728	+728	open	—	03-08 12:11
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	1	$710	718	+718	open	—	03-07 05:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 6	1	$702	710	+710	open	—	03-06 12:51
bitcoin above 68k on march 5	1	$651	656	+656	open	—	03-05 13:46
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	1	$613	615	+615	open	—	04-21 22:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$612	613	+613	open	—	04-21 13:11
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$612	612	+612	open	—	04-20 00:15
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	1	$610	613	+613	open	—	04-17 11:35
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$610	612	+612	open	—	04-18 14:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 16	1	$610	610	+610	open	—	04-15 16:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 12	4	$604	609	+609	open	—	04-11 19:09
bitcoin above 66k on april 10	1	$601	605	+605	open	—	04-09 16:27
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	3	$587	600	+600	open	—	04-02 13:08
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	1	$585	590	+590	open	—	04-01 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 16:21:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,095	99¢	$1,082	0xdc7d4b…
06-05 00:09:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8edc9…
06-05 00:09:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1,083	99¢	$1,070	0x4befd6…
05-15 20:19:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,045	89¢	$930	0xd82534…
05-11 01:00:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x67912a…
05-11 01:00:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf95e97…
05-11 00:59:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc9a13…
05-11 00:59:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3ebc3…
05-11 00:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	920	100¢	$918	0x9a5559…
05-09 14:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	955	100¢	$954	0xee4d09…
05-06 01:16:26	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	947	99¢	$938	0xbefda5…
05-04 21:41:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	940	100¢	$939	0x081c95…
05-04 01:05:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	934	100¢	$932	0xe76e3a…
05-03 01:40:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x2428c2…
05-03 01:34:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$458	0x90879d…
05-03 00:19:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xff99fd…
05-02 00:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	940	100¢	$939	0xf514a2…
04-23 16:34:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	937	87¢	$815	0x970bec…
04-21 22:11:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	615	100¢	$613	0x6cf54f…
04-21 13:11:06	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	613	100¢	$612	0xd64ecd…
04-20 00:15:56	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	612	100¢	$612	0x82b2b0…
04-18 14:33:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa18275…
04-18 14:32:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	612	100¢	$610	0xadd4ed…
04-17 11:35:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	613	100¢	$610	0x501ffb…
04-15 16:03:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 16	No	BUY	610	100¢	$610	0xc845b2…
04-11 19:09:41	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x5e180b…
04-11 19:00:53	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x7dbe32…
04-11 18:58:33	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xe7542f…
04-11 16:44:21	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x0e7411…
04-09 16:27:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	605	99¢	$601	0x853d8a…
04-02 13:08:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x49ff72…
04-02 13:08:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xc75b74…
04-02 13:08:13	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	315	98¢	$309	0xee3afd…
04-01 12:26:07	bitcoin above 66k on april 1	Yes	BUY	590	99¢	$585	0xa8cafe…
03-28 11:28:31	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	585	100¢	$584	0x9d9ed7…
03-27 10:16:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	584	100¢	$583	0x3f1863…
03-25 11:12:59	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	583	100¢	$580	0x0660de…
03-24 08:16:51	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$578	0xee76d5…
03-23 11:30:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	578	99¢	$570	0x87d3e9…
03-22 12:45:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x3a32a3…
03-22 12:45:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x1fd6fc…
03-22 12:45:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x30a2bf…
03-22 12:45:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xcfc52f…
03-21 13:45:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 21	Yes	BUY	568	98¢	$554	0x6b32cf…
03-20 13:58:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x2b8c37…
03-20 13:58:17	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfdd4cc…
03-20 13:57:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x94f05f…
03-20 13:57:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	398	99¢	$392	0x61d9e1…
03-18 17:45:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	BUY	546	100¢	$544	0x391208…
03-17 13:00:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0xa537c1…
03-17 12:52:49	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5a6961…
03-16 05:14:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0xb1b387…
03-14 04:04:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	735	100¢	$735	0xf37a43…
03-13 01:36:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	735	100¢	$733	0x8a0041…
03-12 05:06:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	733	100¢	$732	0xf06aa4…
03-10 06:50:43	bitcoin above 80k on march 11	No	BUY	732	100¢	$730	0xc25949…
03-09 12:36:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	730	100¢	$728	0x178199…
03-08 12:11:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	No	BUY	728	99¢	$718	0x1116c0…
03-07 05:24:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	718	99¢	$710	0x20d532…
03-06 12:51:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 6	No	BUY	710	99¢	$702	0xe64008…
03-05 13:46:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 5	Yes	BUY	656	99¢	$651	0xd3be29…
03-05 13:45:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd71aa7…
03-05 13:45:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5244ee…