Fragrant-Dust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,120

Trades

2,185

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-30 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$7

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 99% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	10-30 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-15 14:49
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:41
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	3	$20	10	10	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-17 00:38
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd5481f…
10-29 15:14:22	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65f016…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4df5b9…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e18cc…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d434e…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8c49d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x819b55…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4b35…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe273fb…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cd692…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1b0d4…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd019…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2481f2…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6be96…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe717b9…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60651f…
10-13 22:36:52	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95ca5e…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcbb55…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c32fb…
10-13 15:59:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1365…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7aef4…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c261…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb480e3…
10-12 09:03:57	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3f1c4…
10-11 20:17:51	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc15a33…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5d05a…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a29e…
10-10 11:09:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7e2d0…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd024ec…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b6672…
10-08 07:14:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69fe88…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe85bc2…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb99c4a…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd1d75…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10dcd…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b0d91…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fb2e6…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbeee4f…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0d0de…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd79bdc…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d2146…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38e72e…
10-02 14:15:29	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6b758…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x535edf…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f9c11…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd466ae…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xebf391…
10-01 12:08:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fcd41…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x074ccd…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x224a76…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca6696…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71cd1b…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x743ea8…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadc8a9…
09-29 13:20:15	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x141646…
09-29 13:18:56	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcba705…
09-29 06:34:50	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x760584…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5f93c…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabf6af…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3392…
09-27 20:25:06	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11e749…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1505a2…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b36f6…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb79ca3…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe70aad…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb6847…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f72e6…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ed5a1…
09-26 16:16:14	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc98a3d…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b8a6b…
09-25 22:56:30	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x33a326…
09-25 10:14:42	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2bfaa…
09-24 21:04:29	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbef2fe…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x120095…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e63f3…
09-23 16:19:00	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8250bf…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e1ed5…
09-21 18:44:31	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04bd27…
09-21 15:15:04	Sao Paulo Open (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Rogers/Zamarripa	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa06f87…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c0a0a…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa80dcc…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7ce23…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb26a2…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b9fc4…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe8406…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc6df6…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27321e…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf11d10…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdce0f4…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb36319…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcf432…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16b56b…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4fd99…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x257810…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38c4ea…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ea651…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a800a…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10d4a8…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0542d…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e305a…