Hidden-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$886

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$123

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$6

Politics

32% 100% +$1

Crypto

18% — —

Tech

13% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		-162	$-115	76¢	$-123	$-8	05-30 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	01-28 02:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$150	158	0	+158	open	—	06-08 02:17
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	01-21 05:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$115	0	162	-162	open	—	05-30 08:10
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	02-09 09:55
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 08:10
will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	2	$33	17	16	+0	open	—	03-11 07:50
Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	01-28 02:29
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	01-28 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$23	29	0	+29	Yes	+$6	05-08 03:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	05-08 03:01
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 10:18
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-13 07:09
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 07:54
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$16	19	0	+19	open	—	05-30 08:11
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-25 12:29
will denmark win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-09 09:56
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$8	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	01-17 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:17:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0xfb3625…
05-30 08:11:21	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x83571c…
05-30 08:10:46	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	162	71¢	$115	0xb7f692…
05-30 08:10:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x2b2efd…
05-22 02:02:34	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x6406f8…
05-08 03:01:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x5c02c7…
05-08 03:00:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xb9b3c5…
04-13 07:09:15	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x183e5b…
03-25 12:29:43	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7eeb4d…
03-17 10:18:53	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb450bc…
03-11 07:54:23	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xddf9f5…
03-11 07:50:21	will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xed5871…
02-27 09:04:49	will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x7c14ef…
02-09 09:56:51	will denmark win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe862e7…
02-09 09:55:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4efbd2…
01-28 02:29:25	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xd5bcfc…
01-28 02:29:11	Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x51c867…
01-28 02:28:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5a1d42…
01-28 02:28:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x6e55cb…
01-21 05:33:20	Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xad2a66…
01-21 05:32:02	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x107c5a…
01-17 10:35:40	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,700	0¢	$3	0x40bff4…
01-17 10:35:22	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd38955…
01-14 07:26:22	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xd72f7c…
01-14 07:25:50	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,700	0¢	$5	0x0e6ae1…
01-12 02:43:42	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x70125a…
01-06 09:45:55	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xd2fb28…