Imperfect-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-08 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$22

Other

38% 50% -$15

Sports

14% 50% +$13

Crypto

4% 33% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$133	100	100	+0	Yes	+$13	05-14 13:45
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$109	74	74	+0	Yes	+$9	05-14 13:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$62	38	38	+0	Yes	+$12	04-13 07:03
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	2	$52	90	90	+0	open	—	08-14 10:46
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	11-08 15:47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$49	91	91	+0	Yes	-$29	06-03 14:47
will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	3	$15	25	12	+13	Yes	+$7	04-13 13:34
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$14	40	0	+40	Lakers	+$26	04-24 23:20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$13	59	0	+59	No	-$13	07-15 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:15 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-01 13:21
will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$10	50	40	+10	No	+$0	04-01 11:53
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	07-15 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:50 UTC	1	$5	62	0	+62	Down	-$5	07-28 20:54
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	06-14 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:10 UTC	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	04-01 15:13
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	07-15 17:05
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 15:47:37	Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xccffa0…
08-14 10:46:57	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	90	30¢	$27	0x88f126…
08-14 10:42:43	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xc20419…
07-28 20:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3bf50d…
07-15 17:05:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x07e94e…
07-15 17:03:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbca863…
07-15 17:02:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	23¢	$13	0xe7bfa5…
06-14 19:18:39	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x57ebfc…
06-03 14:47:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	11¢	$10	0x784ad1…
05-14 13:45:52	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x4b5ec1…
05-14 13:45:45	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0de44a…
05-14 13:44:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	43¢	$39	0x39edba…
04-24 23:20:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xb048c1…
04-17 07:00:40	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xd9d0db…
04-16 17:21:08	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xfc8893…
04-16 07:28:50	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	62¢	$44	0xcf9c45…
04-15 23:35:16	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x7ea9e2…
04-15 23:23:40	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0x55c135…
04-15 23:21:38	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x3d4893…
04-14 17:20:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x3eef55…
04-13 13:34:43	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xcff083…
04-13 07:03:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xb124d3…
04-06 22:23:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd0e884…
04-06 20:09:49	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x99b5bd…
04-01 15:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x5cdfea…
04-01 13:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7b79e9…
04-01 13:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e09ef…
04-01 11:53:27	will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x2cf9be…
03-31 15:54:25	will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xda2a72…
03-31 15:48:27	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb4d1b7…
03-31 15:11:21	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb634de…
03-31 15:09:11	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda7dfd…