Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

114

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$123

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-21

last 11-04 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

89% 59% +$11

Politics

9% 50% -$1

Tech

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-18 12:14
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-14 15:39
will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-01 06:50
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:21
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-26 05:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-11 23:33
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	10-13 02:41
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 19:41
will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-23 19:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 06:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-21 11:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 18:26
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-16 05:02
Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-03 12:31
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	10-01 15:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 09:55
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-02 20:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-25 13:45
will meta dip to 720 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-12 18:38
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-27 03:17
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	10-05 19:42
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 20:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-20 13:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 18:11
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 02:38
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 06:38
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	08-31 20:26
will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-27 13:13
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:08:55	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaad6fb…
11-03 22:01:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcbed6d…
11-03 12:31:52	Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2c86f8…
11-03 04:29:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e54ba…
11-02 20:22:51	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x546ecf…
11-02 12:22:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x535073…
11-02 04:21:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe5186a…
11-01 20:09:51	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x20d8fe…
11-01 05:39:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa4d6e5…
10-28 11:43:53	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb76d4f…
10-28 03:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8148bf…
10-27 19:34:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x905a01…
10-27 11:20:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c8173…
10-27 03:17:18	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7764f8…
10-26 13:48:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x63dc1e…
10-26 05:47:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfec538…
10-25 21:47:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x448291…
10-25 13:45:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd3bb68…
10-25 04:00:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x42f36e…
10-23 16:50:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc6d07a…
10-22 20:32:44	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7faa77…
10-22 12:23:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4dcb8e…
10-21 11:05:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x346263…
10-21 03:05:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc05f21…
10-20 13:03:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2a7250…
10-20 05:03:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6c8800…
10-19 21:02:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf7723b…
10-19 12:39:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x45fdfe…
10-19 04:39:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0ec05e…
10-18 20:39:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2d17da…
10-18 12:14:30	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xabc7c9…
10-18 12:08:41	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfdce7e…
10-18 01:08:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc7a43e…
10-17 16:44:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbac5c4…
10-17 06:38:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xefa548…
10-16 13:03:49	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x97f9f5…
10-16 05:02:15	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x297fc3…
10-15 20:59:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xea38bb…
10-15 09:55:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c116a…
10-15 08:31:34	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x30c627…
10-15 00:02:00	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x90c885…
10-14 15:39:12	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd96a2a…
10-14 15:38:42	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x35b57a…
10-14 07:34:35	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f760b…
10-13 23:06:54	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5414aa…
10-13 02:41:11	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd67a6a…
10-12 18:38:54	will meta dip to 720 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2c568a…
10-12 10:30:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x41289b…
10-12 02:30:00	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0d2832…
10-11 18:26:37	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c1f06…
10-11 10:12:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf825ba…
10-11 01:06:47	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5a89a0…
10-10 11:50:31	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7e7145…
10-09 03:23:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9436f4…
10-08 19:20:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x82babe…
10-08 09:57:09	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3aef7a…
10-08 00:38:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3bbce4…
10-07 16:35:53	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x744d2b…
10-07 04:21:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x17bdfc…
10-07 04:16:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x22179e…
10-06 20:11:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xddcc75…
10-06 12:05:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf753ba…
10-06 04:04:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7f4e3d…
10-05 19:42:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x328bb2…
10-05 11:39:43	will xauusd dip to 4050 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9afc5e…
10-05 00:21:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfec98d…
10-02 11:17:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x05c951…
10-02 03:14:18	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c9b5b…
10-01 15:04:50	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d3df9…
10-01 06:50:30	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe001d9…
09-30 10:41:06	wti closes above 89 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x69435c…
09-30 02:38:47	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbd7a5f…
09-28 05:46:48	will pltr dip to 183 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0bfdc5…
09-27 21:46:30	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8cb981…
09-27 13:13:23	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe73a87…
09-27 03:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x281e0f…
09-26 07:41:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x111e29…
09-25 21:13:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe22a91…
09-25 13:08:57	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8a461…
09-25 04:16:59	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7e39b6…
09-23 19:41:35	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7da06a…
09-23 19:40:04	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa0d1ba…
09-22 23:30:25	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x850471…
09-22 02:19:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0d0c6f…
09-21 06:05:04	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8b6e10…
09-21 06:04:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x40979a…
09-20 21:55:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6c7680…
09-19 07:21:30	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe20704…
09-17 22:13:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x830ecb…
09-17 11:44:09	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd7e4ed…
09-16 22:57:30	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6b3e56…
09-15 20:49:45	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd5e2c6…
09-14 22:30:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8c6a50…
09-14 14:29:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe20dc2…
09-14 06:27:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf8ae85…
09-13 22:19:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb06d31…
09-11 23:33:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9d85fa…
09-10 23:17:52	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x431f9d…
09-10 02:54:39	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5340a…
09-09 17:04:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18c539…